33 Bullet Points Proving "Global Warming" Is Caused By The Sun, Not CO2 - By Geologist, Dr Roger Higgs - Part 4

[AlleyCat]

33 Bullet Points Proving "Global Warming" Is Caused By The Sun, Not CO2 - By
Geologist, Dr Roger Higgs - Part 4

16) Lockwood (Bullet 15) showed that averaged solar magnetic flux increased
230% from 1901 to 1995, i.e. more than doubled. The ongoing (ocean-lagged)
warming that followed the 1945-75 cooling (Bullet 5) was driven by this solar
surge, via the Svensmark effect (Bullet 14), delayed by "ocean memory" (Bullet
21), which will ensure continued warming for several more decades. Bullets 17
and 18 also support Svensmark's theory.

17) After the ~300AD solar Grand Maximum (Bullet 12), between 350 and 450
global average temperature warmed to near today's value. Subsequent "sawtooth"
cooling mimicked the Sun's 1,000-year sawtooth decline into the Little Ice Age
(Bullet 9).

18) In the "Holocene Climatic Optimum" (Bullet 20) spanning 8,000 to 2,000BC,
Earth was warmer than now except for about five interludes of a few decades
each. Unsteady cooling from 3,000BC to the Little Ice Age (Bullet 9) paralleled
unsteady solar decline.

19) This 4,500-year-long cooling mocks IPCC computer models that instead
predict warming by the simultaneous (slow) rise in CO2. This is the "The
Holocene Temperature Conundrum" of Liu et al. (2014). See also Bullet 6.

20) Embarrassingly for the IPCC, the 8000-2000BC warm interval (Bullet 18) was
already called the "Holocene Climatic Optimum" (Wiki) before IPCC's "CO2 =
pollutant" fallacy induced today's AGW hysteria and pointless multi-trillion-
dollar climate-change industry. The warmth may have benefited development of
human civilisations.

21) For at least the last 1,700 years, sawtooth-style global warming/cooling
correlate well with solar-magnetic activity (Bullet 12) by applying an "ocean-
memory" lag of 60-160 years (varying with time), attributable to oceanic
thermal inertia (vast ocean volume, high heat capacity and slow
circulation/mixing; Bullet 6), causing delayed response to changes in solar-
magnetic flux, hence cloudiness, which governs global temperature (Bullet 14).

22) The IPCC says ongoing global warming despite solar weakening (since 1991;
Bullet 12) disqualifies the Sun as the cause of warming. This disingenuously
ignores the time-lag caused by oceanic thermal inertia, of which the IPCC is
well aware, and which brings the Sun's past "ups-and-downs" ('sawteeth') into
alignment with global temperature ups-and-downs (Bullet 12). Thus one of only
three pillars upon which the "Anthropogenic (man-made) Global Warming" dogma
stands is demolished. The other two, namely (i) simultaneous warming and
acceleration in CO2 since 1850 (a chance coincidence; Bullet 24), and (ii) the
30cm sea-level rise since 1850 supposedly unprecedented in 2,000 years (Bullet
26), are equally easy to dismiss.

23) The last interglacial period, ~120,000 years ago, was warmer than our
Holocene interglacial. Humans and polar bears survived! CO2 was then about 275
ppm, i.e. lower than now (Bullet 8), at a time of greater warmth!

24) The joint rise of temperature and CO2 is a "spurious correlation', mere
chance. Earth's temperature correlates much better with solar output, which
increased just as impressively in the 20th Century (Bullet 12). So IPCC's
demonising of CO2 as a "pollutant" is a colossal blunder, costing trillions of
dollars in needless and ineffectual efforts to reduce it. Instead, governments
need to focus urgently on the imminent metre-scale Sun-driven sea level rise.

25) Although the Sun is now declining since its 1991 magnetic peak (Bullet 12),
solar-driven global warming will continue until ~2050 due to "ocean-lag',
presently ~60 years (Bullet 21). Meanwhile rising CO2 will continue to raise
global food production (Bullet 8), without affecting climate (Bullet 5).
Cooling will begin ~2050 and last at least 28 years (i.e. post-1991 solar-
magnetic decline to date). Sadly our benign Holocene "interglacial" period will
eventually end, inevitably, by Milankovitch orbital forcing (Bullet 12), much
more powerful than solar changes.

26) IPCC says sea level (SL) from 0 to 1800AD varied < 25 centimetres (and < 1
metre since 4000BC) and never exceeded today's SL, therefore the 30-centimetre
SL rise measured since 1850 is abnormal, they say, blaming industrial CO2. But
this claim, based on flawed cherry-picked evidence, ignores dozens of studies
of geological and archaeological 3000BC-1000AD SL benchmarks globally, which
reveal 3 or 4 rises (and falls) of 1-3 metres in < 200 years each (i.e. > 5
millimetres/year), all reaching higher than today, long before industrial CO2.

27) If humans were to stop expanding fossil-fuel use and maintain current
levels, CO2 would soon stabilise at a new equilibrium value, nearer the optimum
for plants (Bullet 8). When fossil fuels eventually become too scarce to
produce economically, and we switch inevitably to nuclear energy, CO2 will
decrease.

=====

June: Soooooo Hot!

Thick Ice Forces Russian Ships To Take The Long Way Round

Record Cold Across Belarus And Latvia

Chill Stretches Perth Power To The Brink

Alerts Issued As Cold Front Smacks Western Australia

Freezing Lows Sweep New Zealand

June Snow In Colorado

'Gold Rush 2.0" Thanks To California's Historic Snowpack

Impressive Greenland SMB Gains

Bone-Chilling Lows Grip Northern India

Extreme Chills Grip Northern Europe

Shimla's Record-Cold Start To June

=====

May: Soooo Hot!

May Down Under: Forecast vs Reality

China's Colder-Than-Average May

Low Temperature Records Continue To Fall Down Under

Australia's Record-Cold May

Australia's Coldest-Ever May Temperatures

Record Cold Continues To Sweep Australia

Record Monthly Cold Sweeps Queensland

Australia Suffers Record Lows And Early Snows

Anomalously-cold temperatures across the entire continent of Arsetralia

Another Cooler-Than-Average Month Down Under

Bone-Chilling Lows Grip Northern India
NOAA: Low Temp Records Outstripping Heat By 2-1
"Unprecedented" Frosts Destroy Northeast Vineyards, Orchards...
Australia Sees Year-Round Snowpatches, As Record Cold Persists
Frosts Sweep Europe
UK's Year Without A Spring
"Pneumonia Front" To Sweep Midwest
Alaska's Fourth Cold Winter In A Row
Record Frosts Sweep The Ukraine And Russia
Winter Arrives Early In New Zealand
Cold Czech Republic
Northern India's Coldest Start To May Since 1987
Mongolia's Brutally Cold Winter Kills Livestock -
Leaves 212,000 People In Need Of Aid
Pakistan's Frigid April
Cold Winter Reduces North Dakota Mule Deer Numbers
Alaska's Very Cold April
Cold And Wet Kenya
Eastern Europe's Freezing April Spills Into May
Historic May Cold On Course For Michigan
Record Cold Sweeps India
Solar Activity Down, Global Temperatures Down
Arctic Sea Ice Up
Six Straight Cold Months For Cheyenne
Nome's "Coldest April In A lifetime"
Cool UK
Record Cool Latvia
Reversed Polarity Sunspot