Andrew
As you note, many advocates of CDR are totally opposed to SRM. This is partly due to the widely held view among the general public that SRM is playing God, tinkering with nature, a dangerous intervention, whereas CDR is benign.
As a result of this context, some CDR proponents tactically distance themselves from SRM and the associated terminology of geoengineering. This is either because they really believe the anti-SRM ideology, or just in order to get investment and support and engagement.
Some NGOs reportedly oppose SRM because their finance departments believe supporting it would be bad for their fundraising efforts, due to widespread opposition among their donor base. They also believe that discussing SRM confuses their single message of the need to cut emissions.
This situation reflects the priority of politics over science in the formation of opinion. It means the united front on climate action is seen as including CDR, in line with IPCC acceptance, but not SRM, which was given pariah status in the last IPCC Summary For Policymakers. The confused moral hazard ideology is a main support for this political line.
This hostile attitude involves a refusal to see the earth as a single unified system, an inability to consider that earth system fragility and sensitivity can only be stabilised by brightening the planet.
Greta Thunberg’s recent publication, The Climate Book, contains the assertion that “all geoengineering schemes are attempts to manipulate the Earth with the same domineering mindset that got us into the climate crisis in the first place.” This quasi-religious hostility to technology commands broad support among climate activists, producing a refusal to listen to reason, despite being a recipe for social and economic and ecological collapse.
The philosophical and psychological and political blockages to albedo enhancement as a primary climate objective lead to highly dubious arguments, such as that accelerated emission reduction and CDR could prevent tipping points without any action on albedo.
It is essential to defend the concept of geoengineering, since questioning it demonstrates an inability to understand the climate problem.
These concerns ought to be the subject of much more discussion and debate, as they are actually central to planetary security, with significant moral implications. Thank you for highlighting the problem.
Robert Tulip
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Hey Chris:
Greta Thunberg has a huge and positive influence on global climate policy; snide remarks about her are not helpful (leave that to MAGA Republicans). With regard to that quote from her book, it’s not ideal but also largely true. I would change one word in it to make it spot on: "all geoengineering schemes are attempts to manipulate the Earth with the same technological mindset that got us into the climate crisis in the first place.” Unfortunately, whether any of us like it or not, it is now necessary to embrace that technological mindset, at least CDR and possibly SRM. Your time would be better spent explaining this to 20-something idealists like Greta than taking cheap shots at them.
Chuck Greene
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Dear Michael
I really am surprised that you claim to be unable to see the direct relevance of this topic to CDR policy.
It is very clear that albedo enhancement is essential to prevent dangerous warming. Many CDR proponents are in denial of this basic science. This is a political problem delaying effective action on climate change.
Conversation within CDR circles and more broadly can help improve understanding of the need to integrate direct climate cooling with the slower and indirect cooling methods provided by CDR and emission reduction. Disparaging SRM should be discouraged and challenged when it occurs.
It is understandable that these distorted beliefs against SRM have gained credence, given that much literature presents unbalanced and misinformed views criticising the moral case for geoengineering, ignoring cost benefit analysis and realistic scenarios.
The scientific community has a responsibility to take an evidence based approach to these sensitive complex questions.
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Dear Ken,
I’m curious where you found a definition of “geoengineering” that establishes the criteria you set forth here. Here’s a couple of mainstream ones:
Oxford Geoengineering Programme
Robert G. Watts, Engineering Response to Global Climate Change (1997)
Under both of these definitions, I think CDR fits under this rubric:
I get why CDR folks worry about the “g word,” but I don’t buy the distinction you’re making, Ken, based on credible definitions that have been promulgated to date.
wil
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WIL BURNS Co-Director, Institute for Carbon Removal Law & Policy American University
Visiting Professor, Environmental Policy & Culture Program, Northwestern University
Email: wbu...@american.edu Mobile: 312.550.3079 https://www.american.edu/sis/centers/carbon-removal/
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From: carbondiox...@googlegroups.com <carbondiox...@googlegroups.com>
On Behalf Of Ken Caldeira
Sent: Thursday, February 2, 2023 11:05 AM
To: Andrew Lockley <andrew....@gmail.com>
Cc: Michael Hayes <electro...@gmail.com>; Robert Tulip <rtuli...@yahoo.com.au>; CarbonDiox...@googlegroups.com <CarbonDiox...@googlegroups.com> <carbondiox...@googlegroups.com>; geoengineering <geoengi...@googlegroups.com>
Subject: Re: [CDR] Tiresome nomenclature squabbles
Carbon dioxide removal is an activity, or a tool, and can be fully described without reference to intent.
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On Feb 3, 2023, at 1:10 AM, Wil Burns <w...@feronia.org> wrote:
Dear Ken,I’m curious where you found a definition of “geoengineering” that establishes the criteria you set forth here. Here’s a couple of mainstream ones:
- Geoengineering is the deliberate large-scale intervention in the Earth’s natural systems to counteract climate change.
Oxford Geoengineering Programme
- Attempted large scale human control of either biogeochemical cycles or the climate itself.
Robert G. Watts, Engineering Response to Global Climate Change (1997)Under both of these definitions, I think CDR fits under this rubric:
- Under the Oxford definition, CDR is: 1. A large-scale intervention (or certain can be in terms of the scales society now is contemplating), and 2. Seeks to counteract the impacts of climate change that are inevitable should atmospheric concentrations continue to rise;
- Under the Watts definition: 1. Many CDR approaches will exert a profound impact on biogeochemical cycles (kind of the quintessential definition, for example of those that rely on photosynthesis to effectuate sequestration, see: https://www.ipcc.ch/site/assets/uploads/2018/02/WG1AR5_Chapter06_FINAL.pdf;) and 2. CDR is intended to “control” the climate in terms of ensuring radiative forcing is mediated.
I get why CDR folks worry about the “g word,” but I don’t buy the distinction you’re making, Ken, based on credible definitions that have been promulgated to date.wil
WIL BURNSCo-Director, Institute for Carbon Removal Law & PolicyAmerican UniversityVisiting Professor, Environmental Policy & Culture Program, Northwestern UniversityEmail: wbu...@american.eduMobile: 312.550.3079Want to schedule a call? Click on one of the following scheduling links:
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Ken is clearly correct to state that CDR is a tool and can be described without reference to its intent. In that respect it's much a gun, a cell phone, morphine, gasoline and any number of other tools that can be put to a range of different uses. Whether a specific use is morally acceptable is a normative question. Ken is wrong, however, to state that any tool can be fully described without reference to its intended use.
Perhaps the question for those moderating the CDR Google Group is whether they have any interest in considering the uses to which CDR is put. In answering that question they might want to reflect on the moral obligations that scientists have to humanity. That's an issue that the lawyers and philosophers in this group will be very familiar with.
I look forward to some clarity here.
Regards
Robert
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Count me as one of those who sees no value (or rather negative value) in any term that lumps CDR with SRM. Though of course that’s what the geoengineering term originally did, and it seems too late to redefine it, so maybe better to just retire it completely. “Solar geoengineering” is tolerable, but seems unnecessary cumbersome to have to modify a term that doesn’t need to exist, but “geoengineering” without a modifier serves no purpose.
But please, it’s ok to know nothing about a subject, but if you do, please don’t just make stuff up.
“SAI has the real ability to … heat the polar regions”
Sure, and seagrass explodes on contact and sprays everyone with boiling lava. Seriously, I think we can manage a more informed discussion about the role of individual tools that might reduce some climate risks depending on how they get used.
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I'm getting very confused. Perhaps naively, I've always thought that the purpose (i.e. intent) of CDR, GGR and AE (albedo enhancement, my newly preferred term to SRM) was to head off a climate crisis caused by global warming caused by the Earth Energy Imbalance at the TOA. That's why, as a bundle, they were originally grouped under the heading 'geoengineering'. To the extent that any of them are delivered by tools whose intent is not to intervene in global warming, they are not geoengineering. But to the extent that they are not geoengineering, they're of no interest to me because they can't intervene to help in averting the impending climate crisis. For example, CDR solely for the purpose of EOR is of zero interest to me unless it's a test bed for scaling CDR to become climatically significant (and even then I'm being more than a little indulgent).
The problem here is that it seems increasingly that 'geoengineering' is identified with SRM and SRM has become almost synonymous with SAI and everyone loves to hate SAI and therefore, by extension, everyone loves to hate SRM and 'geoengineering'. And because everyone hates geoengineering, everyone's worried that CDR/GGR will be harmed by any association with it. When I say 'everyone', I'm referring to everyone who is not adequately versed in the science. This is fundamentally a problem of communication between scientists and the rest. And that is important for the following reason.
It is now almost certain that warming will exceed 2degC well before 2050, even if we got to net zero emissions next week. There is no realistic possibility that emissions are going to fall dramatically anytime soon, indeed, it's not even clear when they'll peak. Add to this, insights around the imminence of cascading tipping points and it becomes clear that given the scale of risk (extremely high negative impacts with reasonable likelihood) a prudent response requires short-term control of the temperature anomaly. That cannot be delivered by any GHG-centred policy and necessitates AE at scale and urgently. (References to support this para are Hansen et al Warming in the Pipeline and Armstrong-McKay et al on the current assessment of where we're at with tipping points. Tim Lenton's recent presentation to the NAS tipping point workshop is also worth the 23 minutes it lasts - it is based on the Armstrong-McKay paper of which he and Johan Rockstrom were co-authors. These messages are reinforced by this posting from Carbon Brief from last September and Steffen et al from 2018.)
That does not mean that CDR/GGR are not also necessary. It means that if we don't start very soon doing some serious cooling (albedo enhancement) to stop, and even reverse, the surface temperature rise, the younger of those amongst us, and our children and grandchildren will be lucky to be around to enjoy the benefits from the reduced GHGs.
So rather than devote our time to
arguing about whether CDR and GGR should be associated with
geoengineering, perhaps we should focus on how we bring the
simple message in the previous paragraph to the wider world.
Regards
Robert
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I hit the Send button a moment too soon. I should have added that I would be delighted if those who know a lot more about the climate science than I do can convince me that I have seriously misinterpreted the messages from the sources I referred to.
Regards
Robert
I think you’re absolutely correct, Robert, which is why I find Ken’s definition, which again, I don’t see in any of the mainstream literature, as strained. I don’t see the problem in acknowledging that CDR approaches are “geoengineering.” What I advocate is a case-by-case assessment of the effectiveness, and potential risk, of each approach. Have the courage to acknowledge that you believe that large-scale interventions to address climate change are necessary, and defend them. Don’t hide behind issues such as “intent;” it’s too cute by half. wil
Historically, our global culture has defined strategies that
remove contaminants from the environment so we can be safe as
pollution treatment. I don't get the association with
geoengineering and do not support it for this and the other
reasons of perception already stated.
Geeze, Austin is a mess. When you hear about climate change and
this ice event, remember the stall. This event was not
unprecedented, but as bad as anything in recent memory of our old
timers. We had smaller events that created similar tree carnage in
the area north of Austin in 1998, and south in 1996. Arctic
amplification can create slower moving storms West to East, and
this prolongs the enhanced weather extremes caused by warming. Not
all systems are slowed, but catastrophes occur because of extremes
and when systems slow the risks of catastrophe increases. But it
doesn't take an Einstein to see that these events are happening
more frequently. Harvey and Sandy were both stalls. The Winter
Storm Uri ice bomb in Austin in 2021 was a stall.
B