Hello,
On 02/12/16 23:39, TobyCWood wrote:
> Thanks for that early peek. I agree there's a number of professional use
> cases this device will meet that will make it worth the money. The first
> that comes to mind is the tech at the on site out in the field in
> connection with the expert back at the office. Or the nurse practitioner
> connected to the specialist MD.
Yes, those are common use cases being mentioned and asked about, but
these are quite a bit more complicated than simply displaying a few
overlays (that's the easy part, actually).
Both of these would likely profit more from a classic HUD (something
like the Google Glass) type device than a full blown AR - in most cases
the person in the field needs documentation, checklists, procedure to
follow to be displayed in a hands-free manner, not necessarily having
this information precisely registered in space - e.g. the nurse likely
knows *where* to push (<- type of info that spatially reg. overlay
conveys) when doing a CPR on a patient, but may need information about
their medical history while doing so.
Going for a full blown AR would be likely a gimmicky overkill that would
complicate things a lot for little gain - the system still needs to know
the "shape" and localization of the environment and then the overlays
have to be pre-placed by someone there for the field person to find
them. A repair tech could have that pre-prepared, because e.g. the
electrical cabinets he works on are all the same. But nurse? Every human
and apartment is different and she likely wouldn't have time to map the
space first so that the overlays stay put afterwards.
Also these assume that there is a live high speed connection available -
which may not be. In many places you could only use a mobile phone
network and outside of cities the 3G penetration is still very poor. May
not be an issue for the maintenance tech because it could be required to
install a broadband internet/wifi on premises in some cases, but the
nurse will certainly have to go to places where the connectivity is poor
or simply unavailable.
> Also, the CAD design use case could
> easily make tedious and time consuming prototyping with 3D Printing
That's mostly a wet dream of the companies selling these systems, but
there is a reason why 3D printing and prototyping is still used, despite
computer visualization, be it in 2D,3D, on a computer screen, projector,
stereoscopic, in a CAVE or VR HMD, being available since a long time.
Hololens or AR in general don't really bring anything new that couldn't
have been done before to the table.
The main reason is that simply 3D visualization does never convey all
the information a physical piece does. If you need to fit several
complex parts together, you may want to prototype them, simply to make
sure that the tolerances required are sufficient. The 3D model is
perfect and will always fit together. The actual manufactured part may
not. Also humans are very "tactile" creatures, we need to feel the part
in our hands, an abstract visualization doesn't convey the same thing.
Car manufacturers are still building the clay models of their cars
during the design stages, because it is so easy and quick to work on
them (just use a chisel!) and to communicate the result to the
non-technical (marketing, management, etc.) people. Anyone can look at a
physical piece and understands it, with an HMD you would have to first
spend half of your (often precious) meeting time to explain how to use
the device and to troubleshoot issues.
Also many companies will 3D print prototypes to do preliminary testing
of the part as well, before committing to full production.
So I don't really believe that CAD will be a large market for these.
There isn't really need for that there.
Where the Hololens type AR could be genuinely useful are things like
factory floor maintenance (known environment, so can be prepared in
advance), complex assembly tasks (e.g. electrical distribution panel
wiring) and training in general. That's where the ability to do a
spatial registration and to show precisely localized overlays has real
advantages.
> unnecessary. Will everybody want one? Doubtful. Unless they can get the
> price down to around $300,
That's only concern for a retail/consumer market. If a manufacturer is
buying a $50-100k training system that will save them several millions
in lost production time every year, the $3-5k price for the HMD is not
really an issue.
E.g. the professional HMDs from the likes of Sensics and Rockwell
Collins were selling for $20-30k+/piece. With no tracking, of course.
Companies and universities that needed them were buying them, because
there hasn't been anything else with the same capability available.
Regards,
Jan