John B. wrote:
> The present consensus is that Hawaii and the
> Polynesian Island were first populated in
> about 200 BCE and Hawaii in 300 BCE.
> Hawaii had a known second wave of settlement
> in about 1,000 CE.
OK? Well, the consensus before Kon-Tiki was
that it was impossible the make the journey,
and Heyerdahl & Co. proved that wrong with
their project.
> If you don't plan things than you make a lot
> of errors.
If I would make a list of the ten best things
I ever did not as single one of them was
planned. All the computer systems I just did
one function, one script, one configuration at
a time. For sure, I had a general idea what
I wanted but I never drew boxes on whiteboards
or studied specifications if that is
"planning". The bike workshop I've built in the
last year I also did one tool at a time, one
chain at a time and one hook to put a rim, and
so on.
On the contrary, I see many pitfalls in
planning. Often you don't know enough to make
a good plan. It is too hard envision what will
happen and how. Instead if you focus on the
everyday problems to be solved you know at
least they will be solved, and they don't
eventually collide and blow up, on the contrary
it looks like I had a plan how to create order
and how to organize stuff, but actually I did
it one day at a time.
Also whenever other people are involved
planning is often contra productive as many
people like to plan and pretend to work but
actually it is just a waste of time.
For example the place where I work there is
a "garden group". The have meetings every week
or month (?) but the garden looks like
a jungle. Once now I then I just take the
scythe and wave it down. It is like on hour!
If they did that instead of planning and
talking it would be a French rather than
English garden a long time ago!
In computing, there is something called formal
verification where you build a model which can
be quantified and mathematically verified.
This takes ages! And when it is done, what
happens is the formal verification only proves
that *the model* is correct - it doesn't say
one iota about the actual software, which at
that point isn't even written!
Then engineer approach of automated testing
where you bombard the software with random (but
valid) inputs is much better as it test the
real thing!
But even that isn't optimal. What is optimal is
having lots of people using the actual thing
for actual problems, and then they will tell
you when it fails. Lacking lots of people,
those people can be you alone just using the
software every day. So what if it breaks
a couple of times? Fixing that takes sometimes
just a couple of minutes compared to the hours
and weeks and months some people put into
planning and verifying and testing...
The Soviet Union had a planned economy and what
happened was insane bureaucracy and the advance
of people who liked to push papers and put
stamps on them and feel important about it, at
the expense of people who were passionate and
enterprising about work and the realization
of ideas.
> I suspect that in the early years that like
> all of Europe the economy was very much
> subsistence farming and pay the Jarl his
> taxes. I would guess very little cash was
> in circulation.
There was cash around but also many other types
of riches which served the purpose of cash
today, so it wasn't as standardized as today
obviously but there was no problems telling who
had and who didn't.
> A ship is difficult to estimate but Soren
> Nielsen, the builder of the Sea Stallion
> estimated that in the Viking era, it would
> have taken about 10 skilled ship builders and
> 5 untrained hands, about 6 months to build
> a large Viking long ship. Which apparently is
> only the actual ship building. Logging out
> the timber, would have taken, probably
> a whole winter.
Indeed, not a business for a bunch of lamers...
> I think that as in Europe at the time these
> expeditions were probably a family project.
> I got a ship, my brother in law has a ship
> and my wife's sister's husband is building
> a ship. Lets go down there to that big island
> and we'll all get rich :-)
Yes, I would think so.
> As for "working your way up? Given that the
> crew of say a 20 bench ship would be about 40
> oarsmen, a couple of steersmen a Captain and
> perhaps the Jarl and some of his men. How to
> work your way up? If you read the Sagas they
> seem to be largely about the actions of "the
> boss" and his men.
There were success stories and from rags to
riches then as it is today. I'm not sure it is
easier today than back then. Probably much the
same tho it is very hard to say and it depends
what you mean. But safe to say that people who
were ambitious and capable back then weren't
locked to poverty just because their parents
were poor, but obviously just as today they
would be at a disadvantage from the get-go...
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