Ukraine, It Was All Written in the Rand Corp Plan
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Bill Totten
Jan 24, 2023, 7:59:12 PM1/24/23
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Ukraine, It Was All Written in the Rand Corp Plan
"The US Plan against Russia was Formulated 3 Years Ago"
by Manlio Dinucci
https://www.globalresearch.ca (January 21 2023)
First published on March 12 2022 in Italian on Il Manifesto, this incisive article by Mario Dinucci has been the object of censorship.
https://www.globalresearch.ca/wp-content/uploads/2018/12/US-Ukraine-768x513.jpg
Today, the dangers of military escalation are beyond description.
What is now happening in Ukraine has serious geopolitical implications. It could lead us into a World War Three scenario.
* * * * *
The writings of Manlio Dinucci are subject to censorship by Il Manifesto. Here is Manlio Dinucci's Response:
On March 8, after having briefly published it online (see link), the Manifesto's editorial staff made the column The Art of War disappear overnight also from the paper edition because I had refused to comply with the Ministry of Truth's directive and had asked for a debate on the Ukrainian crisis.
Thus ends my long collaboration with this newspaper, on which for over ten years I published the column.
A warm greeting to the readers, whom I will continue to inform through other channels.
https://www.globalresearch.ca/wp-content/uploads/2022/03/manlio-768x432.jpg
- Manlio Dinucci
* * * * *
The strategic plan of the United States against Russia was elaborated three years ago by the Rand Corporation (the manifesto, Rand Corporation: how to bring down Russia, May 21 2019). The Rand Corporation, headquartered in Washington, DC, is "a global research organization developing solutions to policy challenges": it has an army of 1,800 researchers and other specialists recruited from 50 countries, speaking 75 languages, spread across offices and other locations in North America, Europe, Australia, and the Persian Gulf. Rand's US personnel live and work in more than 25 countries.
The Rand Corporation, which describes itself as a "nonprofit, nonpartisan organization", is officially funded by the Pentagon, the US Army and Air Force, national security agencies (CIA and others), agencies in other countries, and powerful non-governmental organizations.
The Rand Corporation prides itself on having helped devise the strategy that enabled the United States to emerge victorious from the Cold War, forcing the Soviet Union to consume its resources in a grueling military confrontation. This model has inspired the new plan elaborated in 2019: "Overextending and Unbalancing Russia", that is, forcing the adversary to overextend itself in order to unbalance and knock it down.
These are the main lines of attack outlined in the Rand plan, on which the United States has actually moved in recent years.
First of all - the plan establishes - Russia must be attacked on the most vulnerable side, that of its economy strongly dependent on gas and oil exports: for this purpose, commercial and financial sanctions must be used and, at the same time, Europe must be made to decrease the importation of Russian natural gas, replacing it with US liquefied natural gas.
In the ideological and informational field, it is necessary to encourage internal protests and, at the same time, undermine the image of Russia outside.
In the military field, it is necessary to operate so that European Nato countries increase their forces in an anti-Russian function. The US can have a high probability of success and high benefits with moderate risks by investing more in strategic bombers and long-range attack missiles directed against Russia. Deploying new intermediate-range nuclear missiles in Europe aimed at Russia assures them a high probability of success, but also carries high risks.
By calibrating each option to obtain the desired effect - Rand concludes - Russia will end up paying the highest price in the confrontation with the US, but the latter and their allies will have to invest large resources to divert them from other purposes.
As part of that strategy - the Rand Corporation's 2019 plan predicted - "providing lethal aid to Ukraine would exploit Russia's greatest point of external vulnerability, but any increase in US-provided weapons and military advice to Ukraine would have to be carefully calibrated to increase costs to Russia without provoking a much larger conflict in which Russia, because of proximity, would have significant advantages".
It is precisely here - at what the Rand Corporation called "Russia's greatest external vulnerability point", exploitable by arming Ukraine in a manner "calibrated to increase costs to Russia without provoking a much larger conflict" - that the rupture occurred. Caught in the political, economic, and military stranglehold that the US and Nato increasingly tightened, ignoring Moscow's repeated warnings and proposals for negotiation, Russia reacted with the military operation that destroyed more than 2,000 military facilities in Ukraine that were actually built and controlled not by Kiev's rulers but by US-Nato commands.
The article that three years ago reported the Rand Corporation's plan ended with these words: "The options in the plan are really only variants of the same war strategy, the price of which in terms of sacrifices and risks is paid by all of us". We European people are paying it now, and we will pay it more and more dearly if we continue to be expendable pawns in the US-Nato strategy.
* * * * *
Manlio Dinucci is an award-winning author, geopolitical analyst, and geographer based in Pisa, Italy. He is a Research Associate of the Centre for Research on Globalization (CRG).
Read more: https://www.globalresearch.ca/ukraine-attack-launched-nato-eight-years-ago/5772434
All Global Research articles can be read in 51 languages by activating the "Translate Website" drop-down menu on the top banner of our home page (Desktop version).
To receive Global Research's Daily Newsletter (selected articles), click here.
Visit and follow us on Instagram at @globalresearch_crg and Twitter at @crglobalization.
Note to readers: Please click the share buttons above or below. Follow us on Instagram, @globalresearch_crg and Twitter at @crglobalization. Forward this article to your email lists. Crosspost on your blog site, internet forums, et cetera.
Disclaimer: The contents of this article are the sole responsibility of the author(s). The Centre for Research on Globalization will not be responsible for any inaccurate or incorrect statement in this article.
Copyright (c) Manlio Dinucci, Global Research, 2023
https://www.globalresearch.ca/ukraine-was-all-written-rand-corp-plan/5773288
TO POST A COMMENT, OR TO READ COMMENTS POSTED BY OTHERS, please click
the appropriate link at the top or bottom of https://billtotten.wpcomstaging.com/2023/01/25/ukraine-it-was-all-written-in-the-rand-corp-plan/
"The US Plan against Russia was Formulated 3 Years Ago"
by Manlio Dinucci
https://www.globalresearch.ca (January 21 2023)
First published on March 12 2022 in Italian on Il Manifesto, this incisive article by Mario Dinucci has been the object of censorship.
https://www.globalresearch.ca/wp-content/uploads/2018/12/US-Ukraine-768x513.jpg
Today, the dangers of military escalation are beyond description.
What is now happening in Ukraine has serious geopolitical implications. It could lead us into a World War Three scenario.
* * * * *
The writings of Manlio Dinucci are subject to censorship by Il Manifesto. Here is Manlio Dinucci's Response:
On March 8, after having briefly published it online (see link), the Manifesto's editorial staff made the column The Art of War disappear overnight also from the paper edition because I had refused to comply with the Ministry of Truth's directive and had asked for a debate on the Ukrainian crisis.
Thus ends my long collaboration with this newspaper, on which for over ten years I published the column.
A warm greeting to the readers, whom I will continue to inform through other channels.
https://www.globalresearch.ca/wp-content/uploads/2022/03/manlio-768x432.jpg
- Manlio Dinucci
* * * * *
The strategic plan of the United States against Russia was elaborated three years ago by the Rand Corporation (the manifesto, Rand Corporation: how to bring down Russia, May 21 2019). The Rand Corporation, headquartered in Washington, DC, is "a global research organization developing solutions to policy challenges": it has an army of 1,800 researchers and other specialists recruited from 50 countries, speaking 75 languages, spread across offices and other locations in North America, Europe, Australia, and the Persian Gulf. Rand's US personnel live and work in more than 25 countries.
The Rand Corporation, which describes itself as a "nonprofit, nonpartisan organization", is officially funded by the Pentagon, the US Army and Air Force, national security agencies (CIA and others), agencies in other countries, and powerful non-governmental organizations.
The Rand Corporation prides itself on having helped devise the strategy that enabled the United States to emerge victorious from the Cold War, forcing the Soviet Union to consume its resources in a grueling military confrontation. This model has inspired the new plan elaborated in 2019: "Overextending and Unbalancing Russia", that is, forcing the adversary to overextend itself in order to unbalance and knock it down.
These are the main lines of attack outlined in the Rand plan, on which the United States has actually moved in recent years.
First of all - the plan establishes - Russia must be attacked on the most vulnerable side, that of its economy strongly dependent on gas and oil exports: for this purpose, commercial and financial sanctions must be used and, at the same time, Europe must be made to decrease the importation of Russian natural gas, replacing it with US liquefied natural gas.
In the ideological and informational field, it is necessary to encourage internal protests and, at the same time, undermine the image of Russia outside.
In the military field, it is necessary to operate so that European Nato countries increase their forces in an anti-Russian function. The US can have a high probability of success and high benefits with moderate risks by investing more in strategic bombers and long-range attack missiles directed against Russia. Deploying new intermediate-range nuclear missiles in Europe aimed at Russia assures them a high probability of success, but also carries high risks.
By calibrating each option to obtain the desired effect - Rand concludes - Russia will end up paying the highest price in the confrontation with the US, but the latter and their allies will have to invest large resources to divert them from other purposes.
As part of that strategy - the Rand Corporation's 2019 plan predicted - "providing lethal aid to Ukraine would exploit Russia's greatest point of external vulnerability, but any increase in US-provided weapons and military advice to Ukraine would have to be carefully calibrated to increase costs to Russia without provoking a much larger conflict in which Russia, because of proximity, would have significant advantages".
It is precisely here - at what the Rand Corporation called "Russia's greatest external vulnerability point", exploitable by arming Ukraine in a manner "calibrated to increase costs to Russia without provoking a much larger conflict" - that the rupture occurred. Caught in the political, economic, and military stranglehold that the US and Nato increasingly tightened, ignoring Moscow's repeated warnings and proposals for negotiation, Russia reacted with the military operation that destroyed more than 2,000 military facilities in Ukraine that were actually built and controlled not by Kiev's rulers but by US-Nato commands.
The article that three years ago reported the Rand Corporation's plan ended with these words: "The options in the plan are really only variants of the same war strategy, the price of which in terms of sacrifices and risks is paid by all of us". We European people are paying it now, and we will pay it more and more dearly if we continue to be expendable pawns in the US-Nato strategy.
* * * * *
Manlio Dinucci is an award-winning author, geopolitical analyst, and geographer based in Pisa, Italy. He is a Research Associate of the Centre for Research on Globalization (CRG).
Read more: https://www.globalresearch.ca/ukraine-attack-launched-nato-eight-years-ago/5772434
All Global Research articles can be read in 51 languages by activating the "Translate Website" drop-down menu on the top banner of our home page (Desktop version).
To receive Global Research's Daily Newsletter (selected articles), click here.
Visit and follow us on Instagram at @globalresearch_crg and Twitter at @crglobalization.
Note to readers: Please click the share buttons above or below. Follow us on Instagram, @globalresearch_crg and Twitter at @crglobalization. Forward this article to your email lists. Crosspost on your blog site, internet forums, et cetera.
Disclaimer: The contents of this article are the sole responsibility of the author(s). The Centre for Research on Globalization will not be responsible for any inaccurate or incorrect statement in this article.
Copyright (c) Manlio Dinucci, Global Research, 2023
https://www.globalresearch.ca/ukraine-was-all-written-rand-corp-plan/5773288
TO POST A COMMENT, OR TO READ COMMENTS POSTED BY OTHERS, please click
the appropriate link at the top or bottom of https://billtotten.wpcomstaging.com/2023/01/25/ukraine-it-was-all-written-in-the-rand-corp-plan/
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