Cap Allon - El Nino Exaggerations - La Nina - Sahara Dust - Azores High

[AlleyCat]

El Niño Exaggerations

El Niños are driven by natural factors - even the AGW Party concede this.

A lot of MSM ink has been spent claiming that this newly developing El Niño
will accelerate the impacts of "climate change'. However, each observation can
be fully explained by natural forcings - the leap to "CO2 demonizing" is not
necessary, nor logical.

Even mainstream climate researchers are having a hard time slapping dire CAGW
projections onto the recently observed trends.

Daniel Swain, climate scientist at UCLA, argued during via a Youtube question
and answer session earlier this week that he didn't believe "this current
escalation is necessarily an indication that there's any dramatic
underestimation of the warming", claiming this to be "two steps forward and one
step back - that's the natural variability, if you will..."

Additional specific natural factors giving climate scientists pause to think
are listed below, including quotes...

La Niña

Zeke Hausfather, climate research lead at payments company Stripe, is keen to
attribute much of of the warming to the transition out of the rare triple-dip
La Niña cooling phase of the Pacific.

"In general, I think the level of excitement around recent sea surface
temperature records in some quarters is a bit over the top," Hausfather told
Axios via email. "We don't have any evidence that warming is accelerating
beyond the range that scientists have previously predicted it would," he said.

Sahara Dust

Hausfather's view was shared by others, including -believe it or not- Michael
Mann of the University of Pennsylvania.

Mann has also identified abnormally low levels of dust blowing from the Sahara
Desert across the Atlantic, pointing to this being a key reason why parts of
the tropical Atlantic are giving warm readings.

Dust transport can suppress Atlantic Ocean temperatures, points out Mann, which
also makes the atmosphere less hospitable to tropical storms and hurricanes - a
doubly whammy for the climate hawkers.

Azores High

An additional forcing driving sea surface temperatures higher is the Azores
High, or, more accurately, a lack thereof.

The tweet below, courtesy of Brian McNoldy, senior Research Associate at the
University of Miami Rosenstiel School, shows the High's strength and position
over the past two weeks and then the historical strength and position over the
same period:

McNoldy: "The much weaker and displaced High reduces the trade winds over the
tropical Atlantic and northern Africa, which in turn reduces the evaporational
cooling of the water and reduces the transport of Saharan dust across the
eastern tropical Atlantic."

Wrap Up

Suffice it to say, El Niño, like its cold counterpart La Niña, is an entirely
natural climatic phenomenon, and so, in turn, any impact it has on the climate
must also be regarded "natural'.

Warming sea surface temperatures during El Niño are to be expected, just as
cooling is during La Nina.

The fact that the AGW Party went on radio silence during these past three
years, during the rare triple-drip La Niña -a setup that their doctrine claimed
would be impossible by now, by the way- is very telling.

These warm-mongers have been sitting on their hands, waiting for the natural
cooling pattern to wain. And now that it has, boy howdy are they making up for
lost time, pouncing on this mere whiff of climatic warming and claiming it
evidence of the end of times: "This is both worrying and scary," is how UCL
professor Mark Maslin recently -and brainlessly- put it on Twitter.

My own personal and long-held contention is that low solar activity (a Grand
Solar Minimum) will drive Earth into its next bout of prolonged global cooling:
its next ice age (little or otherwise).

Solar cycle 25, though historically weak, does look to have the edge over its
predecessor, solar cycle 24. However, and as has also been my contention,
publicly expressed since 2018, it will be solar cycle 26 where the real fun to
begins.

I expect SC26 (starting ?2029) to deliver a true "Dalton" or even "Maunder"
Minimum-level drop off in the sun's output, with global temperatures -having
now expended their ocean inertia-driven lag throughout SC24 and SC25- dropping
with it , as they always have and, one can only assume, always will.

Despite the unceasing CAGW rhetoric, I am bracing for cooling...


alt.fan.rush-limbaugh, alt.politics.liberalism, alt.politics.trump,
alt.politics.democrats, can.politics, alt.global-warming
=====

June: Soooooo Hot!

Greenland Still Gaining

Cool Italy

South America's Extreme Temperature Drop

"Coldest May On Record North Of 80N"

Historic Greenland Snow/Ice Gains

Record Cold Europe

Greenland SMB Climbing

Mt Washington's Snowiest June Ever

California's Summer Snow At 13 Feet

Thick Ice Forces Russian Ships To Take The Long Way Round

Record Cold Across Belarus And Latvia

Chill Stretches Perth Power To The Brink

Alerts Issued As Cold Front Smacks Western Australia

Freezing Lows Sweep New Zealand

June Snow In Colorado

'Gold Rush 2.0" Thanks To California's Historic Snowpack

Impressive Greenland SMB Gains

Bone-Chilling Lows Grip Northern India

Extreme Chills Grip Northern Europe

Shimla's Record-Cold Start To June

=====

May: Soooo Hot!

May Down Under: Forecast vs Reality

China's Colder-Than-Average May

Low Temperature Records Continue To Fall Down Under

Australia's Record-Cold May

Australia's Coldest-Ever May Temperatures

Record Cold Continues To Sweep Australia

Record Monthly Cold Sweeps Queensland

Australia Suffers Record Lows And Early Snows

Anomalously-cold temperatures across the entire continent of Arsetralia

Another Cooler-Than-Average Month Down Under

Bone-Chilling Lows Grip Northern India
NOAA: Low Temp Records Outstripping Heat By 2-1
"Unprecedented" Frosts Destroy Northeast Vineyards, Orchards...
Australia Sees Year-Round Snowpatches, As Record Cold Persists
Frosts Sweep Europe
UK's Year Without A Spring
"Pneumonia Front" To Sweep Midwest
Alaska's Fourth Cold Winter In A Row
Record Frosts Sweep The Ukraine And Russia
Winter Arrives Early In New Zealand
Cold Czech Republic
Northern India's Coldest Start To May Since 1987
Mongolia's Brutally Cold Winter Kills Livestock -
Leaves 212,000 People In Need Of Aid
Pakistan's Frigid April
Cold Winter Reduces North Dakota Mule Deer Numbers
Alaska's Very Cold April
Cold And Wet Kenya
Eastern Europe's Freezing April Spills Into May
Historic May Cold On Course For Michigan
Record Cold Sweeps India
Solar Activity Down, Global Temperatures Down
Arctic Sea Ice Up
Six Straight Cold Months For Cheyenne
Nome's "Coldest April In A lifetime"
Cool UK
Record Cool Latvia
Reversed Polarity Sunspot

[AlleyCat]