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New CFD 2014 Key

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Michael Bauknight

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Dec 7, 2023, 8:10:28 AM12/7/23
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In 2021, the AIAA CFD Vision 2030 IC Roadmap subcommittee released areport reviewing progress and challenges associated with thetechnology items identified on the Roadmap from its initial releasethrough 2020. This document identified that while significant progresshad been made on key technology demonstration items, many of theoriginal milestones were behind schedule. With some of the findingssince 2014, some of these milestones are less critical at present andnew items of study have been identified. This report was followed by acompanion paper [2] presented at AIAA Aviation that provided an updatedRoadmap with shifted milestones and the addition of new technologymilestones as well as enhanced Domain definitions. This paper alsoprovided a TRL level scale to measure technology development appropriatefor this type of community-level activity and performed an initialassessment of the tasks. More detailed descriptions were also providedto assist in quantifying progress.

The CFD Vision 2030 Study (referred to hereafter as Study) contracted byNASA was published in 2014 and has become an aspirational objective forfocusing CFD development areas toward aerospace applications. ThisRoadmap identified the six main technical domains for aligning researchas high performance computing (HPC), physical modeling, algorithms,geometry and grid generation, knowledge extraction, andmultidisciplinary analysis and optimization (MDAO), with subtopicswithin each of these maturing from 2015 to 2030. These maturingtechnologies target the application of CFD to aerospace applications ofincreasing complexity through 2030. Development of these techniques isfundamental to the successful execution of a series of grand challengeproblems. The grand challenge problems are a stepping stone to routineapplication of CFD to an array of design and development problems withsignificantly expanded scope and complexity.

New CFD 2014 Key
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The CFD Vision 2030 Study, contracted by NASA, was published in 2014and has become an aspirational objective for focusing CFD development onaerospace applications. The Study identified six main technical domainsfor aligning research: high performance computing (HPC), physicalmodeling, algorithms, geometry and grid generation, knowledgeextraction, and multi-disciplinary analysis and optimization (MDAO).Within each domain, sub-disciplines (aka elements) illustrate thematuration of technology during the time period from 2015 to 2030.Each of the elements have theirown timeline to identify key technology milestones and technologydemonstrations. This Roadmap provides a compact and informative summaryof future objectives and milestones, but some details are necessarilyomitted from the graphic due to space constraints. These maturingtechnologies target the use of CFD for aerospace applications ofincreasing complexity which are represented in the Study by a series ofgrand challenge problems. At the 2019 AIAA Aviation forum, five yearsafter the Study was published, a special session was held with invitedlectures reviewing the progress and future in the six domains.Recognizing the ongoing utility of the Vision toward improving CFDtechnology, AIAA formed the CFD 2030 Integration Committee (IC). One ofthe charters of the IC is to maintain the Roadmap by assessing progressand highlighting the ongoing needs of aerospace CFD. Shortly after the2019 Aviation Forum special session, the IC formed a Roadmapsubcommittee to provide a detailed technical review of the Roadmap andidentify progress with (and challenges to) following the outlinedtrajectory. The Roadmap subcommittee released a report in June of 2021with their findings to provide further guidance to the researchcommunity. While this report cannot be exhaustive and there are likelysome elements omitted or inadvertently neglected, it represents inputsfrom a diverse group of experts in the field. This paper describes theapproach taken, summarizes the findings, and provides an update to theVision 2030 Roadmap reflecting the present understanding.

The results are encouraging. The market, which in 2010 was estimated at US$ 180 million, is expected to grow at a 12.7 percent CAGR to $US 290.9 million by 2014. Key customers are large enterprises, design houses, and research organizations and universities. (At Digital Manufacturing Report, we have interviewed a number of smaller companies using CFD, although obviously the big enterprises will continue to account for the bulk of the technology's use.)

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