Up to the end of 2014, Julian dear used to post
"Why 2015 might well be mankind's happiest new
year", but has not been doing so since. In such
posts, he quoted Steven Pinker of Harvard about
the decrease in world violence. There has been
a new article about the same author at the liberal
site Vox, and it repeats the latter's optimism.
<
http://www.vox.com/2016/8/16/12486586/2016-worst-year-ever-violence-trump-terrorism>
<<It certainly is a danger. Pessimism can be a
self-fulfilling prophecy. While we have to be
realistic about changes both up and down in rates
of violence, we have to remind ourselves that
violence is a problem we can deal with, that we
have dealt with, and what’s important is to look at
it realistically. To keep track of when it goes up,
when it goes down, and what causes it to go up
and go down and do more of what causes it to go
down. We know over the last couple of years that
it has gone down, so we should figure out what
we did to achieve that and do more of it.>>
<<Brexit and Trump — these are not good
developments. I don’t think Brexit is going to lead
to another war. I would say it’s not good news. But
it's too early to tell.
I do think that politicians, especially on the left,
would be unwise to ignore changes in violence. It's
important not to panic. But there has been a small
increase in the US in the last one and a half years,
and it would be foolish for politicians to just hand
that issue over to the right and pretend it doesn't
exist.>>
Tang Huyen