If you're a
value
investor, there's no "right way" to analyze a stock. Even
so, any successful investor will tell you that focusing on certain
fundamental metrics is the path to cashing in gains. That's why you need
to keep your eye on the metrics that matter.
As a value investor, you already know that when it comes to a company's
health, the
fundamentals are king. Fundamentals, which include a company's
financial and operational data, are preferred by some of the most
successful investors in history, including the likes of
George Soros
and Warren
Buffett. That's no surprise, as knowing the ins and outs of a
company's financial numbers - like earnings per share and sales growth -
can help an in-the-know investor weed out the stocks that are trading for
less than they're worth.
But that doesn't mean that all metrics are created equal – some deserve
more of your attention than others. Here's a look at the five must-have
fundamentals for your value portfolio.
1. Price-to-Earnings Ratio While the
price-to-earnings ratio (also known as the P/E ratio or earnings
multiple) is likely one of the best-known fundamental ratios, it's also
one of the most valuable. The P/E ratio divides a stock's share price by
its earnings per
share to come up with a value that represents how much investors are
willing to shell out for each dollar of a company's earnings.
The P/E ratio is important because it provides a measuring stick to
compare valuations across companies. A stock with a lower P/E ratio costs
less per share for the same level of financial performance than one with
a higher P/E. What that essentially means is that low P/E is the way to
go.
But one place where the P/E ratio isn't as valuable is when you're
comparing companies across different industries. While it's completely
reasonable to see a telecom stock with a P/E in the low teens, a P/E
closer to 40 isn't out of the line for a high-tech stock. As long as
you're comparing apples to apples, though, the P/E ratio can give you an
excellent glimpse at a stock's valuation. (Learn more about the P/E ratio
in our
Investment Valuation Ratios Tutorial.)
2. Price-to-Book Ratio If the P/E ratio is a good indicator of what investors are paying for
each dollar of a company's earnings, the
price-to-book ratio (or P/B ratio) is an equally good indication of
what investors are willing to shell out for each dollar of a company's
assets. The P/B ratio divides a stock's share price by its net assets,
less any intangibles such as
goodwill
.
Taking out intangibles is an important element of the price-to-book
ratio. It means that the P/B ratio indicates what investors are paying
for real-world tangible assets, not the harder-to-value intangibles. As
such, the P/B is a relatively conservative metric.
That's not to say that the P/B ratio isn't without its limitations; for
companies that have significant intangibles, the price-to-book ratio can
be misleadingly high. For most stocks, however, shooting for a P/B of 1.5
or less is a good path to solid value. (See
Digging Into Book Value to learn how book value per share is
normally calculated.)
3. Debt-Equity
Knowing how a company finances its assets is essential for any
investor – especially if you're on the prowl for the next big value
stock. That's where the
debt/equity ratio comes in. As with the P/E ratio, this ratio, which
indicates what proportion of financing a company has received from debt
(like loans or bonds) and equity (like the issuance of shares of stock),
can vary from industry to industry.
Beware of above-industry debt/equity numbers, especially when an industry
is facing tough times – it could be one of your first signs that a
company is getting over its head in debt.
4. Free Cash Flow While many investors don't actually know it, a company's earnings
almost never equal the amount of cash it brings in. That's because
companies report their financials using
GAAP or
IFRS
accounting principles, not the balance of the corporate checking account.
So while a company could be reporting a huge profit for its latest
quarter, the corporate coffers could be bare.
Free cash
flow solves this problem. It tells an investor how much actual cash a
company is left with after any capital investments. Generally speaking,
it's a good idea to shoot for positive free cash flow. As with the
debt-equity ratio, this metric is all the more significant when times are
tough. (Watch out for accounting trickery when looking at free cash flow,
see
Free Cash Flow: Free, But Not Always Easy to learn more)
5. PEG Ratio The
price/earnings
to growth ratio (or PEG Ratio), is a modified version of the P/E
ratio that also takes earnings growth into account. Looking for stocks
based on their PEG ratios can be a good way to find companies that are
undervalued but growing, and could gain attention in upcoming quarters.
Like the P/E ratio, this metric varies from industry to industry. (For
further reading, check out
Move Over
P/E, Make Way For The PEG.)
Going Beyond the Numbers When it comes to investing, the numbers aren't everything. There are
times when low valuations are justified, and there are qualitative
metrics – like management quality – that also factor into a company's
valuation. Just because a stock seems cheap doesn't mean that it deserves
to increase in value.
Ultimately, the only way to improve your fundamental analysis skills is
to put them into practice. With these five must-have fundamentals under
your belt, you're well on your way to finding the most undervalued stocks
on the market.
WatchDog takes no responsibility for
information or suggestions.
It is up to the reader to make their own decisions and to assume
the consequences of them. Whatever WatchDog states or recommends
is solely their own opinion.
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