72 is the new 30 or maybe it's actually 71

[jeff]

72 is the new 30 in modern world: study

Washington:Oct 17, 2012 PTI

Modern human lifespans are greater than those of hunter-gatherers due to development and industrialisation, a new study has claimed.

“In terms of the probability you’ll live through the year, it’s astronomical the improvement that we’ve made,” said Oskar Burger, an evolutionary anthropologist at the Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Germany.

“The probability that you’ll live through the year in our evolutionary past that was experienced at age 30 or even 20 is now typical of people who are 70.

“Seventy-two is the new 30,” he said. According to a 2002 study, life expectancy at birth has been increasing steadily at a rate of three months each year since 1840. That’s a remarkable pattern, says Burger, especially for a trait that is so complicated and dependent on so many variables.

Burger and colleagues wanted to get a deeper, more evolutionary perspective in order to better understand the underlying biology of what determines how long we live.

They began by gathering results from a study published in 2007 that compiled the life-expectancy patterns of several well-studied hunter-gatherer populations, the Discovery News reported.

They compared those numbers with data from Sweden and Japan, where people today are born with some of the longest life expectancies in the world. Researchers compared populations of hunter-gatherers who live like our ancestors did and rely exclusively on their own foraging skills, to those that have some access to Western clothing, food and medicine experience a big boost in survival.

For developed nations, improvements have been even more dramatic, with the biggest gains in infant mortality. For today’s babies in the longest-lived places, the chances of surviving are 200 to 300-fold better than for people born into conditions like those our ancestors faced.

The scale of improvement drops in later decades, but the differences are still significant.

A 65-year-old hunter-gatherer has about a 5 per cent chance of dying over the next year, for example, compared to a less than 1 per cent chance of death for a 65-year-old person living in Japan.

Through age 15, hunter-gatherers experience rates of death more than 100 times higher than do today’s Japanese. Over the course of the entire lifespan, mortality rates are 10 times higher.

 

 

                     1ST ANNUAL INSTEP FOR LIFE 5K/10K
                                5K RESULTS
                         DURHAM, NC  MARCH 3, 2013

Place Bib  Name                          S Ag City               St Time    Pace  
===== ==== ============================= = == ================== == ======= ===== 
    1  507 LAWSON NOYES                  M 71 MEBANE             NC   22:49  7:21 
    2  504 NEIL HARRIS                   M 44 DURHAM             NC   22:52  7:22 
    3  588 DANIEL GONZALEZ               M 31 DURHAM             NC   24:20  7:50 
    4  583 IVAN ZAYTSEV                  M 13 DURHAM             NC   24:46  7:59 
    5  584 PETER ZAYTSEV                 M 33 DURHAM             NC   24:51  8:00 
    6  587 JEFF BRANIN                   M 65 WAKE FOREST        NC   25:01  8:04 
    7  502 MICHAEL FORMY-DUVAL           M 36 DURHAM             NC   25:12  8:07 
    8  506 CHARINA NAVRATIL              F 42 PINEHURST          NC   25:49  8:19 
    9  508 ELIZABETH SCHULER             F 29 DURHAM             NC   29:48  9:36 
   10  510 WARD SEIBERT                  M 65 CARY               NC   30:02  9:40 
   11  590 AMANDA HAMILTON               F 36 DURHAM             NC   31:19 10:05 
   12  585 MICHAEL MARTIN                M 27 RALEIGH            NC   32:23 10:26 
   13  589 MATTHEW ABUYA                 M 11 CHAPEL HILL        NC   33:37 10:49 
   14  586 BOBBY KENTFARBER              M    DURHAM             NC   34:31 11:07 
   15  509 CANDACE SEIBERT               M 64 CARY               NC   37:13 11:59 
   16  501 MATTHEW DADDYSMAN             M 25 CHAPEL HILL        NC   39:35 12:45 
   17  591 JULIUS KOGO                   M 27 CHAPEL HILL        NC   40:19 12:59 
   18  592 KIPRONO KURGAT                M 24 CHAPEL HILL        NC   40:39 13:05 
   19  593 DIVINA JEPKOGEI               F 28 CHAPEL HILL        NC   45:19 14:36 

 

[barbara mack]

Great article - 72 is the new 30, love it!

Sent from my iPhone 

Barbara Mack MD 

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[Dave Smyth]

So, by that logic, 40 is the new 17…  I swear your honor, I’m 17, too! ;)

 

Dave

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