A Changing, Prophetic World: Humberto Grew Faster Than Any Storm On Record

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Pastor Dale Morgan

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Sep 15, 2007, 6:15:26 PM9/15/07
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* Perilous Times and Global Warming

A Changing, Prophetic World: Humberto Grew Faster Than Any Storm On Record*

Humberto sneaks up on U.S. Gulf Coast

By JUAN A. LOZANO and MATT SEDENSKY,
Associated Press Writers Thu Sep 15, 7:07 PM ET

HIGH ISLAND, Texas - Call it the instant hurricane. Humberto, which grew
faster than any storm on record from tropical depression to full-scale
hurricane landfall, surprised the Texas-Louisiana coast early Thursday
with 85-mph winds and heavy rain that knocked out power to more than
100,000 and left at least one person dead.

Meteorologists were at a loss to explain the rapid, 16-hour genesis of
the first hurricane to hit the U.S. since 2005.

"Before Humberto developed, you looked at the satellite imagery the day
before, and there was virtually nothing there. This really spun up out
of thin air, very, very quickly, said National Hurricane Center
specialist James Franklin in Miami. "We've never had any tropical
cyclone go from where Humberto was to where Humberto got."

Surprising as Humberto was, forecasters said it may have been a blessing
that it didn't linger longer over warm waters of the Gulf of Mexico,
which could have given it time to develop into more than a minimal
hurricane.

Texas coastal residents prepared for a tropical storm rainmaker that
would quickly flood the ground already saturated from the wettest summer
in 60 years. Although forecasts called for up to a foot of rain,
Humberto produced no more than half that and generated much more wind.
By late afternoon, it had weakened to tropical depression churning
across the Deep South.

"We feel very fortunate and blessed it wasn't worse," said Beaumont
resident Edward Petty, 50, who was clearing debris outside his home 50
miles northeast of High Island, near where the storm came ashore.

"It was amazing to go to sleep to a tropical storm and wake up to a
hurricane," he said. "What are you going to do? You couldn't get up and
drive away. You couldn't run for it. You just have to hunker down."

The only reported death was a man who died in southeast Texas when the
carport at his home collapsed, police said.

Humberto made landfall less than 50 miles from where Hurricane Rita did
in 2005, and areas of southwest Louisiana not fully recovered from Rita
were bracing for more misery.

"I'm in a FEMA trailer (because of Rita) and I'm on oxygen," said
Albertha Garrett, 70, who spent the night at a shelter in the Lake
Charles Civic Center. "I had to come to the civic center just in case
the lights would go out, because I'm alone and I'm handicapped."

About 100,000 customers lost power in Beaumont and Port Arthur. In
Louisiana, the storm flooded highways and knocked out power to about
13,000 homes and businesses.

Along Port Arthur's refinery row, three plants were idled until power
was restored. Some of the plants could be off-line for several days,
even after power is restored, because they must undergo the full restart
process.

Hurricane center forecasters first mentioned what would become Humberto
on Saturday, when it was a disorganized system of showers and
thunderstorms stretching from Cuba west over the southern Gulf of Mexico.

By 11 a.m. Wednesday, it had organized into a tropical depression with
35 mph winds and by 2 p.m. was a 45-mph tropical storm, centered just 70
miles off shore. At 1:15 a.m. Thursday, it was upgraded to an 80-mph,
Category 1 hurricane, only 15 miles from the coast. Less than two hours
later, at 3 a.m., its center roared ashore with 85-mph winds just east
of High Island.

Only three other storms have pulled off a similar feat, growing from
depression to hurricane in 18 hours — Blanche in 1969, Harvey in 1981
and Alberto in 1982 — but all of them were out at sea at the time, not
about to crash ashore like Humberto.

Experts can't draw conclusions on possible trends of faster-forming
hurricanes based on just one storm. Franklin said part of the problem
was Humberto was a relatively small-sized storm, making it harder for
forecasters and computer models to analyze.

One possibility, he said, is that because Humberto was close to
landfall, greater friction between air currents and the ground could
have forced winds upward into the storm and lended to its intensification.

Kerry Emanuel, a meteorology professor at the Massachusetts Institute of
Technology, said it is not so much the positive factors like warm Gulf
of Mexico waters that help fuel storms like Humberto to intensify
quickly. It's the lack of negative factors like wind shear that would
weaken a storm.

The most destructive natural disaster in U.S. history, 2005's Hurricane
Katrina, also developed quickly before its first landfall near Miami. It
went from a tropical depression to a hurricane in just over two days
before hitting Florida. It leveled parts of the Gulf Coast a few days
later, part of the busiest hurricane season ever recorded with Rita and
Wilma.

In Texas, the heaviest rainfall from Humberto was on the Bolivar
Peninsula of Galveston Island, which got 6 1/2 inches of rain. In most
areas, damage was more nuisance than disaster.

But the little town of High Island, known for its sanctuary where exotic
migratory birds rest each spring and fall, got walloped. Streets were
littered with uprooted trees and other debris. Power lines and telephone
poles blocked streets and roofs were torn off convenience stores and homes.

Audie Tackett, the principal of the K-12 school in High Island, said the
hurricane destroyed all four stadium lights of the school's football
field. The press box at the football stadium was also blown over and
electrical equipment inside, including a public address system, was damaged.

Tackett said he told his staff he only expected minor street flooding
and a day off from school. Now, school is expected to reopen Monday.

"We just assumed, as the weather service was saying, that there would
only be rain," he said. "We never dreamed we were going to wake up to this."

___

Associated Press writer Matt Sedensky reported from Miami. Tony Winton
in Miami and David Koenig in Dallas also contributed to this report.

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