March 2016
Weatherlawyer
I just wanted to compliment the Australian meteorological people for being able to supply (free of charge) an amazing facility. This product can be used to forecast Earthquakes, Tornadoes/Derechos and Tropical Storms along with (something I am still working on) Volcanic Activity.
Get it here.
Teleconnections.
I
just realised something about the above link and teleconnections that
explains simple concepts like how the standing wave at Iceland called
the Icelandic Low works.
I was watching someone on YouTube destroy a microchip in a microwave. Like people on Your Tubes do.
The video showed what an Arphid (rfid)looks like. Just a copper coil of a certain size in the middle of which is the electronic bit. You put the contraption in a microwave and it makes a pretty reaction. Not that dissimilar to toothache.
The gubbins in the middle of the coil corresponds to the eye of a
cyclone and the location of the RFID (inside a microwave oven)
corresponds to the geo-location called the North Atlantic, more
precisely the region between Greenland and Norway -The Norwegian Sea.
That location is an echo-box for the sound signals that cause storms.
I am pretty sure that I don't have to explain the rest to you. But I do have to do so for me, it's called closure:
Microwaves react with the coil because the frequency of the beam from a magnetron oscillates at one of the resonances that the coil magnifies. Imagine a beam of light whose cone is the same diameter as the coil. Because it fits and doesn't move away quickly enough (to correspond to wind shear) the beam builds up amplitude until the resonation destroys the chip in the centre.
The problem we are left with is not the disconcerting feeling that
everything you have been told to believe in about other geo-phenomema
now needs reappraisal.
I dare say you can easily make the connections between resonances and earthquakes and volcanic eruptions for yourselves?
What next needs your careful consideration is that there is a first cause to these things that is as instantaneous as the switch on the microwave oven. The thought occurs to me that some of you might like a link to the site I was looking at.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VpEVkiMU18s&feature=youtu.be
Equinox and nothing funny
yet. It's always good when aircraft start falling out of the sky; it
makes forecasting so easy. Or it did. These days we have the Line-Storm
conundrum.
Previously, you could tell the difference between an earthquake and a storm by way of its bounce. If it slides into oblivion it is an earthquake if it bounces off then comes back for more, it's a storm.
You can see what I mean from the BoM chart for these:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/reports/160318_rpts.html
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/reports/160317_rpts.html
If you archived them (like I do;~)
The problem is the disparity between Norman Time and Universal Time. But we can't have everything, so we just have to live with these:
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/reports/160323_rpts.html
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/reports/160324_rpts.html
Or not, as the case may be.
I was just thinking about all this when reading:
"There has been little doubt recently that this has been the final break-down.
Here's a rather interesting snippet:
On Wednesday 16th March the 50-80 deg N 10hPa zonal wind was a 25m/s easterly. This is the strongest easterly for any day on record (since 1948). It means that this past winter broke the all-time records for both strongest westerly and strongly easterly 10hPa zonal winds - and only 49 days apart.
Roll on summer indeed. We've already had a couple of 21 deg C days here this spring but it's been a roller-coaster of temperatures, as it often is in the Midwest at this time of year. It looks like we have further anomalously cold shots coming east of the Rockies (and especially east of the Mississippi Valley) into April: western upper ridge and eastern trough re-emerging (positive PNA pattern), likely to be partly driven by MJO strengthening around Phase 8."
With corroborating forecasts for Wednesday from the MetOffice, as I like to say:
Because it is always nice to have a backup.
