Bird Flu Resurfaces in Vietnam

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Pastor Dale Morgan

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Jan 10, 2007, 6:42:23 PM1/10/07
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*Plagues, Pestilences and Diseases

Bird Flu Resurfaces in Vietnam*

By MARGIE MASON
The Associated Press
Wednesday, January 10, 2007; 4:47 AM

HANOI, Vietnam -- Bird flu is popping up after a yearlong hiatus in
Vietnam and elsewhere in Asia, and experts are warning now is the time
for the H5N1 virus to flourish. The big question: Just how far will it
go this winter?

As temperatures drop during traditional flu season, bird flu typically
spreads. A year ago, the virus swept across countries in Africa, the
Middle East, Central Asia and into Europe. Even so, officials say it's
hard to predict what such an unpredictable virus will do.

Ducks were raised at a farm in Ha Tay province, near Hanoi, on Tuesday
Jan. 9, 2007 despite a government ban on restocking waterfowl in an
effort to prevent bird flu from spreading. Some 30,000 birds died or
were culled in three southern Vietnamese provinces last month in the
country's first reported bird flu outbreaks among poultry in a year.
Experts fear that the virus may spread to other countries in the coming
months. (AP Photo/Tran Van Minh)

"We're braced for basically a repeat of what we saw last year," Peter
Cordingley, spokesman for the World Health Organization's Western
Pacific region, said this week. "We're expecting more problems through
the colder months as we head into February and March."

Last winter, a wave of bird flu was reported in many countries where the
H5N1 virus was detected for the first time, including India, Iraq,
Azerbaijan, Niger and France. Turkey was particularly hard hit last
January when 12 people were infected, four of whom died.

Since December, flare-ups have caused the death or slaughter of 30,000
birds in Vietnam after no poultry outbreaks or human cases had been
reported for a year. South Korea, which had not battled the disease in
three years, also has slaughtered more than 1 million birds since the
virus erupted in November.

Egypt last month reported three human deaths from the H5N1 virus, while
Indonesia _ the country hardest hit by the virus with 58 deaths _
continues to report human cases. On Wednesday, a 14-year-old Indonesian
boy died from bird flu, just days after being hospitalized, a health
official said.

New fears also have surfaced in Hong Kong after a wild bird found dead
tested positive for the virus on Saturday, and mainland China on
Wednesday reported that the virus had last month infected a farmer, who
has since fully recovered.

Despite the developments, some experts expressed optimism that the
situation is improving globally and that a repeat of last year's pattern
is unlikely.

The number of outbreaks among poultry today "pales by comparison" to
early 2004, when bird flu first emerged in Asia, said Juan Lubroth
animal health expert at the U.N. Food and Agriculture Organization in Rome.

"Although we see it in different places, at least the number of
outbreaks and the chickens dying ... is not what it used to be," he said.

Even as the number of poultry outbreaks declined, reports of human
deaths rose in 2006, killing 79 people.

Officials say the increase may be the result, in part, of better
surveillance and reporting due to increased public awareness about bird flu.

The disease has claimed at least 157 lives worldwide since it began
ravaging Asian poultry farms in late 2003, according to the WHO. Experts
worry the virus, which remains hard for people to catch, will evolve
into a form that passes easily among humans, potentially sparking a
pandemic. So far, most cases have been traced to contact with infected
birds.

As Vietnam prepares for next month's Lunar new year holiday, known as
Tet, health officials are worried human cases could follow during the
busiest time for the movement of people and poultry.

Vietnam was hailed for successfully beating back the virus after
starting a mass national poultry vaccination program and involving the
country's top leadership in raising awareness. But even after the long
lull, the virus' resurgence has reminded everyone that it's far from gone.

"It shows that even if you take all these measures, you can't eliminate
the virus if it has been widely spread in the environment in half a year
or a year," said Hans Troedsson, WHO representative in Vietnam. "This is
a very long-term undertaking."

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