news:i_Gdnd4Js_wgqLHO...@supernews.com...
What I said elsewhere. I was just commenting on that error
of yours about fire there.
>> Trouble with all these aircraft failure claims is that it doesn’t
>> explain why the plane didn’t show up on the primary radar
>> as it passed back over Malaysia and Indonesia as it headed
>> to the Indian Ocean.
>
> It did show up on radar.
Not when passing over Malaysia and Indonesia.
> Thailand also picked it up heading to that last point in which it was seen
> (in which it either turned north or south according to the satellite).
That was at the time the transponder went off.
>> Pilot suicide would explain that if he chose to fly under
>> the primary radar until he got past Indonesia and then
>> went up to normal cruising height again so he had the
>> range to fly on for hours more as we know the plane
>> did from the satellite pings that lasted that long.
>>
>> Much harder to explain why he bothered with such a
>> complicated way to suicide tho when he could have
>> just flown it into the water in the Gulf of Tonkin instead.
> Suicide is taboo in that culture.
Wrong, most obviously with suicide bombers.
> Previous planes that crashed due to pilot suicide were investigated
> because they had wreckage and could determine the cause.
What I said elsewhere. It pays to read the
entire post before replying to bits of it.
> Both Egyptair and Silkair pilot suicides led to an uproar from both
> countries and a lot of denial let alone what the families had to go
> through. He did it to avoid that.
As I said, I bet he did it so his family would continue
to be paid by Malaysian Airlines when it could not be
proven that he suicided and they would not have the
shame of that to have to wear.
> That IS a very strong motivation and not unusual.
The other is much stronger and even more common,
particularly with those who deliberately take out
insurance with no way of proving it was suicide
so the insurance has to pay out.
>>> Swissair lasted less than an hour. The Nigerian plane was consumed in
>>> TEN MINUTES.
>> Sure, but a better design aircraft wouldn’t necessarily have
>> had a fire that was as bad as that and it actually went out
>> once the fuel had gone, but killed the pilots anyway.
> Then you're back to the course changes.
Yes, that was just a comment on your fire claims.
> But any fire bad enough to pop those circuits is bad enough to take down a
> plane.
Wrong if it goes out once the fuel is consumed.
> Doesn't matter how a plane is designed. Fire is fire.
It matters a hell of a lot on the question of whether
the fire keeps burning until the plane goes down.
>> Bit implausible tho given the oxygen they have.
>> Guess its possible that just one of the pilots was in the cockpit,
>> was so involved in handling the fire that he wasn’t able to let
>> the other pilot who had left the cockpit to see what was
>> happening in the rest of the plane fire wise, back into the
>> cockpit and managed to be overcome by the fumes before
>> he could use the oxygen to save his life and it all went
>> downhill from there with only one dead pilot in the cockpit.
> Like I said, suicide is far more plausible.
What I said myself.
> This is grasping at straws.
Nope, just pointing out that your claim that fire is
guaranteed to bring down the plane is just plain wrong.
> Given the evidence, fire does not fit.
What I said.
>>> Not only that, the Malaysian plane made at least three course changes
>>> and made no erratic course changes that would indicate a serious problem
>>> on board.
>> What the Thai military primary radar
>> shows conflicts with that last claim.
> No.
Yep.
> Thai radar tracked the plane turning around and crossing the Malay
> Peninsula and entering the Strait just over Butterworth, Malaysia.
That shows that there was NOT a serious problem on board.
> That jives with the Malaysian radar found.
Malaysian primary radar did not track it passing over Malaysia.
> The more important point here is that Thailand was willing to share its
> radar data, so had the plane gone anywhere near Thailand, we would know.
I was just commenting on your claim that the primary radar
showed a serious problem on board. It did nothing of the sort.
>>> The Swissair lost its comms LONG after the fire was discovered and only
>>> minutes before the crash.
>> Sure, but not all fires happen the same way.
> The article had insinuated that it happened earlier.
So clearly not all fires happen the same way so what happened
with Swissair is irrelevant to what happened with this plane.
>>> Any fire would also require the fuel be dumped if they were looking to
>>> land. You can't land a fully fueled aircraft safely.
>> It wouldn’t be fully fuelled by the time it got back to Malaysia.
> It had expended "some" fuel but not nearly enough to safely get it back on
> the ground.
Bullshit.
> In a fire scenario, dumping the fuel is essential.
Not if the fire was out at the time of landing because
what the fire was burning had been consumed because
the plane was better designed and didn’t have anything
like as much available to burn as Swissair.
>>> That's what took out Swissair. It had turned away from the approach
>>> into Hfx airport because it had to dump fuel. It crashed while
>>> performing this as the fire intensified in the cockpit. The Malaysian
>>> plane flew for 5 hours+ so it still had it's full complement of fuel.
>> But wouldn’t have had by the time it was back in Malaysia.
> Yes, it would have.
Wrong.
> It had only just gotten to cruising altitude when the transponder had gone
> out.
But still had to get back to Malaysia.
> But as I said, if fire is suspected,
You know if there is a fire or not.
> they don't want to land a heavy plane full of fuel.
You don’t want to fly around for hours consuming fuel if the
fire is still burning and may end up bringing down the plane.
>>> There were airports closer than the island runway the author of that
>>> piece was pointing to and KL was also closer. The other two runways
>>> were on the coast and the plane had plenty of opportunity to avail of
>>> them but made no attempt to descend.
>>
>> But was not seen in the primary radar passing
>> over Malaysia or Indonesia, so it must have done.
> Again. It was seen crossing over Malaysia.
Wrong.
> It wasn't seen by Indonesia as it flew to PURPOSELY avoid Indonesia.
> Crossing Indonesia would have resulted in a military response.
Bullshit.
>>> The timing of the sign-off and first course change is also an
>>> indication of no fire. The pilot on the link obviously reported no
>>> problems, cut the transponder
>> You don’t know that he did cut the transponder, just that it stopped
>> working.
> And you don't know that he didn't.
You made that claim.
You get to show that that is the only possibility.
That’s how it works.
> The knob is at his fingertips. No problem to switch it off....again,
> consistent with pilot suicide.
But can have been due to a fire.
> Not consistent with a fire as any fire bad enough to take out comms, ACARS
> and transponder would have taken out the plane easily.
Bullshit.
> Oh...but wait...those particular three systems failing would be exactly
> what would happen in the case of....wait for it...pilot suicide.
Can have happened with an electrical fire too.
>>> and turned the aircraft. Sorry, but discovering a fire and determining
>>> the threat and making the decision to find a particular airport would
>>> take much longer.
>> Deciding to turn back to Malaysia doesn’t.
>> He could have done that and left the decision on
>> where to go in Malaysia till later and then ended
>> up dead before he got to decide that, due to the
>> fire, and then the fire went out and the plane
>> carried on regardless on autopilot.
> Not only did it happen far too quickly, the turn was PROGRAMMED into ACARS
> before.....
You don’t program ACARS.
> okay, reading closely? The was programmed into the system BEFORE the last
> transmission.
Wrong.
> Sorry, no fire.
You don’t know that.
> That was done by a pilot.
You don’t know that.
>>> Any fire bad enough to pop the circuits for the transponder and ACARS
>>> would have taken out many more systems as well
>> You don’t know that. It clearly didn’t take out the satellite comms
>> that continued to respond to pings from the satellite for hours.
>>> yet the plane flew for no problem for hours, including course changes.
>> But never showed up on the primary radar
>> as it passed over Malaysia and Indonesia.
> Again. Yes, it did.
No it did not.
> (Don't know your fixation with "primary" radar.
Because secondary radar didn’t show it because the transponder was off.
> It showed up on radar just as a plane without a transponder would show on
> a radar - as a blip.
That's what primary radar means.
> The Malaysians AND the Thai picked it up.
No the Malaysians did not.
>>> That indicates knowledgeable pilot and working aircraft.
>> Not necessarily.
> Yes. It does.
No it does not.
>>> Pilot suicide fits all the parameters.
>> But doesn’t explain why he bothered to head to the southern Indian Ocean.
> Do I need to repeat myself??
You do anyway.
>>> The transponder was turned off at precisely the time when it would not
>>> arise suspicion immediately - after leaving Malaysian control and
>>> before being picked up by Vietnamese controllers.
>> Sure. But if you are going to suicide, why bother ?
> Do I need to repeat myself???
You do anyway.
>> Just to make it hard to find the plane so the family can
>> claim on your insurance because no one can prove suicide ?
> Yes! In the mind of a suicidal man anything is possible.
Even sillier.
> This proves a lot of planning.
Nope, very little planning require to turn off what keeps
track of the plane and to head to the southern Indian Ocean
where will be very difficult to find any wreckage, particularly
if you can still fly the plane to minimise the chance of it
breaking up as it enters the water and scatters all sorts
of debris for someone passing thru that area to find.
> Maybe the airline did something to him?
Unlikely that no one has pointed that out now.
> Maybe it was a political protest
Unlikely that he wouldn’t make it clear that that is what
he was doing. Its pointless if that isnt done because no
one will be sure that it hadn't vanished due to aircraft failure.
He clearly didn’t expect that the satellite pings would make
it clear that he had headed to the southern Indian Ocean.
> (now covered up by the Malaysian government)??
Not possible to cover something like that up.
> Maybe it was to direct a lot of world attention on Malaysia after what
> happened to his friend????
There is no public attention directed if
no one is sure that its deliberate suicide.
> Maybe he wanted to make sure his family would not have to suffer the shame
> of his murder/suicide AND get a few dollars??????
What I said.
>>> Any experienced pilot can pop the breaker for the ACARS from the
>>> cockpit and just switch off the transponder. He could have easily
>>> incapacitated the other pilot. All he has to do is get up to go to the
>>> bathroom, grab the fire extinguisher and wham.
>>
>> Or just wait till he leaves the cockpit for a piss or
>> a shit and not let him back into the cockpit again.
> Irrelevant either way.
Nope, it shows how that could be done.
> The point is it's not a problem to take over the cockpit.
It is if the other pilot never leaves it.
>>> You're all alone in the cockpit and have several ways you could
>>> incapacitate the passengers if necessary (the climb to 45,000 feet
>>> indicates this was likely the reason for that).
>> Or the aircraft systems had failed and that why that happened.
> Then it would not have been capable of three precise turns....the first of
> which was PROGRAMMED into the aircraft PRIOR to the last communication.
You don’t know that last.
>> You can just turn the pressurisation off and they will all die,
>> no need to go to 45K feet and possibly attract attention to
>> yourself doing that.
> Not with yourself in the aircraft.
Wrong.
> At least, not when there are more comfortable alternatives.
Wrong.
> The cockpit shares the same cabin pressure.
Duh.
> He had other ways to bleed the oxygen out and the oxygen in the cabin for
> passengers only lasts 12 minutes on average.
So no need to go to 45K feet and possibly attract attention
to yourself doing that.
>>> Given that suicide is taboo in that region of the world
>> That is just plain wrong, most obviously with suicide bombing.
> Yes. Suicide bombings are also taboo to MAINSTREAM society there.
> Extremism doesn't apply here.
By definition suicide by a pilot with a plane full of passengers is
just a tad extreme. We only know of a couple of other examples.
>>> and given that previous pilot suicides were discovered because the
>>> wreckage was available, the pilot chose a spot where it would be near
>>> impossible to find the wreck given the absence of radar and satellite
>>> control over the area.
>> He went a hell of a lot further south in the
>> Indian Ocean than he needed to do for that.
> He went to the extent of the aircraft's range so that no fuel would be
> spotted in the ocean by accident.
Even sillier.
>> That would however explain why he didn’t show up
>> on the primary radar over Malaysia or Indonesia.
>>> He likely didn't realize the engine diagnostic service would shake
>>> hands with the comm satellite despite the fact that Malaysia Air
>>> didn't subscribe to the service. That fact alone is what is enabling
>>> them to narrow down the area to search.
>> Sure.
>>> Flying that long also means the CVR would no longer contain any
>>> information about the first couple of hours of the flight as most only
>>> record the last 30-120 minutes before a crash.
>>> The evidence available now clearly only supports this as the reason
>>> behind the disappearance of the aircraft.
>> You're overstating that with a fire that didn’t last long.
>> But that doesn’t explain why it wasn’t seen on the primary
>> radar over Malaysia and Indonesia and suicide does.
> Again, it was seen on radar.
Again, it wasn’t.
>>> The possible wreckage found off Australia indicates the aircraft would
>>> have been flown as far south as it was capable where the Roaring 40s
>>> would have quickly taken care of wreckage
>> The wreckage isnt in the Roaring 40s and the area
>> is in fact a considerable rubbish dump of debris.
> Call it what you want...the area has a very strong west to east current.
The Roaring 40s aint about current, its about the wind.
Currents don’t roar in the body of the ocean.
>>> (as without the satellite ping, no one would have been looking there as
>>> they are now).
>> True. That is the main evidence of suicide, that
>> the plane didn’t show up on the primary radar
>> over Malaysia and Indonesia as it headed into
>> the Indian Ocean. Bit hard to explain why he
>> bothered to head so far south, into the area
>> where there is more chance of overflying a
>> ship moving between Africa and Australia.
> A ship wouldn't notice a plane several thousand metres above it.
Bullshit.
> Have you ever been on a ship?
Yep.
> They're noisy.
Bullshit when you are on deck.
> Even if they noticed it, it's a plane. So what?
So someone who routinely sails there and who
has never seen any con trails going NS there before
is likely to remember something that unusual if he
sees that. And they don’t hear the plane, they see
the contrails. I see them all the time when out
of the house, because we are under one of the
main routes.