Research request

[jledyard]

Hi,

I am preparing a plenary presentation on Prediction Markets for the
Economic Science Association, an international organization of mostly
academic experimental economists. I am focusing, for obvious
reasons, on economic experiments. I am worried that I may have
missed some research in this area and hope that some of you can send
me references to or copies of any relevant papers in this area.

I have a broad interpretation of “prediction markets” that includes
asset markets, pari-mutual systems, iterative polls, and Hanson-like
market makers. Any mechanism that is designed to elicit predictions
is fair game. At this time, however, I am interested only in
scientific, experimental research and not in application, policy
analysis, empirical analyses, or theory.

Thanks in advance for any help. Please send to my email address.

John

_________________
John Ledyard
Professor of Economics
Caltech
1200 E. California Blvd.
MC 228-77
Pasadena, CA
626-395-8482 (o)
626-622-6665 (c)

[David Pennock]

Hi John,

Andreas Graefe has some:

http://www.andreas-graefe.org/publications.php?language=english

Also, here's a list of PM papers, not specific to economics experiments.
Still, perhaps you could check here to see if there are any there that
you weren't aware of:

http://www.chrisfmasse.com/3/3/research/

regards,
Dave

[Neumann, George R]

John,
Attached is a paper that will shortly come out in Management Science. I
don't think that it fits what you are looking for in experiments, but
you might find it of interest anyway.

Best,

George


Prof. George R. Neumann
George Daly Research Professor of Economics
and Applied Mathematics and Computational Science
W388 Pappajohn Business Building
The University of Iowa
Iowa City, IA 52242
USA
319-335-0850