Debunking Activists' 'Big Lie' About Earth's Ever-Changing Climate

[AlleyCat]

Debunking Activists" "Big Lie" About Earth's Ever-Changing Climate

You go to the doctor and he says that you have a life-threatening disease. So
what do you do? The average person would get a second or third opinion. A form
of mass psychosis has permeated most of Western society and it is most
peculiar.

When it comes to claims of a climate catastrophe, millions of people have
blindly accepted that supposition and not searched for a second opinion.

Many must be somewhat forgiven as they have been subjected to Goebbels's big
lie, driven largely by politicians, elitists, and the mainstream media seeking
power and money.

So let's examine patient Earth to start. Since we're talking about climate
change, let's begin with Earth's climates. Notice the word is plural and you
will find the map above and many others with detailed explanations.

In reality, the Earth is split into five main climate zones: Three of them are
tropical (1) (always hot), temperate (2) (hot/cold), and polar (3) (always
cold).

Koppen has subdivided these zones into 30 types and so the patient has a
complicated climate anatomy. There are many different factors that drive this
diversity.

The catastrophe is all about life on Earth so it is largely to begin to
understand the distribution of that life relating to climates.

With simplicity, the greatest diversity and abundance of life is in the hot
tropics and the least is in the coldest polar regions.

As well, the prestigious medical journal Lancet estimates that a minimum of ten
times more humans die from cold than from heat.

Also, history chronicles civilizations prospering during warm periods and
waning during cold periods. See the Little Ice Age.

Next is to understand what creates the myriad of different climates. First are
the Earth's wind patterns, specifically Hadley and Ferrel cells.

Then there are ocean currents. Along with continental shapes and topographies,
wind and ocean currents drive temperatures that create a multitude of different
climates.

The most important fact is that the planet is not static. Everything, including
tectonic plates, is constantly in motion and so climate change is constant.

There are some final pieces of homework to do. Now, examine the Scotese-Berner
climate graph. The Earth today is cold, about 7°C colder than 80% of the last
600 million years.

Over the last 800,000 thousand years, Earth's temperatures have cycled through
eight full glacial epochs and we are now in a warm period called an
interglacial.

Now go to the Vostok ice core sample graphs and the pattern is clear with temps
roughly 10°C colder than today. The link relates that temperatures drive Carbon
Dioxide, not the reverse as we've been told.

At the very least you will realize the absolute complexity of climates but this
goes further. You've all experienced that local daily temperature estimates are
most often 2 to 3 degrees wrong.

Settled climate science predicts 1.5839 degrees of warming in the coming
decades will be catastrophic. This is taking the sublime to the ridiculous.

The word settled is a misnomer as, for example, Einstein's Theory of Relativity
is still under dispute.

Finally, there is more to understand and the Scotese-Berner graph (NOAA has a
similar graph) shows it well.

One, carbon dioxide and temperatures are rarely in sync. Two, the
catastrophists cannot explain what caused the massive changes in the past.

With the massive complexity of the climate, we cannot predict the future and
logic dictates getting a second opinion.

And remember the jocular truism from Yogi Berra: "Predictions are hard,
especially about the future."

Note also the 2001 IPCC statement: "The climate system is a coupled non-linear
chaotic system, and therefore the long-term prediction of future climate states
is not possible.'

Share this with your family and friends, especially those with K- through 12-
aged children. Understanding the fascinating complexity of our "Blue Marble" in
the vastness of the cosmos can create joy and wonderment in the young.

It will also give them the knowledge to make rational decisions (ones not
driven by catastrophic fear-mongering) in the future regarding how to protect
what we have been blessed with.

http://euanmearns.com/the-vostok-ice-core-and-the-14000-year-co2-time-lag/

https://climatechangedispatch.com/ap-climate-army-four-far-left-big-money-orgs-
funding-ap-eco-journalists/

https://climatechangedispatch.com/billionaire-climate-elites-have-their-own-
rules-and-agenda/

https://climatechangedispatch.com/can-computer-models-predict-climate/

https://climatechangedispatch.com/climate-change-obsession-is-a-real-mental-
disorder/

https://climatechangedispatch.com/media-gloats-after-browbeating-journal-into-
retracting-non-alarmist-paper/

https://climatechangedispatch.com/media-misrepresents-study-heat-related-
deaths-vs-cold-related-deaths/

https://climatechangedispatch.com/shellenberger-no-humans-are-not-causing-a-
sixth-mass-extinction/

https://climatechangedispatch.com/tucker-carlson-exposes-the-hypocritical-
climate-lies-of-politicians/

https://climatechangedispatch.com/what-climate-crisis-a-primer-on-earths-
turbulent-climatic-past/

https://climatechangedispatch.com/why-global-warming-is-good-for-us/

https://climatediscussionnexus.com/2022/01/19/so-about-that-stable-climate/

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Big_lie

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Köppen_climate_classification

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ocean_current

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Prevailing_winds

https://www.britannica.com/science/Little-Ice-Age

https://www.google.com/imgres?imgurl=https%3A%2F%2Flookaside.fbsbx.com%
2Flookaside%2Fcrawler%2Fmedia%2F%3Fmedia_id%3D1050457219130739
&tbnid=nka_IDxHS1JXcM&vet=
12ahUKEwiOnK6wh4CBAxXyF1kFHdl7ACQQMygHegQIARBk..i&imgrefurl=https%3A%2F%
2Fwww.facebook.com%2Fgroups%2FAnswersInClimateScience%2Fposts%
2F2040423586125886%2F&docid=O-Driq1nGt5m0M&w=743&h=492&q=wiki scotese berner
graph&ved=2ahUKEwiOnK6wh4CBAxXyF1kFHdl7ACQQMygHegQIARBk

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=09maaUaRT4M

=====

August... So Hot!

Heavy Snow Revives New Zealands Ruapehu Resort

Banff, Alberta Reports First Snowfall Of The Season

Temperature Crash In The Alps Leads To Additional Summer Snowfall

Michigan Suffers Freezing August Lows

"Mega Snowstorm" Delivers 12 Feet of Snow To Argentina And Chile

"Polar Blast" Hits Australia

Antarctica Breaks *Multiple* All-Time Low Temperature Records

Record Cold Denver

Historic Snow pack Leads To Full Utah Reservoirs

B.C. Glaciers 28-49% Thicker Than Models Estimated
Record Cold Myanmar
Pakistan's Frigid 2023
Australia's Snow Warnings
U.S. Burn Acreage Fourth-Lowest on Record (Since 1926)
UT And CO Still Have Snow
Barrier Reef Holding On To Record Coral Gains
German Mountains See 4-Inches of Summer Snow
Cold Julys From Fiji To The UK
Historically Cold Italy
U.S. Ski Industry Reports Record-Breaking 65.4 Million Skier Visits Last Season
Cold Ireland
Cool U.S.
"Unusual" Temperature Drop Recorded Across Pacific Islands
Record-Cold Sweeps Europe As "Intense Snow" Continues To Pound Italy And Spain
Almanac Predicts Cold, Snowy Winter For U.S.
New August Low For Rapa Island
Europe's Colder-Than-Average (And Snowy) July
UK's Historically Cold Summer Drags On
Greenland Ice Sheet Uptick
Sierra Snow pack 1000% of Normal
Svalbard Polar Bears Enjoy Above Average Ice

[Kym Horsell]

jus member -- der id NO NO NO NO NO NO TREN in landfallin hurkanes!!

<https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/hurdat>

It's time to update our data again and check the rise in landfalling
hurricanes since 1900 from the HURDAT2 database.
The last entry in the file right now is May 2022.

Cutting the file into 2 halves we find the time series trend for
landfalling "marked with ", L ," each 1/2 (ignoring 13% of outliers
far above the line and 13% of outliers far below the trend line)
is as follows:

From 1900-1961:
y = 0.0710899*x + -133.381
beta in 0.0710899 +- 0.0148961 = [0.0561938, 0.0859861] (75% CI)
T-test: P(beta>0) = 1.000000
r2 = 0.34255315

From 1962-2022:
y = 0.139559*x + -273.656
beta in 0.139559 +- 0.0230118 = [0.116547, 0.162571]
T-test: P(beta>0) = 1.000000
r2 = 0.54984856

I.e. we find a 99%+ stat sig trend even allowing for serial corr in
the data in BOTH HALVES OF THE DATASET.
IOW landfalling Atlantic storms have been increasing since at least 1900.

We also find that the interval of the "beta" (trend) for the 2nd half
of the data is entirely above the trend for the 1st half of the data.
(I.e. the lwb for the end 1/2 is .116 and that is above the upb
for the first 1/2 at .086. Since each 1/2 has a 75% 1-sigma
conf interval, the combined interval for this simple mental arithmetic
test is 2-sigma i.e. we are 95% confident it is there).

Not only are more landfalling storms happening year by year but the
trend from 1962 to the present -- around .14 more landfalls per year
-- is higher than the trend from 1900 to 1961.

The trend is accelerating.

This is all entirely in line with AGW predictions since the 1970s
and all scientific datasets since at least WWII.

--
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The world consumes 35,442,913,090 barrels of oil as of the year 2016,
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Reserves/Consumption: 47 <== years left i.e. 2016+47 == 2063
-- Worldometer

[The Cleanup:]
A Very Strange Climate Drove Hurricane Idalia
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[Dat wood bee sintifly unposibil!!]

'This is a life-changing event': Floridians start an arduous recovery as
Idalia keeps thrashing North Carolina
CNN, 31 Aug 2023 20:19Z
Tropical Storm Idalia keeps pounding the Southeast's Atlantic coast,
bringing strong winds and storm surge in North Carolina while parts of
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[The NHC still showing 3ft surge warning for NC along 1/2 the coast].

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