Thanks for your ideas Nancy. The challenge is that NERC's reported data are single point averages and the variation (and the reasons for that variation) across facilities is not made public. Since the exact structure of each MRF is different, and the average cost per ton is affected by throughput and other factors, it is reasonable to assume that there is variation across the plants. Yet we can't see that; and all of the MRF operators are bidding very similar processing fees that are rising sharply year-on-year. Also of interest, and taken from the
most recent NERC market summary:
"Several MRFs also reported processing costs 2 for the period April – June 2022. The average processing cost per was $85/ton. This represents a decrease of 2% from the previous period. We have found that the average processing costs change significantly from quarter to quarter – sometimes up and sometimes down. We do not have an opinion or explanation for this."
As there are a small number of MRFs, a smaller number of MRF owners, and the haulers are generally linked to the firm owning the sort facility, it is likely that market power is at least part of the story. The questions are whether there are also other addressable factors at play (for example, low utilization of the plants 24/7 theoretical capacity); and if market power is a factor, are there things that municipal customers can do to improve their bargaining position.
Doug