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Russia Fortifies Defenses in Southern Ukraine, Analysts Say

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Nov 28, 2022, 4:12:56 PM11/28/22
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Russian forces are digging trenches and erecting barriers to strengthen
their defenses against the possibility of a new Ukrainian offensive in the
south following Moscow’s loss of a key city there, a research group said
in a report published on Sunday.

Since Moscow ordered its troops to pull out of Kherson city earlier this
month and retreat to the eastern bank of the Dnipro River, Russian forces
have been working to fortify their defensive lines in the region, which is
a gateway to the occupied Crimean Peninsula.

https://www.nytimes.com/2022/11/28/world/europe/russia-ukraine-kherson-defense.html

“The Russian defensive positions suggest that the Russian military
leadership views the prospect of a Ukrainian counteroffensive across the
Dnipro River as a serious threat,” the Institute for the Study of War, a
research group based in Washington, said in the report. The report did not
predict whether Ukrainian forces would attempt such a crossing.

Ukraine’s rivers have proved a formidable obstacle for both sides in the
conflict, with attempts to cross them often putting troops in vulnerable
positions. Analysts say that any concerted attempt by Ukrainian forces to
cross the Dnipro River would most likely involve extensive preparation.

Russia began building a string of defensive positions in the eastern part
of the Kherson region in October, the report said. Satellite images taken
on Nov. 15 — four days after Ukrainian forces triumphantly swept into the
city of Kherson — showed trenches and concrete anti-tank defenses,
pyramid-shaped concrete blocks placed in rows, the report said, adding
that Russian forces appeared to be to trying to protect key logistics
routes.

Ukrainian authorities have declined to give details of military operations
in the south since the recapture of Kherson. Natalia Humeniuk, the
spokeswoman for the Ukrainian military’s southern command, said on Monday
that an operation to take control of the Kinburn Spit, a peninsula at the
mouth of the Dnipro River was ongoing.

“This is very difficult work,” she told national television, citing the
increasingly harsh weather conditions as winter approaches, as well as the
location of the peninsula.

Ukraine’s attempts to win back territory seized in the nine months since
Russia’s full-scale invasion began have come in waves. Some military
analysts say that a relative pause is taking place in the south following
Ukraine’s recapture of Kherson, as both sides attempt to regroup and
refresh their forces while temperatures begin to plunge.

### - got it?

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Nov 28, 2022, 8:43:29 PM11/28/22
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> Ukraine’s attempts to win back territory seized in the nine months since
> Russia’s full-scale invasion began have come in waves. Some military
> analysts say that a relative pause is taking place in the south
> following Ukraine’s recapture of Kherson, as both sides attempt to
> regroup and refresh their forces while temperatures begin to plunge.

> - got it?

### - ukraine momentum faltering, result: outrage/frustration!

big-big risk of a red-flag event then right now?

some shock/horror story etc: "look what they done! look what they DONE!!!"

(more missiles into poland maybe, blows up the nuke station, or even that
big dam?)

white still to move... summat's cooking dammit...

place yer bets :)
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