Scaling Up Carbon Removal: Policy Challenges and Plausible Future Pathways

[Geoengineering News]

https://balsilliepapers.ca/wp-content/uploads/2026/06/Balsillie-Paper-Rasna.pdf

Authors: Farzana Enam Rasna

09 June 2026

Abstract

This paper explores three plausible future scenarios for scaling Carbon Dioxide Removal (CDR). Drawing on current trends, emerging weak signals (early, often subtle or fragmented indicators of emerging change 

that may later develop into significant trends or issues), signposts (observable events or indicators that show how trends or scenarios are developing over time), and social, technological and policy drivers, 

the scenarios examine how governance pathways could evolve across international institutions, national governments, subnational authorities and private-sector actors. Rather than predicting specific outcomes, the analysis offers foresight into potential trajectories of global CDR governance and highlights risks 

and opportunities that could shape more equitable and effective carbon removal strategies, recognizing differences in capacity, historical responsibility and development priorities between the Global North and Global South.

Source: Balsillie Papers