On Fri, 19 Aug Mr. B1ack wrote:
>On Fri, 19 Aug Governor Swill wrote:
> We may be seeing the same thing, but through a
> different glass.
>
> *I* see well-refined classic Machiavellian technique - creating
> an illusion of how things work, why they work that way and
> what's really important that shields the self-enriching
> machinations of the politicians and their patrons from the
> eyes of The People. With the help of the big news media
> they can create an alternate universe to keep The People
> engaged ... and their energies misdirected.
I see that with the present form of government. It's something the US
perfected after the first world war when it became apparent that we
had no choice but to deal with other great powers and that they
functioned at levels of "Machiavellian" sophistication unknown to our
more provincial ways of thinking. That is, in order to win the game,
we had to learn their rules. Before WWII had started, we were well on
our way and by the end of the war, had achieved a mastery of
Machiavellian techniques that have left us the undisputed military,
economic, social and perhaps more importantly, cultural power on the
planet.
> Hmm ... I'll give you one prominent example, when the illusion
> was accidently revealed. It was the 'Iran/Contra' affair. If you
> remember, Iran was THE ENEMY, horrible dangerous
> barbarians seeking to destroy all civilization in the name of
> Allah and the Ayatollah. Iran was more hated than the USSR,
> more acutely feared than the USSR. NAZIs in turbans
> chanting "Death To America !" en-masse and funding all
> sorts of terrorist orgs. Iranians hated US too. This was
> the official reality.
Another official reality is that it was Carter who negotiated the
hostage release. But so incensed was the revolutionary government
over our refusing to give them the Shah, that they refused to send the
hostages back until after Reagan had been sworn in. This fits rather
neatly with your following paragraph.
> But ... in the universe of realpolitik Iran was just another
> country. North/Reagan had no problem doing business
> with them and they had no problem doing business with
> us either. Both countries conspired to disguise our aid
> to the Contra rebels - cash was exchanged, arms were
> shipped - Ronnie and Khomeni may as well have been
> old bar buddies. This was ACTUAL reality ... the crap on
> the 6-o-clock news was a propagandists universe designed
> to engage and mislead Joe Citizen (and his counterparts
> in Iran too) for a variety of useful political/financial ends.
Joe needs somebody to hate, some enemy, some convenient other to blame
things on. This is why there is so much opposition to dealing with
Iran from the far right. Obama has effectively removed a nation from
Joe's "hate" column and moved them to the "maybe not so bad" list. Who
is Joe supposed to hate now?
Machiavellian: The Cold War was about more than defeating communism,
it was about keeping war from breaking out. So, in the early
seventies when the USSR was nearing the starvation point, Nixon used
taxpayer dollars to feed our "enemy". He paid top federal dollar for
as much grain as he could which drove up the cost of food in the US.
He then sold that grain at a loss to the Soviets to make sure they
didn't starve. Not to keep an enemy alive, but to keep hungry mobs
from destabilizing a powerful nuclear state.
I don't have any problem with dealing with Iran openly. We've been
making common cause with them since they first began to work quietly
with us following 9/11. Becoming more open about it puts Sunnis on
notice that our issue isn't Islam, it's terror attacks and we will
have our security even if it means upending their agenda.
>>Perhaps you forgot what "Machiavellian" meant as soon as you typed it?
>>Machiavellian thinking requires vast subtlety and a not inconsiderable
>>amount of what we used to call "reverse psychology". It requires, as
>>Frank Herbert noted, "plans within plans".
>
> I think you're overstating the difficulty. Even piss-ant dictators
> can play Machiavellis games quite well.
Within their orbit, yes. But nobody is better at it than we are and
Trump would destroy that. Americans are very good at slipping
advantages into treaties, at fooling the enemy, at insisting on a
thing we don't want in order to get something we do. A sort of Trojan
Horse style of negotiation.
> It even works in
> 'compartmentalized' large govts where not everybody is in
> on the schemes.
It often works better there because so much is done on the QT. No
nation wants its people to understand everything being negotiated or
how those negotiations are being conducted. Such things come under
the heading of State Secrets and are why there's been so much concern
over classified info on Hillary's email server. Transparency in
government is suicide. Part of that is the need to do things without
people finding out so they don't mess up the plan.
And no matter where you stand in politics, our leaders have always
worked for the nation as a whole. Continuity is, and always has been,
our friend. Again, this is something Trump would deeply disrupt or
face the wrath of voters realizing he's no different from any of the
others.
>>Trump is about as subtle as a bulldozer and as deep as a plastic
>>kiddie pool. These traits explain his many business failures and his
>>inability to beat Hillary Clinton.
>
> Trump definitely is not "subtle" ... I've said elsewhere that
> he reminds me of Jessie Ventura in that respect - he's
> practically un-edited, stream-of-thought, and has never
> learned the definition of the word 'tact'.
>
> Which means he's WYSIWYG .... he's not a phony, not
> willing, perhaps not able, to pull the wool over anyones
> eyes.
All the more reason to keep him away from our international relations.
You can't win at poker if your opponents can see your cards. There
are reasons States are not fully transparent. Look, we can't change
the whole game just because Joe wants to know what's *really* going
on.
> In november we'll be asked whether we can tolerate
> his truth - or prefer the tricker, the deceiver, the criminal,
> instead because we prefer a comforting lie.
I prefer the deceiver because at the end of the day, it's our enemies
she'll be working hardest to deceive.
> Assuming HRC lasts until november ... she's dragging
> more weight than Dickens 'Jacob Marley' .............
Believe what you need to believe if it comforts you.
Another example of why Trump's general campaign is going to fail is
his far too late and counter productive appeal to blacks. Delivered
before an all white crowd in an almost all white community, he starts
out insulting African Americans by telling them they've let themselves
be played by Democrats all these years. No policy initiatives, no
hint of understanding of the black experience, no ideas for what might
be done, no empathy, just the implication that they've been duped by
the white man capped with the desperate plea, "what have you got to
lose?"
http://editorialcartoonists.com/cartoon/display.cfm/153555/
I mean, didn't anybody on Trump's team see how much that language
would offend African Americans? Of course not, because there aren't
any African Americans on Trump's team and that tells the *real* truth
about Trump.
>>> There's realpolitik ... the way things REALLY are, how things
>>> are REALLY run ... and then there's the watered-down bullshit
>>> Joe Citizen hears about on the news, the illusion intended to
>>> lead the citizens away from finding out how it REALLY is.
>>
>>And Trump is part of that. He doesn't "tell it like it is", he tells
>>it like his voters want to think it is because they can't bring
>>themselves to admit their own culpability for their situation.
>
> Um ..... ya know .... I don't think he strays too far from
> the way it is.
I do. His grasp on reality is tenuous at best. Priebus's 2012
autopsy led to a decision to proactively address the issues of black,
Hispanic and women voters and reach out to them with policy. Trump
has thrown all that away with both hands. He thinks he's going to get
black votes because he has "an African American" at his rallies. He
thinks he's going to get Hispanic votes because "Hispanics love me"
and lets don't even get started on how much and in how many ways he's
offended women.
But his biggest sin has been the hiring of almost exclusively white
male staff. Conway, hired just days ago, is the first woman to be
hired for a position of any consequence, certainly for a position that
would be in regular contact with Trump.
>What he's saying resonates strongly and
> that's because it's mostly TRUE.
No, it isn't. It resonates with white males because they need to
believe it's true. They need to believe their problems are somebody
else's fault. They need to believe a flood of below minimum wage
lettuce pickers is why they can't get a $60k a year job with full
health care and benefits. They need to believe that the Toyota in the
driveway, the Malaysian built TV in the living room, shirts from
Honduras and Bangladesh in their closets, the Taiwanese made computer
on the desk and Chinese made smartphone in their pocket are things the
federal government forced them to buy through manipulative policies.
And they need to believe that somehow, Trump is going to make sure
their next car, TV, shirt, laptop and smartphone are all made in the
USA and the price won't go up a dime. That through the magic of
"telling it like it is" their taxes will be cut, federal spending will
keep increasing, economic growth will double and the debt will go away
all at the same time.
> Joe Citizen is NOT
> feeling what Obama characterizes as a robust ascending
> economy nor does Joe cotton to the further-lefts view of
> life, the universe and everything.
That's because the leftist view levels the playing field, the rightist
view reinforces historical white, male privilege. That's what's
really at stake here. Not the economy, not ISIS, not Iranian nukes or
unisex bathrooms, Joe is pissed off because his special privileges
have gone and they aren't coming back.
For decades white blue collar voters have been warned that voting
Republican on social issues was voting against their own economic
interests. They were warned that Republicans supported free trade and
wanted to tear down the unions. They were warned that the GOP was
resisting all efforts to reduce illegal immigration and that their
policies would drive jobs overseas. Over and over they were told by
Democrats and their union supporters than Republican political
priorities were working against Joe Street but Joe just kept on voting
Republican and against the unions who were there to protect his
interests and now those chickens have come home to roost.
> However Trump does *exaggerate* the relative importance
> and context of those gripes and dissatisfactions ... but then
> so does HRC and Bernie. That's "campaigning" ... Truth
> is slightly less important than *winning*.
There's plenty of truth to that. The trouble is, neither side, none
of the candidates have told the truth. They've only told the stories
they expect their base is most likely to respond to by voting.
If Joe knew the real reason his good paying, mindless, assembly line
jobs were gone, the next political movement would be a luddite one.
Terror attacks on cell towers, computer stores set on fire and telecom
switching station bombings would become a daily event.
>>I agree, and that's why Trump is going to fail. He hasn't a
>>Machiavellian bone in his body.
>
> No, he's NOT good at those sorts of games.
Which is what would make him a terrible President. If you can't run
with the big dogs, best stay under the porch.
> But then Truman wasn't much of a game-player
> either ... a more literate Trump in many personality
> aspects.
Literacy makes a difference. A bigger difference is that Truman,
while not a devious sort himself, understood it's value and continued
such persons in his employ. Trump has criticized every facet of
government from the military to the intel community and will replace
our highly competent bureaucracy with those willing to pay the most
for the jobs.
> Trumps big advantage right NOW is that Joe Public has
> become acutely aware of some of the games going on
> just behind the curtains and is PISSED OFF.
Joe Public is a minority. If the Dems had run anybody but Hillary,
the odds are very good their lead on Trump would be even bigger than
it is now. Sanders was heavily favorited by the public over Hillary
and Trump but the Dems weren't quite ready to go that liberal.
As for Joe suddenly discovering there are things about government that
are secret, BWAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA! I mean, seriously, what the hell
does he think all those spy movies are about?
> Tears in the curtain are very dangerous for the established
> powers - their lies and evil methods revealed can lead
> to public rebuke, sometimes severe.
They're even more dangerous to Joe. He simply isn't competent to do
what has to be done to keep the nation safe and prosperous.
> Playing Machiavellian
> games can create great power - but it's not *safe*.
It's safer than total honesty. When your opponent can easily see your
strengths and desires, they can also easily see your weaknesses and
vulnerabilities. You lose.
>>Tuesday there was a meeting at Trump
>>Tower. Wednesday the campaign announced an "expansion" of staff. The
>>media immediately reported that Manafort had been "demoted".
>
> Manafort didn't work out ... so he's fired.
The fact of the matter is that Trump was clearly chafing under
Manafort's tutelage, and his links to Ukraine, Putin and the other
dictators he's represented over the years were making Trump look even
worse. Manafort was hired by Ferdinand Marcos to remake his image
shortly before the revolution that removed him from power. He was
also tied to a French scandal regarding submarines sold to Pakistan
and illegal arms sales profits being funneled into Manafort's
candidate's campaign. Manafort barely escaped the charge that some of
the money he was paid came from those illegal transactions. He also
narrowly escaped racketeering charges (on technical grounds) in an
investigation of New York real estate transactions carried on by and
for Muslim foreigners with dirty money to wash. And his connections
to Putin via the Ukrainian electoral process and the Kazahk/Icelandic
laundromat machine are well enough known not repeat here.
<
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2016/apr/27/paul-manafort-donald-trump-campaign-past-clients>
The upshot is, given Trump's third shakeup of senior campaign
management, one wonders at the revolving door that will have to be
installed in the Cabinet Room. More to the point, in international
politics, there are no do overs and a candidate still trying to put
together an effective campaign staff 80 days before the election does
not bode well for his potential administration.
>>The
>>campaign and it's surrogates immediately denied any such thing, some
>>of them getting a bit angry in their denial that Manafort was being
>>marginalized in any way. Here it is Friday morning and Manafort has
>>resigned.
>
> Well, everbody doesn't know everything at the same time.
> Likey the executive decision hadn't yet come down -
Of course it could all be exactly the way it happened. Bannon and
Conway were brought in and I expect Manafort suddenly found himself
marginalized. Two days later, he gave up. I suspect his first
loyalty was to Priebus and his assignment was less about getting Trump
elected than minimizing damage to the party.
>so the staff was defending the boss in the interim.
Or maybe nobody knew until Manafort decided to quit. So maybe he
wasn't fired. Maybe he really did resign when he realized Trump
wasn't going to pivot after all.
>>Thanks for proving my point. He hired Manafort whose reputation was
>>well known.
>
> Was it ? I'd never heard of him.
Which is, you should pardon me, a ludicrous cop out. As soon as I
heard about Manafort's hiring last spring, I hit google and learned
most of what I've noted above within minutes. As for Trump, you have
to wonder about a candidate whose vetting of staff is so poor, he
can't even be bothered to take the step of googling them first.
> His main problem wasn't in what he'd been doing for
> a living, it was because of ONE politically-inconvenient
> client. If he'd been bribing on behalf of the Ukrainian
> fascists instead ..........
Not one. There was also Marcos. Not to mention at least two major
scandals involving money laundering and one about illegal arms sales
to Pakistan. Tashfeen Malik, the wife and co shooter of San
Bernardino terrorist Syed Rizwan Farook, was from Pakistan. Pakistan
sheltered Bin Laden for a decade while denying they knew where he was.
Pakistan has nukes and seems always on the verge of a coup. And
Manafort got stained with the scandal of selling arms to Pakistan
while working on a Presidential campaign in France.
"For almost four decades, Donald Trump’s newly installed senior
campaign adviser, Paul Manafort, has managed to juggle two different
worlds: well known during US election season as a shrewd and tough
political operative, he also boasts a hefty résumé as a consultant to
or lobbyist for controversial foreign leaders and oligarchs with
unsavory reputations."
<
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2016/apr/27/paul-manafort-donald-trump-campaign-past-clients>
>>Trump's own dealings with Russia and his admiration for a
>>murderous dictator fit neatly in with the hiring of a pro Russian
>>operative.
>
> I think someone on Trumps staff heard Manafort was
> a good lobbyist ... not so much about who he'd been
> lobbying FOR recently.
Which is precisely the point. Manafort wasn't vetted by the Trump
campaign. If he's not vetting staff, how can we expect him to vet his
appointees?
> Oh, and for Russia, Putin isn't such a bad fit. They
> are used to czars, indeed EXPECT czars. Different
> culture. A wimpy western democracy wouldn't cut
> it in Russia, the people would see weakings and
> ineffective cowards and install someone like Putin
> as quickly as possible - a central decision-maker.
That's Russia, and they can have any government they want. But this
is the US, and Trump is less a Russian business partner than a money
laundering terminal.
> Or do you think Russians are just Americans in
> furry hats .... ? I'm sure Wikipedia as a definition
> of "ethnocentricity" for you .........
Has nothing to do with ethnicity. Has to do with a wannabe emperor
still smarting from the bloodless defeat of his system and world view
by the United States. Having an American President in his pocket
would be an achievement no Soviet ever dreamed was possible.
>>Trump has, *by his own admission* contributed to politicians on a quid
>>pro quo basis, has even bragged about it being an essential part of
>>his success.
>
> And he said it as an indictment of The System ... said
> that things are so screwed up in govt that you CAN'T
> get an honest shake, that you HAVE to grease palms.
The only thing Trump wants to change is who's palm is getting the
grease. If you think anything else, he's fooled you completely.
Swill
--
#imwithher #strongertogether
Donald J. Trump: The asteroid destined to destroy
a party of dinosaurs. - Samantha Bee
Trump has written a lot of books about business, but they all
seem to end in Chapter 11. - Hillary Clinton
S. E. Cupp has characterized Trump as wearing the Republican party
like a rented tuxedo. When the prom is over, it's going to end up on
the floor with the liquor stains and cigarette butts.
So if you are thinking of voting for Donald Trump,
the charismatic guy promising to ‘Make America Great
Again,’ stop and take a moment to imagine how you
would feel if you just met a guy named Donald Drumpf:
a litigious, serial liar with a string of broken business
ventures and the support of a former Klan leader who
he can’t decide whether or not to condemn.
Would you think he would make a good president,
or is the spell now somewhat broken? - John Oliver