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POLITICS AND COMMENTARY, COAST TO COAST, FROM THE LOS ANGELES TIMES
Sarah Palin vs. Barack Obama: The approval gap silently shrinks to a
few points
November 23, 2009 | 1:32 am
Not that it matters politically because obviously she's a female
Republican dunce and he's a male Democrat genius.
But Sarah Palin's poll numbers are strengthening.
And President Obama's are sliding.
Guess what? They're about to meet in the 40s.
Depending, of course, on which recent set of numbers you peruse and
how the questions are phrased, 307 days into his allotted 1,461, the
44th president's approval rating among Americans has slid to 49% or
48%, showing no popularity bounce from his many happy trips, foreign
and domestic.
Riding the wave of immense publicity and symbiotic media interest over
her new book, "Going Rogue," and the accompanying promotional tour,
Palin's favorable ratings are now at 43%, according to ABC. That's up
from 40% in July.
One poll even gives her a 47% favorable.
Most recent media attention has focused on the 60% who say she's
unqualified to become president. Her unfavorable rating is 52%, down
from 53%, which still doesn't ignite a lot of optimism for Palin
lovers.
On the other hand, 35 months before the 2008 election, that Illinois
senator was such a nobody that no one even thought to ask such a
question about him. Things seem to change much more quickly these
days.
Saturday night Palin's book bus swung by a mall in Roanoke, Va., a
state Obama won a year ago but just recently elected a Republican
governor to replace departing Tim Kaine, the chairman of the
Democratic National Committee. The former Alaska governor wanted to
greet the hundreds of fans already lining up in 39-degree weather for
her Sunday morning signing.
"She brings out a different crowd," Salem Republican Party Chairman
Greg Habeeb told the Roanoke Times. Habeeb was struck by the numerous
non-Republicans he spotted in the line snaking all over the mall. "She
taps into something that the Republican Party really needs to tap
into."
Sunday, Palin flew ahead of her bus to visit the Rev. Billy Graham and
his son Franklin at the father's North Carolina home before her
appearance today at Fort Bragg.
Overall, Palin's, well, campaign will visit 25 states, most of them
politically crucial. Florida gets the most stops, three.
Everybody thinks 2012 when they think of Palin, who last week pushed
Oprah Winfrey's television show to....
... its highest ratings in nearly three years. Remember, though, in
2012 the first hurdles a rehabbed candidate Palin would face are her
own party's primaries, where diligent conservatives conscientiously
come out to play.
If she somehow mobilized Iowa's white evangelicals as Mike Huckabee
did to win the 2008 season-opening caucus, many bets would be off
about her unelectability. Right now, Palin holds 65% approval among
white evangelical Protestants, not a bad place to start, if she
decides to.
Anyway, Palin says 2012's not on her radar. Which is a good idea. The
year 2010 is much more important for both of these political
personalities.
No longer holding any office and personally set financially by the
book's runaway success, Palin can devote her SarahPac and the entire
year to collecting chits from local Republicans.
As Mitt Romney has already been quietly doing. Other Republicans will
no doubt nominate themselves to join along the way, especially if
Obama looks vulnerable after November 2010.
Although presidential incumbency has hardly kept Obama chained to the
Oval Office, he and Vice President Joe Biden now own the U.S. economy,
where their much-vaunted $787 billion economic stimulus package has so
far stimulated unemployment to grow by from 8% to more than 10%.
And then there's the growing deficit dread and the mounting costs --
human and financial -- in the increasingly unpopular Afghan conflict,
where Obama is about to commit more U.S. troops at the end of the
eighth and worst casualty year of the war.
We'll all hear much next year about how jobs are the last thing to
improve in a sour economy, even in congressional districts that don't
actually exist. Which is too bad for Democrats because jobs are the
obvious first measure the public uses to measure the economy.
Historically, the White House party loses about 17 House seats in a
normal midterm election cycle. That wouldn't change control of the
House.
George W. Bush's GOP actually gained seats in 2002. Democrat Bill
Clinton's first midterm election was a political Katrina, producing
the Contract with America and so-called Republican revolution that saw
the GOP take control of both houses of Congress after years of
minority status.
Much of that turnaround was attributed to Clinton having run in 1992
as a centrist and then immediately pushed a more liberal agenda
involving healthcare reform.
But that couldn't possibly happen again because of the popularity of
Democratic House Speaker Nancy Pelosi, whose current favorable poll
ratings are -- let's see here -- OMG, only about half of Palin's.
>
> Top of the Ticket
firstj, Jiggy was a such for balloon boy
and now, balloon girl.
This movement is a bowel movement, Jiggy,
it will only produce shit.
LOL!
you just dont get it, do you Earl.
Its not about Palin. Your are so bogged down with tunnel vision that
you miss the entire point.
Jigsaw
No we know that it's not about Palin, Super-Retard. From your point of
view, it's about 'the fuckin' nigger in the Oval Office'.
Y.
--
Yitzhak Isaac Goldstein
AADP's 'left-wing Israeli intellectual'
'The trouble with fighting for human freedom is that one spends most of
one's time defending scoundrels. For it is against scoundrels that
oppressive laws are first aimed, and oppression must be stopped at the
beginning if it is to be stopped at all'
(H.L. Mencken)
<http://elderofziyon.blogspot.com/>