Spike <Aero....@mail.invalid> wrote:
> This same assertion has been made for some decades in the UK, it being
> used to impose the current scheme that we enjoy (or suffer) here. The UK
> Society's own data show that attempts to attract 'the young' have been a
> failure. That is to say that young people, some as young as 5 years,
> have passed the lowest grade of licence, but the figures in the
> membership graph show the merest blip at the lower age ranges.
But did you attract "the young" with new equipment and new modes, as was
the topic of this thread, or did you try to attract them to the same
old stuff that you enjoyed yourself?
> Initiatives such as the 'Fun Bus' have been mothballed, despite the
> money spent on promoting the young. Peak membership is in the >40s age
> range, and it is these that go on to keep AR going.This is from the
> Society's own surveys which show that in the UK, the 'average Amateur'
> is 60 years old, male, works HF CW, and builds things. *But* this has
> been the case for *at least* the last 25 years, and the 60-year-olds of
> that time have all but passed away - yet still AR survives despite the
> lack of 'youngsters'. This is because those that take up AR in their 30s
> and 40s stay with it. The 'we need youngsters' message might be true,
> but it doesn't mean that kids just out of nappies are the group that
> will 'save' AR, it's those that come to it later in life - as all the
> data shows.
Over here, in the late seventies, when I got my license as well, there
has been a firm repression of pirate stations on 27 MHz and 3M FM, and
amateur radio has been suggested to them as a legal alternative.
A novice license was introduced in 1976 and it resulted in a large
peak in the influx of new amateurs, then between 18 and maybe 60 in
age. So then there was a wide age distribution and a fast growing
number of HAMs. I got my license in 1978 when I was 18, although I
had never been a pirate and became interested from a general interest
in electronics. About 1000 new licensees entered each year back then,
over a population of 13 million or so.
This continued into the eighties and then began to taper off, both
because of the finite population that would be interested in it and
because a legal mode of operation on 27 MHz was introduced in 1980.
Those that entered at a young age may have left the hobby partly to
re-enter now. But at this moment there is barely any new entry at ages
around 18 and not very much at middle ages. Most of the new entries
are novice licensees, that in the meantime have gotten more and more
privileges. (in 1976 they could only operate in FM on 6 channels in the
2m band, which was soon upgraded to half of the 2m band, 70cm was added,
and later several HF segments were added so that now most novices see
no reason to ever get a full license and only whine about getting even
more bands in the novice license)
While I agree that we should not focus on getting many "young" people
(like 12-year olds) into a hobby that is mainly enjoyed by pensioners,
there has to be more influx if we want to keep this thing going. The
re-entry as we see it now will some time stop, when the group that has
entered in the 70's and 80's have all become pensioners and the fraction
of it still interested has re-entered. There will be no such effect
anymore, then (at least not noticable).
Another problem is that the HF bands slowly become unusable due to
a number of different effects:
- now that receiving TV at home with an own antenna is becoming rare,
so have become "antenna forests". the HAM with an elaborate antenna
park is becoming noticed and gets in trouble getting permits for it.
this is a problem when you want to set up a HF beam, or a large VHF/UHF
antenna that was no problem 30 years ago.
- introduction of new digital consumer devices that output interference
especially in lower bands have raised the noise level.
- the demise of the long, medium and shortwave for radio transmission
to the public has also meant the end of the "protection" against such
interference.
Besides, the availability of the internet and mobile phones has cut
away most of the exclusiveness of our hobby. 30 years ago, one could
still impress the visitor by talking to a far country or operating a
2m handheld to talk to a fried 30km away via a repeater, but today
the youngsters ask "why don't you use Skype?".
This means that those that are mainly interested in communicating and
DX'ing are more harder to get interested, and what remains are those
who are interested in the raw technical aspects. But they have, at
least here, been a minority for a long time already.
(namely, since the large influx of ex-pirates in the 70's and 80's)
With only technically interested radio amateurs and no "communicators"
you probably have less than 10% left of the community as it is now.
And when looking at the band usage, the loss will be even more.
I think THAT is a reason why this Austrian/German group is trying to
develop new technology equipment that will do things that the youngsters
of today are accustomed to, instead of trying to get them interested
in oldfashioned radio that they have never grown up with.