On Tue, 22 Apr 2014 09:01:09 -0700 (PDT), John Bode
<
jfbod...@gmail.com> wrote:
>On Monday, April 21, 2014 6:53:07 PM UTC-5, Kalkidas wrote:
>> On Mon, 21 Apr 2014 15:04:58 -0700 (PDT), John Bode
>> <
jfbod...@gmail.com> wrote:
>>
>
>[snip]
>
>> >
>> >It's like the old saying, you don't have to be a good actor to recognize
>> >a bad one. You don't need to point out the strengths of evolutionary theory
>> >to identify the weaknesses in ID, the most glaring one being that there is no
>> >general theory of biological design.
>>
>> There is no general theory of evolution either.
>
>There most certainly is. You may not want to believe it, but that doesn't
>mean it doesn't exist.
>
>Random variation (through genetic mutation, recombination, and epigenetic
>changes) coupled with various *non-random* forms of selection, lead to
>changes in the distribution of inherited traits within a population.
>
>That's it in a (grossly simplistic) nutshell.
No, that's not it. If it were, no one would be disputing it. You're
simply using the old Eugenie Scott bait-and-switch of presenting an
idea so general that it has no application to any specific instance
and calling it "the theory". Then you're going to bring in through
the back door ideas so wild that they cannot possibly be deduced from
the innocuous definition you've given. But no one can dispute them
because the definition is so general that there is no way to use it to
evaluate any specific instance.
It's like saying that the "theory of gravity" is that objects tend to
attract one another. So if an electron and a proton are attracting one
another, it must be due to gravity!
>Changes plus time plus separation (geographic, behavioral, physical) lead
>to genetically distinct daughter populations, which are eventually distinct
>enough from their parent population and each other to be labeled separate
>species.
>
>> That is why it is never cited as an example of a "real" theory
>> by those who want to claim ID is not.
>
>Even ID proponents admit that ID is not a theory.
>
>> Real theories have mathematical models which can make
>> predictions which can be be tested against experimental results.
>
>Evolutionary biology currently uses a number of mathematical models
>to make and test predictions, from the Hardy-Weinberg equilibrium model
>to statistical models to game theory. Google Scholar returns several
>hundred thousand hits on "mathematical models evolutionary biology".
A real theory will have one mathematical model (or several models
which can be *proved* to be mathematically equivalent) which
uniformly applies to all the phenomena the theory accounts for. If
there are multiple non-equivalent models, what you have is only a
hoped-for theory, in blatant violation of Occam's Razor.
ToE has no such mathematical model.
>> entirely leaves out the wild claims of Darwinists about the origin of
>> species.
>>
>> >
>> >Biologists can explain how antibiotic resistance develops in a bacterial
>> >population (using evolutionary theory); ID proponents can't, because ID
>> >provides them with no explanatory power. Biologists can come up with
>> >strategies to mitigate the effects of antibiotic-resistent bacteria (still
>> >using evolutionary theory); ID proponents can't, because ID provides them
>> >with no predictive power.
>>
>> AFAIK ID proponents explain bacterial resistance the same way, by
>> evolution. I know of no ID theorist who claims ID is responsible for
>> microevolutionary changes like the development of antibiotic
>> resistance.
>
>So evolutionary theory *is* a valid and useful theory according to ID
>proponents.
Sure, populations of bacteria undergo natural selection and genetic
change over time, and have NEVER been observed to change into anything
other than bacteria.
If you had given the non-dumbed-down definition of ToE, you would be
in trouble with bacteria, what to speak of more complicated organisms.
>Good to know.
Oh right, like it's the first time you've ever heard that ID
proponents accept microevolution.
>> >If ID proponents want to be taken seriously by the scientific community,
>> >they need to come up with *actual theories* that can be tested.
>>
>> No they don't. The proof is that ToE is taken seriously by the
>> scientific community, but it hasn't come up with an actual theory that
>> can be tested.
>>
>
>It is tested *every time* somebody finds a new fossil. It is tested *every
>time* a new genome is sequenced. It is tested *every time* a new living
>species is discovered.
LOL! The only thing that is tested in those circumstances is the
ability of your dumbed-down definition to accomodate a new just-so
story.
Significantly lacking is any prediction about the future evolution of
presently existing organisms. If you have a real theory, with a real
mathematical model, then how many genetic changes will the human
genome undergo in the next 100 generations, or the next 10000 years?
How many changes had to occur to turn a homo Erectus into a homo
Sapiens?
But there is no real theory of evolution. Those questions will never
be answered, because the "theory" is only a bluff.
>
>Evolutionary theory could be falsified by demonstrating any one of the
>following:
>
> - That populations of living things do not change over time;
translation: that someone finally looks closely at the fake ToE and
realizes that populations do not change *very much*, no matter how
much time thay have. Thus the wild claims of ToE about fish being the
ancestors of land animals, etc, etc, etc...are seen to be what they
are, fantasies.
> - That there is no differential reproductive success;
translation: if the (real, not fake like ToE) theory of genetics is
refuted
> - That there is no correlation between genes and fitness;
translation: if pigs fly.
>etc., etc., etc. There are plenty of tests against which evolutionary
>theory can be evaluated and found wanting; that it hasn't yet would
>imply that it's a sound theory.
A real theory can be tested. ToE is not real, has no mathematical
model, and thus cannot be tested.
>But this ignores the more fundamental fallacy in your argument; even if
>evolutionary theory were shown to be invalid, that doesn't automatically
>mean ID is valid. ID stands or falls on its own merits, not on the merits
>of its competitors.
You're confusing me with someone who made that argument. I didn't.
>It's like arguing that if leprechauns aren't real, then that automatically
>means pixies *are* real. That's not how it works; you have to provide evidence
>*for* pixies, not just *against* leprechauns.
>
>>
>> >ID will not,
>> >*can not* replace evolutionary theory until it can explain everything that
>> >evolutionary theory explains, along with anything that evolutionary theory
>> >*can't* explain.
>>
>> >Until then, it's nothing more than what Paul Nelson calls it - a "grab bag"
>> >of random arguments.
>>
>> Exactly like ToE.
>
>There is a central unifying prinicple (random variation + non-random
>selection), around which everything else is built.
No. The central unifying principle is, life comes from life.