Mega Earthquake San Francisco

CalTech Labs

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Mar 21, 2011, 8:15:23 AM3/21/11

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http://coupmedia.org/earthquakes/mega-earthquake-san-francisco-
2011-1703

Experts are predicting the next mega earthquake will be the
Pacific coast of the United States possibly within days, weeks
or months. Placing the Ring of fire at the source for the
rumblings starting in Chile in 2010, New Zeland last month and
now Japan just last week.

Unfortunately, the credibility of this prediction comes with a
substantial amount of weight. Berkland believes that's about to
change. He told as much to Cavuto: "The month of October, March,
and April are the three most devastating earthquakes in terms of
damage in the San Francisco Bay Area in history. And we are
having on the 19th of this month not only the full moon, but
within an hour the closest approach of the moon to the earth
until the year 2016. The next day is the equinoctial tides. So
you're bringing together three of the maximum tide raising
forces. We know about the ocean tides. But there is also an
Earth tide. And there is a tide in the ground water. All of
these help to release sudden, built up strain, and cause
earthquakes."

肘n South America the Nazca plate is colliding with the South
American plate. This has created the Andes and volcanoes such as
Cotopaxi and Azul.

肘n Central America, the tiny Cocos plate is crashing into the
North American plate and is therefore responsible for the
Mexican volcanoes of Popocatepetl and Paricutun (which rose up
from a cornfield in 1943 and became a instant mountains).

稗etween Northern California and British Columbia, the Pacific,
Juan de Fuca, and Gorda plates have built the Cascades and the
infamous Mount Saint Helens, which erupted in 1980.

柊laska's Aleutian Islands are growing as the Pacific plate hits
the North American plate. The deep Aleutian Trench has been
created at the subduction zone with a maximum depth of 25,194
feet (7679 meters).

彦rom Russia's Kamchatka Peninsula to Japan, the subduction of
the Pacific plate under the Eurasian plate is responsible for
Japanese islands and volcanoes (such as Mt. Fuji).

謬he final section of the Ring of Fire exists where the Indo-
Australian plate subducts under the Pacific plate and has
created volcanoes in the New Guinea and Micronesian areas. Near
New Zealand, the Pacific Plate slides under the Indo-Australian
plate.

Phlip

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Mar 21, 2011, 9:50:05 AM3/21/11

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> And we are
> having on the 19th of this month not only the full moon, but
> within an hour the closest approach of the moon to the earth
> until the year 2016.

Bzzzt.

This month was merely the first simultaneous full moon and perigee
moon in a while.

Perigee can't shift; it merely happens once a month, not always at
full moon. Asking the fullness of the moon to create earthquakes
requires its position opposite the Sun to somehow pull on the earth's
crust, with the tides. This also happens once a month.

Robert Carnegie

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Mar 21, 2011, 10:07:44 AM3/21/11

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I'm going to be really offended if this is right. And I live in
Scotland.

Quadibloc

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Mar 21, 2011, 10:41:22 AM3/21/11

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On Mar 21, 7:50 am, Phlip <phlip2...@gmail.com> wrote:

> This month was merely the first simultaneous full moon and perigee
> moon in a while.
>
> Perigee can't shift; it merely happens once a month, not always at
> full moon. Asking the fullness of the moon to create earthquakes
> requires its position opposite the Sun to somehow pull on the earth's
> crust, with the tides. This also happens once a month.

I will agree that the current "supermoon" is hardly likely to make
very much difference, one way or another, to the danger of an
earthquake in Southern California.

I do think that with all the other earthquakes relieving strain
elsewhere around the Pacific plate, though, that definitely does leave
room for displacement creating additional strain at the San Andreas
fault. That there could be an earthquake there sometime in the next
year seems all too plausible to me as a result of this - but it's by
no means certain.

After all, there _was_ a Los Angeles earthquake a couple decades ago.
I don't know how much strain that relieved - it might be that area is
ahead of the game, and there'll have to be another cycle (or two) of
earthquakes in Chile, New Zealand, and Japan before the Pacific plate
starts pulling on the San Andreas fault.

Or maybe the pull there has increased - but it's stuck pretty hard,
and so again another few cycles of earthquakes elsewhere is needed...
and then there will be a particularly big and devastating Southern
California earthquake, sometime fifty years from now.

All I can say is that it seems to me, in my ignorance, that the risk
probably does have to be regarded as somewhat elevated in the next
year or so. By how much, I have no idea.

John Savard

(¯`·.¸ Craig Chilton¸.·´¯) <http://www.LayoffRemedy.com>

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Mar 21, 2011, 10:41:34 AM3/21/11

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On Mon, 21 Mar 2011 06:50:05 -0700 (PDT),
Phlip <phli...@gmail.com> wrote:

> This month was merely the first simultaneous full moon and peri-
> gee moon in a while.

>
> Perigee can't shift; it merely happens once a month, not always at
> full moon. Asking the fullness of the moon to create earthquakes
> requires its position opposite the Sun to somehow pull on the earth's
> crust, with the tides. This also happens once a month.

True. And while THIS perigee was the closest one in 19 years
(and that happens every 19 years), the difference in the distance
between the earth and the moon at a perigee such as this, and
that of an average perigee, is not enough to add enough gravi-
tational pull on the earth's crust to induce quakes. The ONLY pos-
sible way that it could trigger one is if a plate/fault slippage were
already within a hair's breadth of occurring, and needled just the
SLIGHTEST extra boost.

Actually, the gravitational forces of a NEW moon at perigee are
the greatest ones, whenever it happens, because then the pulls of
BOTH the sun AND the moon are being exerted upon the SAME side
of the earth, simultaneously.

Anyone wanting to roll the dice on the moon's having enough
influence to possibly push an impending quake over the tipping
point might want to home in on May 26, 2017, plus-or-minus 72
hours or so... the next time a "supermoon" perigee will occur as a
NEW moon. And that's not likely to be mentioned by the media any-
where, because unlike the "supermoon" phenomenon we just had,
we won't be able to visibly SEE that one.

Distance* on 3-19-11: 356,577 km.
Distance on 6-26-17: 357,209 km.

* from center of the moon to center of the earth.

In miles, this works out to the distance from earth to moon
that we just saw was merely 365 miles closer this time than the
one in 2017 will be. For dice-rollers, that's negligible. The
summed pulls on one side of the earth that'll happen in 2017
would be of more importance, making the 2017 one stronger,
gravitationally, than the 2011 one just was.

To see these data for yourself, go to:

http://www.fourmilab.ch/earthview/pacalc.html

Since there are FAR greater forces at work in the earth's
crust than lunar and solar gravitational pulls, I wouldn't want
to BASE a quake prediction on them. But if a quake WERE to
occur very close to 5-26-17, I wouldn't rule out the possibility
that an imminent one could have been pushed over the edge
by the additional force imparted by those.

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Mar 21, 2011, 10:51:33 AM3/21/11

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I doubt the combined lunar and equinoctal factors increase the odds of
a quake by as much as 1/10th of 1 percent, but it is clear that the
Rim of Fire is going through an active phrase, and the West Coast is
due for a major quake.

But I doubt we'll see it in the next few days.

Wayne Throop

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Mar 21, 2011, 12:18:49 PM3/21/11

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: Phlip <phli...@gmail.com>
: Perigee can't shift; it merely happens once a month, not always at

: full moon. Asking the fullness of the moon to create earthquakes
: requires its position opposite the Sun to somehow pull on the earth's
: crust, with the tides.

You mean like... the solar and lunar tides being aligned when the lunar
tides are at their maximum? Hm. And if it could be arranged that
the earth be at perihelion at about that time...

"Well, it was about that time that I notice that girl scout was about
eight stories tall and was a crustacean from the protozoic era.
"The Loch Ness monster."
"I said, "Dammit monster! Get off my lawn!""
--- South Park

Wayne Throop thr...@sheol.org http://sheol.org/throopw

Greg Goss

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Mar 21, 2011, 2:18:03 PM3/21/11

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"CalTech Labs" <rumble...@caltech.edu> wrote:

>http://coupmedia.org/earthquakes/mega-earthquake-san-francisco-2011-1703
>

>Experts are predicting the next mega earthquake will be the
>Pacific coast of the United States possibly within days, weeks
>or months.

> we are
>having on the 19th of this month not only the full moon, but
>within an hour the closest approach of the moon to the earth
>until the year 2016. The next day is the equinoctial tides. So
>you're bringing together three of the maximum tide raising
>forces. We know about the ocean tides. But there is also an
>Earth tide. And there is a tide in the ground water. All of
>these help to release sudden, built up strain, and cause
>earthquakes."

Thank you for predicting the great San Francisco quake of the 19th or
the 20th.

On the 21st. You do see the problem here, don't you?
--
Tomorrow is today already.
Greg Goss, 1989-01-27