The Fijian Triangle
Weatherlawyer
Cyclone Cilla
Tropical Cyclone Cilla early on January 28, 2003.
Formed January 26, 2003
Dissipated January 30, 2003
Highest winds 10-minute sustained: 75 km/h (45 mph)
1-minute sustained: 65 km/h (40 mph)
Gusts: 105 km/h (65 mph)
Lowest pressure 995 hPa (mbar); 29.38 inHg
E
Cyclone Evan
Tropical Cyclone Evan just off the western coast of Fiji on December 17
Formed December 9, 2012
Dissipated December 27, 2012
(Extratropical after December 19, 2012)
Highest winds 10-minute sustained: 185 km/h (115 mph)
1-minute sustained: 230 km/h (145 mph)
Lowest pressure 943 hPa (mbar); 27.85 inHg
Fatalities 14 confirmed
Damage $315.8 million (2012 USD)
Areas affected Samoa, American Samoa, Wallis and Futuna, Fiji, Tonga and New Zealand
H
Cyclone Heta
Cyclone Heta at peak intensity
Formed December 25, 2003
Dissipated January 8, 2004
Highest winds 10-minute sustained: 215 km/h (130 mph)
1-minute sustained: 260 km/h (160 mph)
Lowest pressure 915 hPa (mbar); 27.02 inHg
Fatalities 1
Damage $113 million (2004 USD)
Areas affected Samoan Islands, Tonga, Niue
K
Cyclone Keli
Cyclone Keli at peak intensity.
Formed June 7, 1997
Dissipated June 17, 1997
Highest winds 10-minute sustained: 150 km/h (90 mph)
1-minute sustained: 215 km/h (130 mph)
Lowest pressure 955 hPa (mbar); 28.2 inHg
Fatalities None reported
Damage $10,000 (1997 USD)
Areas affected Tokelau, Tuvalu, Fiji
O
Cyclone Ofa
Cyclone Ofa on February 3, 1990
Formed January 27, 1990
Dissipated February 10, 1990
(Extratropical after February 8, 1990)
Highest winds 10-minute sustained: 185 km/h (115 mph)
1-minute sustained: 215 km/h (130 mph)
Lowest pressure 925 hPa (mbar); 27.32 inHg
Fatalities 8 total
Damage $187 million (1990 USD)
Areas affected Tuvalu, Western Samoa, American Samoa, Tokelau, Niue, Tonga
Cyclone Olaf
Cyclone Olaf near peak intensity
Formed February 10, 2005
Dissipated February 25, 2005
(Extratropical after February 20, 2005)
Highest winds 10-minute sustained: 215 km/h (130 mph)
1-minute sustained: 270 km/h (165 mph)
Lowest pressure 915 hPa (mbar); 27.02 inHg
Fatalities 0 direct, 2 missing
Damage $10.0 million (2005 USD)
Areas affected Samoa, American Samoa, Cook Islands
P
Cyclone Percy
Cyclone Percy at peak intensity
Formed 24 February 2005
Dissipated 5 March 2005
Highest winds 10-minute sustained: 230 km/h (145 mph)
1-minute sustained: 260 km/h (160 mph)
Lowest pressure 900 hPa (mbar); 26.58 inHg
Fatalities None
Areas affected American Samoa, Tokelau, Cook Islands
T
Cyclone Tam (2006)
Cyclone Tam on January 14
Formed January 6, 2006
Dissipated January 14, 2006
Highest winds 10-minute sustained: 85 km/h (50 mph)
1-minute sustained: 75 km/h (45 mph)
Lowest pressure 987 hPa (mbar); 29.15 inHg
Fatalities None reported
Damage $26,000 (2006 USD)
Areas affected American Samoa, Rotuma Niue, Tonga, and Futuna
Cyclone Tusi
Cyclone Tusi on January 18, 1987
Formed January 13, 1987
Dissipated January 25, 1987
(Extratropical after January 21, 1987)
Highest winds 10-minute sustained: 150 km/h (90 mph)
1-minute sustained: 185 km/h (115 mph)
Lowest pressure 955 hPa (mbar); 28.2 inHg
Fatalities None reported
Damage $80 million (1987 USD)
Areas affected Tuvalu, Samoa, American Samoa, Cook Islands
U
Cyclone Ula
Severe Tropical Cyclone Ula at peak intensity southeast of Vanuatu on January 10
Formed December 26, 2015
Dissipated January 16, 2016
(Extratropical after January 12)
Highest winds 10-minute sustained: 185 km/h (115 mph)
1-minute sustained: 220 km/h (140 mph)
Lowest pressure 945 hPa (mbar); 27.91 inHg
Fatalities 1 presumed[note 1]
Damage Unknown
Areas affected
Tuvalu American Samoa Tonga Fiji Vanuatu New Caledonia
V
Cyclone Val
Satellite image of Cyclone Val (center) and Cyclone Wasa
Formed December 4, 1991
Dissipated December 17, 1991
(Extratropical after December 13)
Highest winds 10-minute sustained: 165 km/h (105 mph)
1-minute sustained: 230 km/h (145 mph)
Lowest pressure 940 hPa (mbar); 27.76 inHg
Fatalities 16 direct
Damage $278 million (1991 USD)
Areas affected Samoan Islands, Cook Islands
W
Cyclone Waka
Cyclone Waka near peak intensity shortly before moving through Tonga
Formed December 19, 2001
Dissipated January 2, 2002
Highest winds 10-minute sustained: 185 km/h (115 mph)
1-minute sustained: 185 km/h (115 mph)
Gusts: 250 km/h (155 mph)
Lowest pressure 930 hPa (mbar); 27.46 inHg
Fatalities 1 indirect
Damage $51.4 million (2002 USD)
Areas affected Wallis and Futuna, Niue, Tonga; especially Vava'u, and New Zealand
Cyclone Wilma
Severe Tropical Cyclone Wilma on January 26
Formed January 19, 2011
Dissipated January 30, 2011
(Extratropical after January 29, 2011)
Highest winds 10-minute sustained: 185 km/h (115 mph)
1-minute sustained: 215 km/h (135 mph)
Lowest pressure 930 hPa (mbar); 27.46 inHg
Fatalities 3 direct
Damage $22 million (2011 USD)
Areas affected American Samoa, Samoa, Tonga, New Zealand
Not that I am expecting the worst even though the worst can happen by nature:
The 2009 Samoa earthquake and tsunami took place on 29 September in the southern Pacific Ocean adjacent to the Kermadec-Tonga subduction zone. The submarine earthquake occurred in an extensional environment and had a moment magnitude of 8.1 and a maximum Mercalli intensity of VI (Strong). It was the largest earthquake of 2009.
All except the one that took place in June occurred between December and February.
However 2009 was an extremely bad year for derechos, as was the beginning of 2016. At least it was from the end of February.
I have no idea how the season is supposed to run:
http://www.slate.com/blogs/the_slatest/2016/02/24/february_tornado_outbreak_hits_the_south.html
But each episode seemed to be followed by a surge in volcanic activity.