Nigerian Tribune
How national dialogue unsettled opposition, core North
Written by
Olawale Rasheed - Abuja
Sunday, October 6, 2013
.
THE presidential
endorsement of national dialogue may have weakened the push by the core
north and political opposition to secure the 2015 presidency, Sunday
Tribune investigation has revealed.
.
Checks
showed that the unexpected announcement had since thrown political
caucuses of the three northern geo-political zones into frenzy of
activities, with the core north gradually openly moving against the
convocation of the conference whether sovereign or not.
.
While
some core north leaders are faulting the composition of the dialogue
panel and the whole idea of a conférence, the Middle Belt Forum had
jumped at what its chieftains called opportunity to finally assert its
separate identity as a distinct region in the middle of Nigeria.
.
Investigations
by Sunday Tribune showed that even the Niger state governor, Babangida
Aliyu was rebuked for his initial endorsement of the conférence with a
source hinting that the core north believed it was under siege following
the announcement by the President.
.
A top
northern leader in Kano who spoke under anonymity said the president's
sudden endorsement of the conference despite northern opposition showed
that the intention was political and with direct link with 2015.
.
"We
are worried as the timing is suspicious. We think the announcement is
politically motivated but we are waiting to see how the whole thing
will play out" he said.
.
Another
leader in Kaduna who described the decision and appointment into the
committee as worrisome said "the South has its first eleven on the
panel. We in the north are represented by our 13th team."
.
Saying
leaders of Arewa Consultative Forum would soon meet on the matter, the
leader who was active during the Babangida transition said "the
conférence may be a trap for the core north going by happenings between
the core north and the middle belt region."
.
The
Joint Action Committee of Northern Groups comprising of leaders from
leading pro-north groups urgently came out with a position on Friday
opposing the dialogue and masking its position as a pan-Nigerian
position. The statement signed by Dr Hakeem Bab Ahmed argued that the
problem of the north was security-related and that the president should
work Harder in that line.
.
The
real reason why the north is afraid of a conférence was however
explained by the youth leader of the Middle Belt Forum, ,Hon Jonathan
Asake, in an interview with the Sunday Tribune. He posited that the core
north was afraid of the whole nation knowing that the north was no
longer monolithic.
.
"We
are liberating ourselves and that explains why you see us becoming more
active before and after the civil war, the North looked like one solid
bloc, until the eyes of the Middle Belt started noticing incredible
unfairness in the way it was treated by its core-North counterpart, even
when, in actual fact, the Middle Belt is in the majority.
.
"I am
sorry to say that the media has helped to force the majority status on
the Hausa-Fulani when talking about the North. That is only true when
you take the two as a single tribal group. Yes, they have more numbers
if you compare them to Tiv, Nupe, or Atayp, each standing on its own.
But, on the aggregate, the Hausa-Fulani is a minority to the rest of the
tribal groups of the Middle Belt, the way I have defined the Middle
Belt.
.
"The
Hausa-Fulani in the 19 northern states are not in the majority in Benue,
Kwara, Kogi, Taraba, Nasarawa, Plateau, Niger, FCT, Adamawa. They are
hardly even present in Borno State - Boko Haram notwithstanding.
.
"The
Kanuris are in the majority in Borno and Yobe. It is only 49 per cent of
the population of Kaduna State; the Middle Belt of southern Kaduna is
51 per cent according to the 2006 census. It is just 45 per cent of
Gombe State, it is not an overwhelming majority in Kebbi State. The
Middle Belt is 30 per cent of Bauchi. The main area of strength of the
Hausa-Fulani is: Sokoto, Kano, Zamfara, Katsina, Jigawa, Bauchi and part
of Gombe and Kaduna.
.
"So,
you see, the Hausa-Fulani who, everyone has so made the lord of the
North, are actually in the minority, unlike what you have in the
South-west and South-east with the Yoruba and the Igbo. The
Hausa-Fulani, though found everywhere in the 19 northern states, are
really in minority if it comes as a bloc. The so-called minorities as an
aggregate, are the majority. And that is the Middle Belt. If you doubt
this, look at the 2006 census result, and the way votes in the 2011
elections were cast in our areas," Jonathan said.