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3rd Call for Papers — Argumenta
Special Issue on Overfitting and Heuristics in Philosophy
Guest Editors: Filippo Ferrari (Department of the Arts, University of Bologna), Filippo Riscica (Department of the Arts, University of Bologna)
Venue: Argumenta (the journal of the Italian Society for Analytic Philosophy — SIFA)
Background
Timothy Williamson’s Overfitting and Heuristics in Philosophy (OUP, 2024) presents new methodological challenges to philosophical debates. In this book, Williamson argues that, just as in the sciences, overfitting theories to data is a source of problems in philosophical theorizing.
The concept of overfitting, originally developed in the context of empirical data analysis, reflects the principle that simpler models should be favoured over more complex ones to achieve greater predictive accuracy and generalisability. Heuristics are, roughly, cognitive shortcuts or rules of thumb that enable efficient problem-solving. Such heuristics may operate either automatically and subconsciously, or through deliberate reasoning. An extensive body of psychological research has explored their central role in human cognition and decision-making.
Philosophy employs intuitions as its data. However, these intuitions may be the result of mistaken judgements that are elicited by our reliance on heuristics. When we attempt to account for all intuitions, without considering that they may be the result of fallible heuristics, we may face overfitting issues. A clear symptom of overfitting in philosophy is the proliferation of additional conditions that make theories more complex, introduced primarily to accommodate intuitions elicited by special or anomalous cases.
Williamson argues that we can find instances of overfitting in philosophy in many current debates concerning metaphysics, philosophical logic, and semantics. Given philosophy’s widespread reliance on intuitions, Williamson's methodological concerns are likely to have broader relevance across the discipline
Goals
In this Special Issue, we aim to advance the debate on overfitting and heuristics in philosophy. We welcome contributions that critically engage with this topic, either by addressing the specific cases considered by Williamson or by extending the discussion to new examples and other debates in philosophy.
The topics we are interested in include, but are not limited to, the following:
Can formal modelling help clarify the degrees of freedom within philosophical theories?
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