On 10/22/2016 7:16 AM, solar penguin wrote:
> On Saturday, 22 October 2016 12:25:02 UTC+1, Ron O wrote:
>
>> On 10/22/2016 2:30 AM, solar penguin wrote:
>
>>>
>>> Yeah, I guess that makes sense. Thanks guys.
>>>
>>> TBH I'll never by totally convinced by the idea that scientists can tell a
>>> gene's evolutionary history just by looking at it. (Reading a published
>>> novel doesn't tell you what the first draft was like!) But this does seem
>>> to be one of those special exceptions where circumstances do allow
>>> scientists to get it right. So, yeah, thanks for explaining it.
>>>
>>
>> A book isn't a very good example, neither is computer code.
>
> OK, but you'll have to put up with the book metaphor for a little bit longer.
> Sorry. I'm afraid I'm one of those people who finds it easier to think in
> terms of metaphor and allusionrather than direct facts.
>
> And if I understand what you're saying below, the process works because if the
> genome is like a book, it's not a finished, published novel but an author's
> handwritten notebook where the story is still in the process of being written.
> There are lots of crossed out sections that we can still read, whole passages
> rewritten with changes, notes scribbled in the margins of earlier pages, etc.
>
> (And before any Creationists try taking this post out of context, I'm not
> suggesting the "author" is anything more than a useful metaphor!)
>
> Is this right? Is that what you're saying lets the scientists reconstruct the
> history of the earliest drafts? (If so, you could've said so, instead of
> making me waste my time struggling through all the scientific technobabble!)
It is just something that you will have to deal with. A book metaphor
is bad and doesn't match up much with what happens with the evolution of
biological genetic material. This is just fact. You are just going to
have to deal with what is.
The closest thing like biological evolution among books is when they
were hand written before printing presses. The books were copied by
scribes, my guess is that some of them didn't even understand the
languages that they were copying. Mistakes were made in copying. If
they weren't so bad that anyone copying them would not correct them they
got passed the next scribe and this scribe added his own errors. The
errors would build into a lineage and you had a good date for when some
of the books in the lineage were copied you could put other "copies"
into this lineage by what errors they contained and when these errors
occurred. In effect you know what copies came from what previous copies.
For a really popular book you will get branching lineages of errors.
Some people get to copy the original, but others are stuck copying the
5th or 6th generation. The original might be lost and what you get
stuck with are copies of copies, but if you have enough extant copies
you can put the errors into a phylogeny and determine that one extant
book came from a certain fifth generation copy that is shared by another
extant book, but that had it's own copy history and may have contained
some other errors but that also contained all the errors in the same
fifth generation copy. There may have been hundreds of fifth generation
copies, but those two extant books would be determined to share the same
fifth generation ancestor due to the unique errors that some scribe put
into it and it would also have all the errors of the previous generation.
To make it simple say we just took the first 10 pages of the book. One
scribe copies the original book and makes an error on page 1. Another
scribe copies the same original but makes an error on page 2 and 3.
Another scribe gets copy one and makes an error on page 4 (1,4), and
someone copies copy 2 and makes an error on page 5 (2, 3, 5). The
second copy for copy 1 gets an error on page 10 (1, 4, 10). The second
lineage adds an error on page 6 for that generation (2, 3, 5, 6). In
biology we only have the extant lineages (latest copies), but in this
example you have all the copies and you know the order that they were
created. You can compare them all and recreate the original and fix all
the errors, and you can determine without knowing the order before hand
that copy 1 for one lineage had the error on page one, the error on page
4 came next and the last error was on page 10. The lineage was (1), (1,
4), (1, 4, 10). You just make the determination by the minimum number
of changes you have to make to create that order. You can do the same
thing for the second lineage from the original. (2, 3), (2, 3, 5), (2,
3, 5, 6).
Taking all the copies and looking at the errors you know that you are
dealing with 2 separate lineages of copy errors.
(1), (1, 4), (1, 4, 10)
and
(2, 3), (2, 3, 5), (2, 3, 5, 6)
Two different scribes copy a third generation book and create their own
errors and the lineage splits into two from (1, 4, 10)
(1, 4, 7, 10)
and
(1, 4, 8, 10)
more errors in newer copies and the lineage gets extended
(1, 4, 5b, 7, 10)
and
(1, 4, 8, 9, 10)
b. not the same error on page 5 as lineage (2, 3, 5, 6).
You know how books are copied by hand and you know that they copy a
previously existing copy, so even if you are missing some of the
intermediates you still know what lineage the copies most likely belong
to and when they split off.
So say that these two lineages are well established because the third
generation copies have been copied multiple times and we have hundreds
of examples where the two lineages are confirmed.
You find find a book where the first three pages have been swapped out.
(1, 4, 8, 9, 10) and (2, 3, 5, 6)
(2, 3, 4, 8, 9, 10). So you have a chimeria of two well established
lineages and it seems that some scribe had a copy of lineage 1, but it
was missing the first 3 pages so he obtained a copy of lineage 2 and put
in the missing pages.
When we see horizontal transfer from bacteria we are not just talking
about a couple errors on a few pages. We are talking about genes
thousands of base-pairs long that may have less than 30% sequence
similarity to anything in the recipient showing up where they shouldn't
be when we know that they are found in bacteria. It isn't guessing. If
you have the actual bacteria that the DNA came from it isn't even
questionable where the sequence came from.
Ron Okimoto