On Fri, 14 Jun 2013 02:18:09 -0700 (PDT), Rupert <
rupertm...@yahoo.com>
wrote:
>On Thursday, June 13, 2013 9:59:51 PM UTC+2, d...@. wrote:
>> On Tue, 11 Jun 2013 10:41:25 -0700 (PDT), Rupert <
rupertm...@yahoo.com>
>>
>> wrote:
>>
>> >It's possible, I suppose.
>>
>>
>>
>> How could it? Try to think of some ways, and about how MUCH influence. Also
>>
>> in the case of rice...even more so in fact. See what you come up with yourself
>>
>> even just thinking about it, if you can.
>>
>
>I suggest you ask
You've let me know that you have no idea at all. You can't comprehend how
any domestic animals could have lives of positive vallue. You claim you can't
comprehend any distinction between lives of positive and negative value. And you
can't comprehend how the surrounding areas could have influence on the number of
animals who die in crop fields. You are truly a horribly clueless person IF
you're being honest about how much you can't comprehend.
>an ecologist about it, if the topic interests you.
I have a casual interest in it and can comprehend WAY better than you who
should have a strong interest in it IF!!! you cared at all. You don't care as we
have seen by YOUR demonstrations, like this one.
>> >I don't have any idea what the standard deviation is, no.
>>
>>
>>
>> You don't know what any of it is, including the standard deviation. You
>>
>> don't know what the mean is, or if there even is one. If there is don't you
>>
>> think it changes every day to some extent, especially during popular harvest
>>
>> periods?
>>
>
>The mean would not vary that much over time, and as far as variation with the harvest period goes you would be taking the mean across the different harvest periods. I have a reasonable estimate for the mean. No-one is claiming it's an estimate with a high degree of precision, but it's reasonable to suppose that it would at least be the correct order of magnitude.
You haven't come anywhere near it yet. You tried to pretend it is 15 total
deaths when the guy said there are over 15 deaths of ONE species from a single
operation, and there are a number of different operations and even more
different species.
>> >But none of the claims I have made require a knowledge of the standard deviation, as I explained.
>>
>>
>>
>> LOL! YOU brought it up.
>>
>
>Yes, because *you* have made claims which would require a knowledge of the standard deviation.
Not as much as your lie about 15 total deaths when the reality is more than
15 deaths of ONE species for ONE operation....
>I have explained this before, you know. You're pretty slow on the uptake.
>
>> >But the cows are eventually killed. So you need to have some kind of basis for comparing the death rates for each serving of food.
>>
>>
>>
>> It would be on a case by case basis. But we can consider the processes.
>>
>>
>>
>> In one situation we have cattle eating grass, and however many wild animals
>>
>> sharing the area and sometimes the grass with them. Once in a while some of the
>>
>> cattle will surely kill something by stepping on it, but by FAR the vast
>>
>> majority of the wildlife living in the pastures don't get killed by the cattle.
>>
>
>We just keep going back to the same point over and over again. You have to compare the collateral death rates from soybean production with the death rates from slaughter for beef production.
Far less than 50% of the animals living in grazing areas are killed by the
cattle. Over 50% of the animals living in crop fields are killed by crop
farming. Done.
>I've already done this calculation, and you haven't engaged with my reasoning in any meaningful way.
>
>>
>>
>> In the other situation we have land that is untouched for several months, giving
>>
>> wildlife from surrounding areas (when they exist) the opportunity to populate
>>
>> the land we're discussing. Heavy tractors and farm machinery enter the area and
>>
>> turn the ground inside out, killing however many of the animals living in the
>>
>> area. It is then done again killing more of whatever are left. Then it's entered
>>
>> by machines that plant the seed. Then it's left alone for a while giving the
>>
>> seed time to grow and wildlife from the surrounding areas time again to
>>
>> repopulate the land we're discussing. After a period of however long (probably
>>
>> months) the area is often treated with chemicals which will killl whatever
>>
>> percentage of the populations of wildlife. If heavy machinery is used to apply
>>
>> the chemicals to the area instead of planes flying above it, that many more
>>
>> deaths will result. The aree may be treated with chemicals more than once per
>>
>> growing season. After a period of time (probably months) the crop is harvested.
>>
>> Heavy farm machinery enters the are harvesting the crop and killing whatever
>>
>> percentage of wildlife. Also after harvest a certain percentage of the surviving
>>
>> wildlife will be killed because they don't have the shelter they did have to
>>
>> hide them from predators. According to the info you presented ONE of the various
>>
>> operations kills more than 50% of the wildlife. Sometimes ONE operation kills as
>>
>> much as 80% of some populations! There are several operations! And you really
>>
>> want me to believe that you can't figure out how these processes kill
>>
>> significantly more wildlife than cattle do by eating grass? That you can't
>>
>> figure out how it EVER does??? LOL...and that you have a PhD in math too! LOL!
>>
>
>Why exactly is it that you are so stupid that you cannot realize that I am not making any comparison between the death rates from crop production and the deaths caused by cattle eating grass?
You can't do it because you're either too stupid to comprehend or you
cognitive dissonance is preventing you from doing it or most likely it's a
combiniation of both. That's because if you were not stupid enough to get in
your position you would never in your life get into the position that cognitive
dissonance prevents you from being able to appreciate aspects of human influence
on animals like this. In contrast to your position I'm not too stupid to
comprehend these aspects, nor do I have cognitive dissonance preventing me from
being able to appreciate them.
>It should be obvious right from the start anyway, and I've also repeatedly explained it to you. Why do you keep on bringing up the same stupid straw man over and over again? What's wrong with you?
>
>> >I've given it to you once. Look it up on Wikipedia.
>>
>>
>>
>> You've let me know that it doesn't matter.
>>
>
>That is false.
>
>> >No.
>>
>>
>>
>> Then don't bring it up any more, especially since it doesn't matter.
>>
>
>I don't take orders from you. I will bring up what I feel like bringing up,
Yet you can't apply it to my position or yours, in part because you have no
clue at all what it is.
>and I will not provide you with free tutoring in statistics on demand when I have already given you the definition and you can easily look it up on Wikipedia. The standard deviation is relevant to some of the claims that you have made. You would do well to educate yourself about it. If you can't be bothered doing that, then it's no skin off my nose, but I will bring up whatever I feel like bringing up.
>
>> >I explained it to you once. I'm not going to waste my time explaining it again. Look it up on Wikipedia.
>>
>>
>>
>> LOL. I'm not going to waste my time looking into it especially now that
>>
>> you've shown that it doesn't matter.
>>
>
>It would not be a waste of your time
Yes it would.
>to educate yourself about basic statistical concepts which every numerate citizen of the modern age should know. I have not shown that it doesn't matter.
Yes you have.
>> >I copied and pasted the quote. He says what he thinks they are.
>>
>>
>>
>> He did NOT list all the animals that die in soybean production.
>>
>
>How do you know?
Because he didn't mention some that do. If you think he did then you list
the ones he mentioned and if I can't point out any that aren't on his list then
and only then can we consider that he possibly did mention them all. Go:
>> >No reason to believe it's not an accurate estimate? Why not?
>>
>>
>>
>> Because I have no reason to believe it is,
>
>He presented some reason to believe that it is. You don't have to agree, but you should at least engage with what he wrote, instead of pretending you've been given no reason.
I have been given no reason. Try giving one, if you think it exists. Go:
. . .
>> That's just ONE type of animal, but you dishonestly tried to pretend it was
>>
>> the total number of deaths for all animals killed until I caught you at it and
>>
>> pointed it out.
>>
>
>It looks as though he's assuming that field mice will represent the majority of animals killed. Perhaps we should email him and ask him about it. I was not dishonest in any way.
You sure were, and now you're lying about that too.
>I presented you with the quotation explaining his reasoning, I was completely upfront about what the claim was and the reasoning behind it. You shouldn't accuse people of dishonesty when you have no grounds for doing so. It's unethical.
You lie to me frequently and that's unethical from my pov. Then you lie
about your lies, and then you bitch because I point out your lies. ALL of that
is unethical.
>> >The total death rate could be a bit more.
>>
>>
>>
>> LOL!!! It could also be a LOT more.
>>
>
>Could be. I've presented you with one reasonable attempt to estimate the mean death rate from soybean production,
No you haven't. You couldn't have because you can't do it at all, and I feel
confident you never will be able to. I do challenge you to try though. Go:
>and I've claimed that it's likely to be at least the correct order of magnitude.
The number you tried to get me to believe was the total far less than half.
You should be ashamed.
>You've presented me with no data of your own about the matter whatsoever. So where does that leave us?
>
>You made a claim about how the death rate for biscuit production compares with the death rate for deer meat production. You've shown yourself to be completely incapable of substantiating this claim in any way.
>
>>
>>
>> >But it's absurd to think that it would be as high as 3000 per hectare, which is what would be needed to justify your claim that the death rate for tofu is higher than that for grass-fed beef by a factor of "hundreds".
>>
>>
>>
>> What is the death rate per hectare of wildlife killed by cattle eating
>>
>> grass?
>>
>
>No idea. For the purposes of my calculations, I've been assuming it's zero. What's that got to do with the price of fish?
That means zero deaths compared with over 50% of entire populations killed.
>> >> >"It takes 10 kg of milk to produce 1 kg of cheese. The cumulative elasticity factor for milk products is 0.45. So buying one 20-gram slice of cheese will lead to an expected increase of 90 grams in the total amount of milk produced.
>>
>> >> How exactly would it do that, and what would be different if that one slice
>> >> were not bought?
>>
>> >An increase in the demand for milk products leads to an increase in the supply. The cumulative elasticity factor gives you the ratio. If that one slice were not bought, the total profitability of the dairy industry would be slightly smaller and dairy farmers would have less incentive to produce.
>>
>>
>> LOL!!!! You certainly live in an imaginary world that does not exist on this
>>
>> planet, and probably doesn't exist anywhere in the universe imo.
>>
>
>You've agreed that if the slices of cheese are bought in sufficient quantity then that will have an effect on the dairy farmers' incentive to produce, right?
Now you're HORRIBLY dishonestly trying to pretend that a single slice of
cheese and a "sufficient quantity" of cheese are the same thing when they are
NOT. That's very similar to you HORRIBLY dishonestly pretending that the death
rate of a single species in a single operation is the same as the combined death
rates of all species in a number of operations.
>Well then, you can't consistently claim that one slice of cheese has no effect whatsoever.
So far I can still make the claim and you can't even pretend to make it
appear untrue.
>If buying one slice of cheese had absolutely zero probability of having an impact,
Try to explain exactly WHAT impact you want people to think buying one slice
of cheese could possibly have. Go:
>then buying 10,000 slices of cheese would also have zero probability of having an impact, and you've agreed that's not so.
>
>What I am saying is just basic common sense.
>
>> >> >But there is a small probability that it will have some effect.
>>
>> >> No there isn't.
>>
>> >Of course there is. There has to be. Otherwise you could buy 10,000 of these slices of cheese and the probability would still be zero that it would have any effect, which is absurd.
>>
>>
>>
>> You honestly believe the sale of 10K slices of cheese would have an impact
>>
>> on the entire dairy industry?
>>
>
>At some point, there will be an impact.
Not with one slice, as you have dishonestly been trying to pretend.
>If people stopped buying dairy products altogether, the dairy industry would cease to exist. There's a relationship between the amount demanded and the amount supplied, given by the cumulative elasticity factor. If you focus on any individual small purchase then the probability that there will be any impact is very small, but there's still an expected impact. There has to be, because we know that a sufficiently large number of purchases has an impact.
>
>I find this conversation tedious.
You're trying to get me to believe something I know isn't true, and I'm not
stupid enough to fall for it.
>> >You're a fool.
>>
>>
>>
>> Maybe, but you're a bigger fool however much a fool I am.
>>
>
>You are entitled to your opinion.
>
>> >> >Well, anyone can agree or disagree with me as they see fit,
>> >> >what I am interested in is some evidence that I am wrong.
>>
>> >> The fact that there's no way buying a slice of cheese COULD have impact on
>> >> anything is some very strong evidence, now that you mention it.
>>
>> >Why is there no way that could happen?
>>
>>
>>
>> Because farmers invest enough time, effort and money in their business that
>>
>> the sale or not of a single slice of cheese is not enough to be significant to
>>
>> them.
>
>For some sufficient large number N,
You're dishonestly trying to change it from a single slice to as many as you
want again. You really are a horribly dishonest person. Consistently.
>the sale of N slices of cheese will be significant to them. When you buy one slice of cheese, there is a probability of 1/N that this is a "threshold purchase" that makes a difference to the amount of activity in the dairy industry that takes place.
>
>> Even a guy with a PhD in math should be able to figure that out, so if you
>>
>> honestly can't figure it out ask someone else who has a PhD in math, and please
>>
>> let me know what they tell you. Don't change it for them either. Ask them why
>>
>> the sale of ONE SLICE of cheese won't do anything to influence the entire dairy
>>
>> industry or even one farmer that's involved in it, and let us know here what
>>
>> they tell you. Oh, and just for fun, ask your dad too. I'm curious what he would
>>
>> think if he knew you were in here acting so stupid that you think the sale of
>>
>> one slice of cheese could be significant, that you can't figure out how the
>>
>> processes of growing soy kill more than cattle do by eating grass,
>
>I wish you'd stop repeating that tiresome
You hate that aspect of human influence on animals. I like it and you hate
it.
>straw man over and over again. I've told you many times that I never said any such thing, and it should have been obvious from the start.
>
>> and that you:
>>
>> "don't believe the distinction between "lives of positive value" and "lives of
>>
>> negative value" means anything."
>>
>>
>> >The more slices of cheese are bought, the more incentive there is for dairy farmers to engage in further activity. Most purchases don't have any impact whatever, but some purchases are "threshold purchases"
>>
>>
>>
>> All of a sudden you're throwing in a distinction since I questioned you
>>
>> about it. So what do you want us to think distinguishes between threshold
>>
>> purchases and non threshold purchases of single slices of cheese?
>>
>
>Whether or not the increment in profability from the purchase makes a difference to the decisions the farmers make. It has to happen eventually, after sufficiently many small increments.
A single slice of cheese has no impact as I've pointed out from the start
but you've dishonestly tried to claim. Now you're dishonestly moving from your
position of one slice to tens of thousands of slices. Very VERY dishonest of
you!
>> >Well, for one thing, the pig was probably fed with grains whose production caused cd's.
>>
>>
>>
>> Why can you appreciate that in regards to grain eaten by livestock but not
>>
>> grain eaten by humans?
>>
>
>I know that when humans buy grains and eat them, they are giving financial incentives for processes that cause collateral deaths. That is well-established. My point is that you have no basis whatsoever for doing your comparison of the death rate for the biscuit and the death rate for the deer meat. You simply don't have any data that bear on the question.
The no cds associated with the deer meat and many associated with
comercially grown veggies does bear on the question.
>> >> We'd certainly have to consider the fact that meat is a lot more nutritious
>> >> and therefore it would take less meat than it would biscuit to provide the
>> >> nutrition. We'd also have to take more than just calories into consideration but
>> >> also protein, so you'd have to include enough biscuit to provide an amount of
>> >> protein equal to that of the deer meat. That would probably take a LOT of
>> >> biscuit, if it would be possible at all.
>>
>> >Well, have you changed your mind about what you're comparing?
>>
>>
>>
>> YOU are the one who suggested comparing the nutritional value. Did you
>>
>> forget about YOU wanting to do that? You said "it has to be between calorically
>>
>> equivalent servings of food". I'm saying that since you want to include calories
>>
>> we should also include protein.
>>
>
>We can do whatever comparison you like. This is about your claim. It's the claim that you made. You said there were more deaths associated with the biscuit than with the deer meat. Feel free to explain what you mean by that in whatever way you like. I simply want to be presented with the least scintilla of evidence for the claim. Which you very obviously can't do.
How do you want people to think a single deer causes as many deaths as a
farmer does by growing fields of wheat?
>Yawn.
>
>>
>>
>> >I thought you were comparing the biscuit and the deer meat. Now you're saying you want to compare a serving of biscuit that has the same amount of protein. Make up your mind.
>>
>>
>>
>> Since you want to compare nutritional value we must include calories and
>>
>> protein.
>>
>
>Well, that's fine with me.
Try doing it then. Go:
>All I want you to do is provide some kind of evidence for your claim.
>
>> >Can't remember. You've been talking complete bollocks, from what I can recall.
>>
>>
>>
>> I pointed out that the number of wildlife living in an area has an influence
>>
>> on the number of wildlife that are killed. There was a time you pretended that
>>
>> you could appreciate that aspect, but now you reveal the truth that to YOU that
>>
>> aspect is "complete bollocks".
>
>No. I have no argument with that claim.
Then you lied that I've been talking complete bollocks, as well as lying
about the mean and lying about whatever all else...
>> >Well, we wouldn't know, because you never do engage with the evidence.
>>
>>
>>
>> That's a blatant lie.
>
>Actually, it's the truth.
>
>> So you see you ARE a liar so I am VERY justified in
>>
>> considering you to be one. How MUCH lying you do is all that's in some question,
>>
>> but whether you lie or not is NOT in question since this is another blatant one.
>>
>> You also lied and lied and lied that I didn't give you any kind of explanation
>>
>> about lives of positive value. That's only ONE other example of your blatant
>>
>> lying. Oh yeah, another VERY blatant lie was you lying that Davis said
>>
>> ...LOL!... only 15 deaths per hectare total for soy production,
>
>He did say that.
Prove it.
>Presumably the claim is that the field mice represent the lion's share of the total, and so are a reasonable approximation to the total figure.
>
>> when the truth
>>
>> is he said over 15 deaths of a single type of animal, and I believe that was
>>
>> also only in ONE operation.
>>
>
>Which is not representative of the mean figure.
You can't figure out the mean figure. You can't even attempt to.
>> >It sounds as though you don't believe in intrinsic value.
>>
>>
>>
>> Unless you can say what it's TOO, you don't either. Even if you would like
>>
>> to think that you do, you prove that you do NOT.
>>
>
>I don't believe in intrinsic value, actually. I was just curious about whether you did or not. I'm sorry that you don't know what it is. I don't know if I have the energy to bother explaining.
You have no idea what it even COULD be and can't pretend that you do.
>If you don't believe in it that's fine.
>
>>
>>
>> >So you believe that life itself is of value to living organisms?
>>
>>
>>
>> It's necessary in order to benefit from anything else otherwise things could
>>
>> continue to benefit after they're dead. Were you somehow unaware of that?
>>
>
>Of course not. That's a different question. Life is a necessary prerequisite for the organism to be able to benefit from anything at all. But that's different to the question of whether the organism benefits from having come into existence.
Existence and life are both necessary benefits in order to benefit from
anything else, afaWk.
>> >Or is it the pleasurable experiences that they have which is of value to them?
>>
>>
>>
>> Not "or". What could give you the impression it could be one "or" the other,
>>
>> but not both?
>>
>
>I never said it couldn't be both. It wasn't an exclusive "or".
Then why do YOU say OR?
>> So far I've no reason to think it's abnormal for one thing.
>
>Yes, you do. You have been presented with reasons for thinking that the mean figure is about 60%.
>
>> >No, I wouldn't.
>>
>>
>>
>> Admit that you live your lifestyle in a specific attempt NOT TO contribute
>>
>> to anything or in any way to livestock then.
>>
>
>The reason why I am vegan is that I believe that it reduces the amount of suffering that takes place. I've said this often enough.
You deserve credit for nothing. At least I deserve credit for contributing
to cage free egg production instead of nothing.
>> >I have presented some reasons. You refuse to read them.
>>
>>
>>
>> Like the holding back of feed to the parents of broiler chickens? YES!
>>
>
>That would be one example, yes,
Then another of the things you lied about was your lie that I didn't read
what I read and we had already discussed. What do you think you gain by telling
such blatant lies? WHAT?????
>but I've presented other information as well. You may possibly have read it, but you certainly refuse to engage with it in any meaningful way.
That's another lie since not only have I told you none of it makes life seem
of negative value to them for me, but I've also challenged YOU to present what
YOU DO think makes it of negative value TO YOU. You can't even do that much, as
I've also pointed out a number of times. You STILL have NOTHING!!!
>> Another one of your blatant lies is that I haven't read the things I've already
>>
>> discussed with you because I did read them.
>
>I wasn't talking about the quote about the withholding of feed. I was talking about the other quotes that I have pasted which you have completely ignored.
>
>> Damn you are a dishonest person.
>
>Not at all.
That's another lie.
>What I said is absolutely correct. You shouldn't accuse people of dishonesty when you have no grounds for doing so. It's unethical.
>
>> >> Do you keep telling that particular lie just so I'll keep pointing out that
>> >> I did read what you presented and NOTHING in any of it appears to make life of
>> >> negative value for any livestock animals?
>>
>> >
>>
>> >Do you think it is fair to say that the information I presented demonstrates that broiler chicken farming causes a lot of suffering?
>>
>>
>>
>> You said I didn't read it. Retract that particular lie and I'll answer your
>>
>> question, though I already have told you.
>>
>
>I have no way of knowing whether you have read it or not.
You lied that I didn't after I'd already discussed it with you because I had
read it. So you're lying YET AGAIN.
>You haven't engaged with it in any meaningful way.
That's a repeat of a lie I pointed out and commented on above by saying:
That's another lie since not only have I told you none of it makes life seem of
negative value to them for me, but I've also challenged YOU to present what YOU
DO think makes it of negative value TO YOU. You can't even do that much, as I've
also pointed out a number of times. You STILL have NOTHING!!!
>> >> Try to pick out from all of that exactly what YOU want people to think makes
>> >> life of negative value for which creatures. Go:
>>
>> >All of it. For broiler chickens.
>>
>>
>>
>> Try to find photos backing up the claims. We need to see photos of broiler
>>
>> houses where the birds appear to be suffering from the things metioned. Go:
>>
>
>No, we don't.
Yes we would but since it's a lie there are none.
>The report is factual. You have no grounds for doubting its factual accuracy. We probably could find photos of operations where broiler chickens are not doing well, but that is neither here nor there. You have no photos of the collateral deaths from soybean production, but that is not a rational ground for doubting that they take place.
>
>> >> >Well, you need to know how much rice milk you can get from growing one hectare of rice, don't you.
>>
>> >> Figure it out if you care enough.
>>
>> >I don't care all that much, no.
>>
>>
>>
>> You don't care that soy is worse than grass raised cow milk, and you don't
>>
>> care that rice is worse than both.
>
>If I had some reliable information which gave me grounds for believing those things, then I'd care.
That's another lie since I've given you grounds for understanding why cattle
don't kill as much as farm machinery and chemicals, and flooding and draining of
course.
>I don't have very much ground for caring all that much about how harmful rice milk is because I don't buy rice milk. I would grant you that since I do eat rice on occasion I have some grounds for caring about how harmful rice production is. If you have some reliable data about that matter I'll happily examine it.
"rice is cut twice, and those are numbers from two cuttings. even the
most jaundiced onserver would agree, 'damn that is a *lot* of frogs
hopping around out there.' i was not specific on the types of frogs,
and therein might be part of the wide-eyed problem. there are either 2
or 3 varieties of tree frogs - little bitty boogers, and we have leopard
frogs and grass frogs larger and fewer, but still plentiful. by count,
i would guess there are 10x the number of tree frogs as all others
total, and there are plenty of leopards and grass. in one pool of
water, there were seven varieties of frog & toad eggs. we have a *lot*
of frogs in the gulf coastal plains.
> Elsewhere, diderot says that he can, "...easily see 10-20-30+ frogs and
> several anoles within the top few inches of a foot stand of rice." He
> is tempting us with a volume of amphibians, but he doesn't tell us over
> what surface area the top few inches of frogs is spread.
a square foot of rice, of the variety we plant, has about 75 stems.
walking around the test patches (calibrated patches we cut to get the
header length and ground-speed worked out before harvest), and paying
only half-ass attention, it is not at all unusual to see one or two tree
frogs on just about every stem. tree frogs eat mosquitos and leaf
hoppers midges and similar, and we have plenty of those, too. in the
afternoon, when the dragon flies hatch and whip mosquito ass flying just
abouve the grain heads, you can see leopard and grass frogs nearly
knee-to-knee on the grain-head mat hoping one fly will come just a
little bit closer. all this activity takes place in the top foot or so.
on the understory, are the toads bullfrogs, snakes and plenty of rats,
and, i would presume, some mice, too.
not only do we have a *lot* of frogs in our part of the world, it is a
pretty interesting cycle of life, also.
> diderot could
> count the number of individual frogs in a sample area of this size and
> so could we, but instead he continues to rely on "eyeball estimates"
> and, perhaps, a little Texas folk wisdom.
ok, get your calculator out, we'll be numerate here:
it takes 7 passes with a 30' combine to cut an acre (208' x 208'). to
digest 7,000 frogs in that acre (7,000 1st cutting + 3,000 2nd cutting
for a total of 10,000 - hard shower), that means 1000 unlucky (slow, bad
jumpers, ...) frogs in the 6240 sq.ft. that constitutes *one* pass, or
one per 6+ sq.ft. or 5 per lineal foot of travel.
i *did* say these numbers were conservative, didn't i?
for the 'deluge' (i used 35,000 in the faq, divided 25k & 10k per
cutting), the numbers are ~3500 per pass; one for every 1� sq.ft.; and
~17 per lineal foot of travel.
[...]
> The closest diderot comes to providing us with evidence we could
> possibly remeasure is his "500 yard long, foot-wide windrows of drowned
> grey and brown (rats)". You and I could layout rats in a matching
> configuration and do a head count, but there wouldn't be much point
> since diderot goes on to say that this mass drowning occurs "whenever
> the rice is flooded". Then he neglects to tell us how often he floods
> his fields.
rice has to grow in water, so it is flooded in april, drained for
harvest in july/august, reflooded and drained in october. we flood in
mid-december for waterfowl, and drain in february. in february and
march, the land is disced and planed."
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Subject: dead-frog numbers [was: faq collateral included deaths in organic rice
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Date: Wed, 21 Jul 1999 01:33:40 -0500
Xref: mindspring alt.animals.ethics.vegetarian:17658
talk.politics.animals:197083 rec.food.veg:129905
frlpwr wrote:
>
> > > Maybe you would like to explain why, when I counter claims of feral > > cat depradation with observations gathered
over twelve+ years of
> > > daily interaction with feral cats, the members of the peanut gallery
> > > boo, hiss and throw rotten tomatoes?
actually, feral, your thrown-away cat dissertation(s) was the catalyst
(intended) for this faq. it is no secret i think you have the reasoning
ability of a juvenile turnip, and your philosophy is dumber still, but:
you are consistent, your philosophy is coherent if silly, and what you
wrote had the ring of truth - you knew your subject and it was pretty
obvious you were not cooking the books with your observations and
anecdotes.
it was a good case study and it made me examine my cats' behaviours more
closely. my well-fed (but outdoors-living) house cats still kill a lot
of stuff, but far, far more rodents and amphibians (we have a *lot* of
frogs and anoles in this part of the world) than birds. before you
wrote what you did, i would have bet on birds.
you were constantly whining for numbers that gave some idea of deaths in
agriculture, and here some are: 2x - 3x - 5x - 10x - 100x beyond your
wildest dread, but there they are. and ... they are incredibly
conservative, still. life is an incredibly bloody business, itsownself.
are they 'accurate'?, meaning 'accurate' in the scientific sense? no,
of course not. the numbers i used describe easily observable, reliable,
repeatable ranges, and within the range of conditions i describe, they
are valid. they are conservative, reasonable estimates by an
experienced observer backfilling populations from incomplete information
and years of observing. you, yourself, are familiar with the
methodology.
> Right off the bat we have a problem; there is no methodology. diderot
> does not claim to collect, count, measure, weigh, sort, reconstruct or
> otherwise quantify the animals in his fields, living or dead.
the single 'accurate' count i can ever recall was of insectivores (no
rodents in this instance) in a meter. it was at a short course i
attended, and some grad students picked a random square meter of
short-grass prarie and deconstructed it. that was the first time i had
ever seen a short-nosed shrew, or a long-tailed one for that matter, or
a vole of any variety and there were 20 of those tiny boogers in the
show.
that is where i heard the 9-35 *on average* and i believe that is
probably conservative for an annual population considering the fertility
of soft-soil ag lands, the fecunditity of shrews and mice and the
gestation periods.
> There is an implied high density of amphibians in the "green waterfall"
> de the phantom or unseen deaths of rodents
> which he declares,"...have to be substantial in number." Without an
> explanation of the number, he decides to include another, "...3/4th of
> one collateral death per sq ft...", or an additional 33,000 deaths per
> acre.
again, v. v. conservative. considering both floods and all the activity
with machinery and disturbance (invisible deaths by the score in
cultivation actities), i regarded .75/ft as an elegant number, which
*should* be 3x, 4x that, don't you agree?
> I got the impression that diderot had grown weary towards the end of his
> essay, maybe all the talk of killing made him miss his dear-departed
> vertebrate friends, but, I doubt it. Just so he didn't slight the
> larger vertebrates, birds, snakes, turtles and such, he packed all their
> deaths in a tidy little bundle of 2,000 which, coincidentally, made his
> total number of deaths easily divisible by weight of his harvested rice.
i hope you didn't put your calculator up since our last excercise, but
we'll let you fully participate and do this one differently. there are
two tires on each side of the combine and they are 42" wide, each
(actually there are 2 more on the back, but they track with the inside
front tire). using the same seven passes per acre, calculate the total
square footage tamped gently down by the 19,000 lb combine.
if you don't like my round number of 2,000, supply one from your
calculations from the number of escaped frogs, plus the toads, snakes,
rats, ....
-------
someplace in here (and it *will* be included in the 2nd iteration of the
faq) several insecapable facts/conclusions should be noted:
- there is not only death in agriculture, there is a lot of death, and
the number of deaths (particularly *visible* deaths) are related to
populations more than farming practices.
- conventional agriculture results in many more, but more 'invisible'
deaths. our conventional plot is across the road from our organic plot,
it started out with the same millions and billions of amphibian eggs.
only a few thousand frogs are harvested on the conventional side - they
were all killed off as eggs or tadpoles by agricultural chemicals.
- we manage the whole area (larger than just the farms) is a pretty
natural fashion and we have a lot of wildlife. the number of deaths is,
at least, partially a function of total area population. we could
reduce the number of visible deaths by flogging the ecology, but we
prefer life and cycle-of-life over a sterile monoculture.
- every farming environment has a different mix of animals and the
largest number and largest variety, both, will be found in
semi-tropical, mixed ecology lands like we have. monocultures will have
the smallest numbers and the smallest numbers of species. the numbers i
have presented hold true in the gulf-coastal plains for machine-farmed
organic rice and may well vary in california and arkansas.
- if one desires to 'eat organic', i strongly urge research into what
your state considers' organic.' it is very likely not as chemical-free
as you might like to believe.
cordially,
diderot"