War Chronicle 6-Feb-2016

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Feb 7, 2016, 5:58:18 AM2/7/16
to Brisbane Anti-War Co-ordinating Committee

1. Kurdish forces enter rebel heartland in northern Aleppo 6 Feb 2016

2. SAA controls 1) Aleppo city population 2) the Citadel 3) the railway station

3. Week 17 of the Russian Intervention in Syria: does Erdogan want war with Russia?

4. Scramble for Arabia: Gazprom Rulez! Russia and Gazprom to control Europe's energy future

5. Ayesha Gaddafi as a New Leader of Resistance against NATO and the Libyan Terrorists

6. Yemeni Army, Houthis advance in western Najran as Saudi defenses crumble in Jizan Province

7. The Geneva "raft" has sunk - Russia proposes international meeting on Syria on Feb 11/12

8. World War III - The New Axis of Evil (The alliances and proxies of the Syrian Front explained)

9. The Balkanisation of Europe: Part 5 of an 11 part series on Coercive Engineered Migration

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1. Kurdish forces enter rebel heartland in northern Aleppo
by Leith Fadel, 6 Feb 2016 http://www.almasdarnews.com/article/kurdish-forces-enter-rebel-heartland-in-northern-aleppo/ | Al-Masdar News

The predominately Kurdish “People’s Protection Units” (YPG) have made it known to all parties involved in the Syrian Conflict that the Afrin Canton inside the Aleppo Governorate’s northern countryside is off limits.

More importantly, the YPG command has endeavored to created an imperative buffer-zone around the Afrin Canton in order to keep the Islamist rebels and the Syrian Arab Army (SAA) from threatening their lands in northern Aleppo.

Over the last 72 hours, the YPG has taken advantage of the crumbling Islamist defenses in northern Aleppo, seizing a number of villages like Ziyarah near the towns of Al-Zahra’a and Nubl. 
On Saturday afternoon, the YPG advanced towards the integral Mennagh Military Airport in the rebel heartland, capturing the village of Al-‘Alqamiyah after a violent battle with the Islamist rebels of Harakat Ahrar Al-Sham and Jabhat Al-Shamiyah (Levantine Front).

With Al-‘Alqamiyah under their control, the YPG forces are in position to strike the Mennagh Military Airport; thus, threatening the remaining Islamist defenses in northern Aleppo.

To combat the YPG and SAA in northern Aleppo, the Islamist rebels have formed a coalition called “Jaysh Halab”, which consists of Harakat Ahrar Al-Sham, the Free Syrian Army (FSA), Jabhat Al-Shamiyah, Jaysh Al-Islam, and Jaysh Al-Mujahiddeen. 

http://www.almasdarnews.com/article/kurdish-forces-enter-rebel-heartland-in-northern-aleppo/ | Al-Masdar News

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Virgile wrote on 6 Feb 2016 at http://www.moonofalabama.org/2016/02/open-thread-2016-07.html#comments: A new jaysh (army) is born: Jaysh Halab! (The Army of Aleppo!)
To combat the YPG and SAA in northern Aleppo, the Islamist rebels have formed a coalition called “Jaysh Halab”, which consists of Harakat Ahrar Al-Sham, the Free Syrian Army (FSA), Jabhat Al-Shamiyah, Jaysh Al-Islam, and Jaysh Al-Mujahiddeen.

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2. SAA controls 1) Aleppo city population 2) the Citadel 3) the railway station

Petri Krohn wrote on 6 Feb 2016 at http://www.moonofalabama.org/2016/02/open-thread-2016-07.html#comments:

Someone asked me about the latest refugee influx on the Turkish border at the Aziz border crossing. I wrote some answers based on what I have seen in the last few days:

The Western press is full of hysterical stories about how the SAA is about to attack/siege/capture/destroy #Aleppo. Fact is the SAA *controls* Aleppo. At least if "Aleppo" means 1) the population 2) the Citadel 3) the railway station etc. Yes, the rebels control large parts of the ruins, but the latest pro-Syrian estimate I saw was 1.5 million (in government controlled Aleppo) vs. 40,000 on the rebel side.

The front lines in the Aleppo city have moved little in the last 3 years. Also, there are no on-going battles in the city. These people are thus not fleeing the city of Aleppo. Besides, to travel from the rebel-held part of the city to the Turkish border, they would now have to cross government-held areas.

See a map from Friday here:
https://twitter.com/EdmapsCom/status/695660560151609344

The real cause of the refugee stream is the likely collapse of the whole Aziz corridor. The whole area will soon be taken over be a) The SAA, b) Kurds, c) ISIS, or d) Turkey.

Also, there is real fighting going on in the southern part of the corridor, with the fighting and bombing likely to move north. Civilians are wise to evacuate the area. I do not think these people have *yet* made plans to flee to Europe. Most will be returning home in a week or so.

Video from Thursday. Note, that Turkey has closed the border gate, and is not letting anyone in.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=go_J8dCEC8w

As the people are not allowed into Turkey they are moving into Kurdish territory: Pro-rebel channel SYRIA:direct writes: "Amidst north Aleppo (region – not the city) chaos, thousands of displaced Syrians pour into ‘relative safety’ of Kurdish-held Afrin"
http://syriadirect.org/news/amidst-north-aleppo-chaos-thousands-of-displaced-syrians-pour-into-%E2%80%98relative-safety%E2%80%99-of-kurdish-held-afrin/

Google Earth shows a refugee tent camp on the Syrian side of the border, just east of the road and border gate. This fresh video shows hew tents being set up in the same spot. Evidently the old camp and the old tents have already been disassembled and the previous refugees moved elsewhere.
https://www.facebook.com/PRESSTV/videos/1065774676797652/

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3. Week 17 of the Russian Intervention in Syria: does Erdogan want war with Russia?

http://thesaker.is/week-seventeen-of-the-russian-intervention-in-syria-does-erdogan-want-war-with-russia/ by The Saker, 6 February 2016


The situation with Turkey is rapidly getting out of control: not only have the Turks conducted artillery strikes across the Syrian border, Turkey has refused to comply with its obligations under the Open Skies Treaty and refused to let a Russian surveillance aircraft overfly Turkey. The Russian military has now declared that it had detected signs of Turkish preparations for an invasion. The Turkish refusal to abide by the Open Skies Treaty is an extremely worrisome development, especially when combined with the Russian warnings about the preparation for an invasion of Syria, and the Russians are not mincing their words:


Detailed briefing with English subtitles of the Russian Defence Ministry spokesman (February 4, 2016) at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fxWqPtn7QtY <iframe width="530" height="298" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/fxWqPtn7QtY" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe>


There are plenty more indicators and warnings showing that an escalation is possible: the Geneva negotiations have been abruptly terminated, the Saudis arethreatening to invade Syria and there are signs that the Syrian army is slowly but surely preparing an operation to liberate Aleppo from the Takfiris, creating a panic in Ankara and Riyadh (so much for the stupid notions that the Russians are not winning or that the Syrian military does not exist).


In the meantime, there are plenty of signs that Erdogan’s entire “grand plan” for Syria has completely collapsed that that he has no more options left (please read the excellent analysis by Ghassan Kadi on this topic posted today (6 Feb 2016 at http://thesaker.is/coming-to-a-head-in-syria/) as well as Pepe Escobar’s take on the same issue (5 Feb 2016 at http://russia-insider.com/en/politics/why-sultan-chaos-freaking-out/ri12659).

I am not a psychic or a prophet.  I cannot tell what Erdogan is really thinking, or whether the Turks will try to invade Syria.  But what I can do is to try to make some educated guesses about possible Russian responses to such an event.

First, two basic principles:

1) If Russian forces are attacked they will hit back.  Putin already gave them that authority and this will happen almost automatically with only local commanders making the final call.  In other words, such an exchange of fire would not automatically be tantamount to a full-scale war between Turkey and Russia.

2) If Turkey invades Syria, Russia will act in strict compliance with international law.  That means that she will demand an emergency meeting of the UNSC and that much will depend upon what the Council’s reaction will be.  If the usual gangs of puppets “covers” for Turkey (which is by no means certain, in my opinion, at least not for very long, maybe a week or so max) then the Russians will then refer to their obligations to assist Syria under the 1980 “Treaty of Friendship and Cooperation” between the two countries (Russia being today the successor state to the USSR the treaty is still in force) and the 2015 “Agreement between the Russian Federation and the Syrian Arab Republic on the deployment of aviation group of the Armed Forceson the territory of the Syrian Arab Republic“.

In other words, Russia will retain a degree of flexibility to interpret the situation in one way or another.  That, in turn, means that much will depend on what the Turks really try achieve.

If we are talking about the typical Turkish violation of a national border to attack the Kurds, like what they did many times in the past already, and if that intervention is limited in depth, Russia will probably chose non-military means to put pressure on Turkey.  Again, while the crazies in Turkey badly want a war with Russia to internationalize the conflict and force NATO to intervene, the Russians have no interest at all in such an escalation.  Just as in the Donbass, the West is trying to bait Russia into a war and Russia is refusing to take that bait.  The problem is that unlike the Ukronazis, the Turks have a much more powerful military machine which the Russian cannot ignore like they have ignored the Ukronazi military and various death squads.  So if Erdogan’s goal is just to look macho and flex some muscle, say like what Reagan did in Grenada, then he can probably get away with it, at least for a short operation.  But if Erdogan is dead set in having a conflict with Russia, the Russian won’t be able to just hunker down and wait for him to calm down.

In the latter case, Russia will have a number of escalatory options.

The first obvious options is to help the Syrians and Kurds with intelligence.  This is already taking place now and will only intensify in the case of a Turkish invasion.

The second is to shoot Turkish fixed or rotary-wing aircraft out of the skies.  This is an easy option as the Syrians already have some pretty good air defense systems (including some Pantsir-S1, Buk-M1/2E, Tunguskas 2K22 and a fairly robust early-warning system) and a few more or less capable aircraft (possibly including upgraded MiG-29s).  The Kremlin can thus enjoy a degree of what the CIA called “plausible deniability”.

The third option for Russia is to help the Syrians with the artillery system she reportedly deployed in the country including 52-millimeter MTSA-B guns, BM-27 Uragan and BM-30 Smerch rocket launchers.

All these options would still fall short of a “full-scale” war between Russia and Turkey.  But if Erdogan is determined to escalate further then a war will be inevitable. If Turkey tries to attack Khmeimim directly, then Russia will strike back, no doubt about it.

What could it look like?

The first thing I would say is that neither country will try to invade the other one.  The notion of Turkey invading Russia is self-evidently ludicrous, but while Turkey does fall within the 1000km depth the Russian military is trained to fight in, I don’t believe that Russia would ever attempt this.  For one thing, and just as was the case with Georgia, nobody in Russia really believes that the Turks, as a nation, want war.  If anything, Erdogan is much more of a “Saakashvili v2″ then a Hitler and he will be dealt with similarly.  Furthermore, while during the 08.08.08 war Russia had to protect the Ossetians from the quasi-genocidal Georgians, Russia has no such obligations in Kurdistan.

A much more likely scenario is a repeat what we have already seen, but on a much larger scale: if Erdogan really forces Russia into a war, what will happen will be cruise and ballistic missile attacks on the infrastructure supporting the Turkish invasion, the sinking of any Turkish Navy ship involved in this effort, and bomb and missile attacks on Turkish force concentrations, ammo and fuel (POL) dumps and, especially, airfields.  The goal of the Russian response will not be to “defeat” Turkey militarily, but to push back the Turks long enough to force some kind of a ceasefire upon Erdogan.  Even if the Russian military is capable of completely defeating Turkey in a war, the Kremlin also realizes that any war between Turkey and Russia ought to be stopped as soon as possible and that rather than “defeating Turkey” the real Russian objective ought be to defeat Erdogan.

For this reason, the Russians, far from being trigger happy, will undertake every imaginable effort to show that they did not initiate the war, even if that means letting Turkey enter into Syria, at least as long as the Turks stay close to their border and do not attempt to change the course of the war. If all the Turks want is a thin“security zone” inside Syria, I don’t see the Russians using military force to deny this to them.  They will protest, vehemently, on a diplomatic level, and they will help the Syrians and Kurds, but they will not directly attack the Turkish forces.

What about the Saudis?  Well, what about them?  They can’t even deal with the Houthis in Yemen, why would anyone think that they could make a difference in Syria?  The Saudi military is a joke, a degenerate repression force barely capable of engaging in anti-Shia repression operations.  They can make all the threats they want, but if they try to move into Syria the Syrians, Russians, Iranians and Hezbollah will all try to race each other to be the first one to finally get a hold of these SOBs in teach them a lesson they shall not forget in a long time.

Frankly, I simply don’t want to believe that Erdogan and his advisors are crazy enough to try to trigger a war with Russia or even to invade Syria.  While Erdogan himself is clearly a maniac, I cannot believe that his entire staff is also composed of lunatics.  Furthermore, I cannot imagine that the US/NATO/EU would actually support a Turkish invasion of Syria or, even less so, an attack on Russia.  Russophobia is great only as long as it does not expose you to a continental war, at which point your self-interest and survival prevails over any ideological notions.  At least I hope so.

And maybe I am naive, but I want to believe that the Turkish people are not going to just sit back and do nothing while their leader is dragging their country towards a war with Russia.

In conclusion, I want to mention one disturbing thing.  A Greek elder, a monastic named Paisios, whom the Greek Orthodox Church has glorified as a saint, was known for his prophetic visions.  One of the most famous one was his prediction that Turkey and Russia would have a major war which would result in a complete break-up of Turkey and the liberation of Constantinople from the Ottoman yoke (if you are interested by the details, click here and here). Now I quite realize that in our times most people will immediately dismiss such things as meaningless nonsense,  obscurantism, superstition, wishful thinking on the part of a “resentful Greek”, religious gobbledygook etc.  But please keep in mind that between the 15th and the 20th century, Russia and Turkey have already fought 12 wars(!).  That over 2 wars (2.4 exactly) per century and that the last one happened a century ago.

So whether you look at prophecies, past experience or statistics, things look very, very scary, at least to me.  And, as Ghassan Kadi and Pepe Escobar have explained, Erdogan is now cornered.  That also makes him very dangerous.

The AngloZionists are experts at unleashing crazed ideologues (Wahabis in the Middle-East and Nazis in the Ukraine) but that they always seem to eventually somehow lose control over them.  I just hope that the American ‘cover’ of the Turkish regime did not result in the unleashing of yet another rabid ideology – Ottoman Imperialism – or, if it has, that it is not too late for the US to rein in this lunatic before it is too late.

Erdogan and his regime are a threat to regional and even world piece.  I don’t really care who removes him, the Turkish people or the White House, but I sure hope that his days in power are numbered because as long as he is in power a catastrophe of major proportions can happen.

The Saker

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4. Scramble for Arabia: Gazprom Rulez! Russia and Gazprom to control Europe's energy future

The Scramble for Arabia: Gazprom Rulez!

By Petri Krohn for Fort Russ

3rd February, 2016


Map by PetoLucem - HD file: http://southfront.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/02/V1isOXi.jpg


On the evening of February 2nd the Syrian Arab Army is within a few kilometers from victory on all three Aleppo fronts:

  1. Under 2 km to connect with Al-Zahra and Nubbol in the west. This would cut the rebel supply lines to Turkey.

  2. Under 2 km to connect with the Kurds in North Aleppo. This would encircle the rebel-held east Aleppo.

  3. Some 7 km between the forces attacking from the west from the Kuweires airbase to the Sheikh Najjar industrial area. This would create a large ISIS pocket south of the Aleppo-Euphrates Canal.

Further to the west the forces attacking from the Kuweires airbase could reach Lake Assad on the Euphrates River or connect with Kurds west of the Tishreen Dam. This would cut off the Islamic State from Turkey.


There is a far greater geopolitical aspect to all this. Just like in the Scramble for Africa (between 1881 and 1914) this is a battle of corridors. In Africa the Cape Town to Cairo Red Line of British imperialism won over rival French ambitions of conquering Africa from East to West.


If Russia wins in Syria, it will gain a Mediterranean port. Not just an isolated base that can be reached by ship through the Turkish Straits, but a port connected by land and rail over friendly SCO territory. The other side of the game is that this victory would be a massive defeat for U.S. and its allies. The Persian Gulf and Arab oil and gas would be isolated from the European markets.

The real reason for the Syrian “revolution” was never democracy. The “civil war” – or in fact a proxy invasion – was launched by Qatar, Saudi Arabia and the U.S. after Syria rejected Qatari plans to build a gas pipeline through Syria to Turkey. The Euromaidan revolution in the Ukraine was never about democracy either. The real Western motive for destabilizing Ukraine was to disrupt the Russian gas transit through Ukraine and thus reduce the feared “European dependency on Russian energy.” To break Europe away from Russia, the U.S. would need to provide an alternate source of energy. Liquid natural gas will never be cost effective and can never fulfill European needs. A pipeline the Qatari or Iranian gas fields in the Persian Gulf would be needed.


Whoever wins in Aleppo may gain control of Europe's energy future. At the moment Russia and Gazprom may have the upper hand.


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5. Ayesha Gaddafi as a New Leader of Resistance against NATO and the Libyan Terrorists

Written by Maja Orlic; published at in4s.net, translated by Mario Andrijasevic exclusively for SouthFront


The daughter of Muammar Gaddafi will lead the resistance against NATO and the other Libyan terrorists. Ayesha stated that she is now the leader of the resistance and she is about to create a new secret government.

Ayesha Gaddafi become the new leader of the resistance at a crucial moment for the country – on the eve of the new NATO intervention. As a Lieutenant General of the Libyan army she swore loyalty to order her legendary father and urged Libyans to wake up in order to win, to be successful and to “return the Jamahiriya government”.

Ayesha Gaddafi guarantees that in the next few months she will form a “secret government” of “famous Libyans,” who are loyal to Gaddafi and that will act as a mediator in Libya and abroad. Analyzing the current situation she criticized the former army because of “a crazy mix of anarchists” who decided to wage war on a principle “I fight for whoever pays me more.”

Gaddafi´s daughter accused them of using a green flag of Jamahiriya and recruiting their supporters, as well as strengthening tribal governments, under whose shadow they joined the alliance with the Tuareg and Toubou Islamists. She accused the Tuareg and Toubou tribes of separatism and conspiracy with the government in Tobruk.

Ayesha Gaddafi called on the soldiers of the Libyan armed forces to give her the oath as a Supreme Commander, in order to restore the state.

“My name gives me a duty and a right to be at the forefront of this battle.”, said a brave woman who during the war lost her husband and two children. Today she is ready to become a “symbol of the nation” and alongside a portrait of Gaddafi to become a “symbol of the mission to restore national unity.” Speaking of the Libyans as for her children, she compared herself to a mother who will fight for their children.

She also talked about about al-Qaeda terrorists, who overthrew her father Muammar Gaddafi in 2011. Ayesha Gaddafi prophetically said that their destruction and death have a breath of madness and that it will fall apart and disappear. She wrote that “We are ready for a deadly battle” in which the terrorists will face one nation. In conclusion, she promised to sign s new agreement.

According to rumors, the printed version of this call is secretly being distributed and shared in the main cities of Libya – Tripoli and Tobruk. And according to given information we can also expect her speech on local television soon.

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6. Yemeni Army, Houthis advance in western Najran as Saudi defenses crumble in Jizan Province


Yemeni Army, Houthis advance in western Najran as Saudi defenses crumble

Written by Leith Fadel on 30-Jan-2016 http://www.almasdarnews.com/article/26474/

On Saturday morning (29 Jan. 2016) inside the Najran Governorate of southern Saudi Arabia, the Yemeni Army’s Republican Guard forces – in close coordination with their popular committees and the Houthis – seized several military installations in the town of Sharfa after intense clashes with Saudi Royal Army. According to Al-Masdar’s Yemeni war correspondent Tony Toh (@TonyTohcy), as many 4 Saudi soldiers were killed and several armored vehicles were destroyed by the Yemeni Army and their popular committees this morning in the western countryside of Sharfa. The Najran Governorate of Saudi Arabia has been the target of several attacks by the Yemeni Army and their popular committees as of recently; this is due to the province’s proximity to Yemen’s northern border.
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Saudi Army suffers humiliating defeat to Yemeni Forces in Jizan Province
Written by Leith Fadel on 29-Jan-2016
http://www.almasdarnews.com/article/saudi-army-suffers-humiliating-defeat-to-yemeni-forces-in-jizan-province/

The Saudi Royal Army suffered a humiliating defeat inside their own country at the hands of the Yemeni Army’s Republican Guard and the Houthis on Thursday, as the latter captured the strategic mountains of Jabal Al-Dood in southern Saudi Arabia. According to Al-Masdar’s Yemen War correspondent Tony Toh (@TonyTohcy), the Yemeni forces imposed full control over Jabal Al-Dood during a large-scale military operation in the Jizan Province of southern Saudi Arabia, marking another major defeat for the Saudi-led Coalition. In addition to losing Jabal Al-Dood on Thursday, the Saudi-led Coalition forces also surrendered dozens of military personnel and a large cache of weapons to the Yemeni Army and the Houthis.
The Saudi-led Coalition has been unable to achieve any success in the provinces of Asir and Jizan, despite possessing the more technologically advanced weaponry and a large air force to attack the Yemeni ground forces and their popular committees. Instead, the Saudi-led Coalition forces have done most of their damage to the Yemeni civilians living in the capital of Sanaa and historical city of Saada in northern Yemen. So far, the war in Yemen has cost nearly 8,500 civilian lives and the large-scale destruction to the country’s architectural infrastructure and political stability.

http://www.almasdarnews.com/article/saudi-army-suffers-humiliating-defeat-to-yemeni-forces-in-jizan-province/ | Al-Masdar News

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7. The Geneva "raft" has sunk - Russia proposes international meeting on Syria on Feb 11/12


The Geneva "raft" has sunk. 29 Jan. 2016 by Colonel W. Patrick Lang

http://turcopolier.typepad.com/

"The first Syria peace talks for two years were a "complete failure" before they started on Friday, a Western diplomat said, after the United Nations announced it would press ahead with them despite an opposition boycott.

Opponents of President Bashar al-Assad said they were far more concerned with fending off a Russian-backed military onslaught, with hundreds of civilians reported to be fleeing as the Syrian army and allied militia tried to capture a suburb of Damascus and finish off rebels defending it.

U.N. envoy Staffan de Mistura has invited the Syrian government and an opposition umbrella group to Geneva for "proximity talks", in which they would meet in separate rooms.

But so far the main opposition High Negotiations Committee (HNC) has refused to attend, insisting it wanted an end to air strikes and sieges of towns before talks can start. The boycott defies Washington, which has urged the opposition to take up the "historic opportunity" for the talks, without preconditions."  Reuters

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As I wrote a while back, one cannot gain a victory at a negotiation without first having won on the battlefield. The rebels seem to know this and so do not want to negotiate.  pl

http://www.reuters.com/article/us-mideast-crisis-syria-statement-idUSKCN0V718I

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Russia proposes international meeting on Syria on Feb 11

28 January 2016, http://news.yahoo.com/russia-proposes-international-meeting-syria-feb-11-111552442.html


Moscow (AFP) - Russia said on Thursday it wanted to hold an international meeting on Syria -- including key players from the West and the Middle East -- in Munich next month.

"There is an agreement in principle between Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov and Secretary of State John Kerry, and now we will propose to all the other participants of the international Syria support group a time and place -- Munich, February 11," state news agency TASS quoted deputy foreign minister Mikhail Bogdanov as saying.

The call for a fresh meeting of the key international players in Syria came as opposition groups from the war-torn country met for a third day in Riyadh to decide whether to attend UN peace talks with the government, with less than 24 hours before the negotiations were due to open in Geneva.

Some 17 nations -- including the United States, Russia, Saudi Arabia, Turkey and Iran -- held several rounds of talks last year in the broadest international push to end the conflict in Syria.

Russia is currently conducting a bombing campaign in Syria in support of President Bashar al-Assad, while the US is leading a separate coalition targeting Islamic State jihadists.

Iranian Deputy Foreign Minister Hossein Amir Abdollahian told journalists in Moscow on Thursday, a day after meeting Bogdanov, that the talks would likely happen February 11.

High-ranking officials will be heading to Munich next month for an annual security conference that starts on February 12.


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8. World War III - The New Axis of Evil (The alliances and proxies of the Syrian Front explained)


World War III - The New Axis of Evil

Published on Jan 28, 2016 by StormCloudsGathering

The alliances and proxies of the Syrian Front explained. World War III - The New Axis of Evil
Sources and transcript: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=K20fm2166WM

Video URL: https://youtu.be/K20fm2166WM

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9. The Balkanisation of Europe: Part 5 of an 11 part series on Coercive Engineered Migration


The Balkanisation of Europe: Neo-Prometheism and Neo-Ottomanism

Coercive Engineered Migration: Zionism's War on Europe (Part 5 of an 11 Part Series)

by Gearóid Ó Colmáin / January 27th, 2016

http://dissidentvoice.org/2016/01/the-balkanisation-of-europe-neo-prometheism-and-neo-ottomanism/

... It has been understood by US military planners for over a century that it is in Germany’s geopolitical interest to integrate with Russia in the form of an Eurasian Union while it is in America’s geopolitical interests to stop this unification. The goal of US/Israeli foreign policy is to control Eurasia’s heartland. In Halford Mackinder’s, the father of geopolitical science, famous words:

Who rules East Europe commands the Heartland; who rules the Heartland commands the World-Island; who rules the World-Island commands the world.

Friedman has said that the ‘German Question’ is the key issue of our time. That is, no doubt, the reason why Hungarian Prime Minister Victor Orban refers to the refugee/migrant crisis as “Germany’s problem”. Orban understands that NATO’s destruction of Ukraine is likely to spread into Mitteleuropa, and that Germany’s geopolitical integration away from the Atlantic powers and towards the Eurasian Union, will be opposed by an engineered demographic and social destabilization.

In Friedman’s own words:

It is not in the American interest to see German, European let’s say, European industrialism and technology united with Russian natural resources. This is not what US grand strategy really wants to see happen.

Here Friedman is clearly alluding to Nordstream, a gas pipeline linking Russia to Lubin in Germany inaugurated in 2011 and currently under expansion. The gas pipeline is the longest in the world and has the potential to supply all of Europe. This project is opposed by the United States.

Friedman advocates a similar US foreign policy to that which prevailed during the Iran-Iraq war during the 1980s when the US, having heavily armed both countries, ordered Saddam Hussein to invade the Islamic Republic of Iran. Is the US planning to foment a military confrontation between Europe and Russia?

While Poland, already overburdened with Ukrainian refugees, is reluctant to take in more, the Eastern European state is complying with EU requests to accept more immigration. Friedman has predicted that Poland will, under US patronage, become a major European regional power this century. A strong Polish client power hostile to Russia is vital to securing NATO’s sabotage of Eurasian integration. Therefore, US militarisation and US technological transfer could turn Poland into a major European power, keeping Russia in check by preventing its integration with Germany. If the current junta in Kiev is to survive, it will have to rely increasingly on Poland. Poland played a key role in the Ukraine coup of 2014.

The same reliance on Poland will apply to the Baltic States. In order to encourage Russophobia, the United States will flatter Polish chauvinism with references to the renaissance of the Polish Lithuanian Empire of the 16th and 17th centuries. In September 2014, a joint Poland, Lithuanian, Ukrainian military brigade finally became operative.

Meanwhile, US/Israel will continue to use Turkey as a bulwark against Russian ambitions in the Eastern Mediterranean. However, with one of Europe’s most powerful militaries, Turkey is also a rising power. While continuing to rely on Turkey in the destruction of Syria, the United States and Israel are also attempting to get control of the Kurdish PYG forces in Syria.

Sputnik’s geopolitical analyst Andrew Korybko writes:

The position of the US is in this conflict is Machiavellian to the max. It supports the Turks as they battle the PKK, but it’s also giving aid to the Syrian-based PYG Kurdish militia and the Kurdish Regional Government in Iraq, knowing full well that the training and weapons it provides will likely be funneled to their affiliated PKK partners in fighting Turkey. This circular logic isn’t incidental, as it’s all part of a larger plan by the US. One the one hand, it wants to see how far along Turkey can go in invading Syria, and when/if it hits a wall (be it with the Syrian Arab Army and/or the Kurds), it could then reverse its support for Ankara (ergo the semi-critical talk about a “proportionate response” in attacking the PKK) and try to turn all the Kurdish groups against it in order to begin the formal dismemberment of the Mideast and give birth to the ‘geopolitical Israel’ of Kurdistan.

While President Barzani of Iraqi Kurdistan has been a loyal servant of the United States and Israel, recent attacks by Israel’s Secret Intelligence Service, ISIS, against Erbil may force that leader to seek closer ties to Russia. Israel is now attempting to pull Kurdish fighters in alliance with the Syrian Arab Army into the Islamic State.

The recent ‘popular uprisings‘ of Kurdish separatists in Mahabad, Iran, is most likely the handiwork of US/Israeli regime changers and it could have serious implications for security of Iran, Turkey and Syria.

The long-term objectives of the US/Israel is to establish a Kurdish puppet state of Greater Israel, piping its oil from Mosul to Haifa in Israel.

Erdogan, by waging war on Syria, is playing into Israel’s hands, unwittingly sabotaging his country’s reemergence as a world power as Turkey risks losing vast territories to a Zionist Kurdistan state.

Meanwhile, the US has for a long time been encouraging Turkish Pan-Turanism to gain a foothold in Central Asia and Western China. (See note on “Pan-Turanism at the end of this article). It is hoped (by the US) that Turkey can be used to check Russian and Chinese influence in the Turkic speaking nations of Central Asia. Turkey can also be used to destabilise the North Caucasus by fomenting islamist terrorism while an Iran brought under US control can check Turkey’s ambitions in Central Asia. Similarly, India, which is still a US/Israeli client, can be used to keep Iran in check, provided the BRICS integration is sabotaged. However, this may prove difficult to achieve given recent moves by both countries to ‘ditch the dollar‘ in their oil transactions.

... The US intends to use Poland as its terrestrial power base in Eastern Europe to prevent Russian expansion. If both Poland and Turkey can be used to destroy Russia, then US foreign policy interests will involve getting Poland and Turkey to destroy themselves in a future war, where the US would back both sides. That is why Friedman has predicted that Poland and Turkey will be at war with each other this century, as Eastern European demography and geography begin to resemble the landscape of the 17th century. In contrast to Germany and other European nations, Poland’s borders are operating normally. There have been no illegal mass migrations into Poland.

Currently, NATO’s war in Ukraine is likely to extend southward towards Turkey, with Moldova, Transnistria, Macedonia and the Balkans being engulfed in ethnic violence. The destablisation of Macedonia has already begun and although a US sponsored colour revolution was defeated there last year, NATO’s plans for a ‘Greater Albania’, have not been abandoned. Islamist terrorists trained by the CIA in Afghanistan played an integral part in the destruction of Yugoslavia during the 1990s and provided the pretext for NATO’s ‘humanitarian’ bombing of Serbia in 1999.

Azerbaijan is also on NATO’s list for destabilization. The important oil-rich country has been moving closer to Russia and is facing conflict from both an Armenia moving closer to the United States who are also backing Karabakh independence and colour revolutionary activity inside Azerbaijan. The destabilization of Azerbaijan would have enormous consequences for the security of Russia and Iran. Northern Iran has an ethnic minority of 22 million Azeris. A colour revolution in Azerbaijan could bring ultra-nationalists to power, who are advocating an annexation of ‘Southern Azerbaijan’. Meanwhile tensions inside Iran between Kurds and Azeris are running high over the Iranian government’s attempts to create a new Kurdistan province that would include part of Iran’s Western Azerbaijan province.

Given the incessant media war currently being waged against Azerbaijan, a colour revolution attempt by NATO against that country is not unlikely.

This would mean that the entire region from the Baltic Sea to the Black Sea and from the Eastern Mediterranean to the Caspian Sea would be engulfed in internecine warfare. Furthermore, the constant influx of migrants towards Western Europe from these war zones will be managed by Zionist Coercive Engineered Migration with a view to maximizing ethnic and inter-religious tension in Europe, thereby reinforcing the ideology of the ‘war on terror’ and the ‘clash of civilisations’. Here again, the key to Fourth Generation Warfare is to use the consequences of imperialism to further imperialism. But one should not overlook the fact that Fourth Generation Warfare was invented by Chinese communists fighting Japanese fascism during the Second World War. If we are to have a future as peoples, nations, cultures, ethnicities, races, in short, as human beings, we must retrieve the concepts and vocabulary of human emancipation which have been callously usurped by tyrants to enslave us.

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