On Sat, 17 Sep 2011 22:18:43 -0500, Rich <
no...@nowhere.com> wrote:
>Lets say he taxes the estimated 775,000 people in the U.S. who earn over
>$1M a year. Lets say he raises what they already pay by about 30%, which
>is a huge increase. He'll probably go for less. The most this will net
>him will be about $40 billion, at most. That is about 1/350th of the
>total debt which is running at $13 trllion per year. So exactly what
>does clueless hope to accomplish?
Those numbers don't like right to me.
A minute googling suggests incomes above $1m are more like 250,000
people, that's 2009 data I think. Of course Obama calls families
making $250,000 a year "millionaires", and that's probably a couple of
million people.
http://www.lazymanandmoney.com/how-many-people-make-more-than-250000-per-year/
But the top 1% also represents a much bigger chunk of total income
than the small population suggests, looks like 20%, and a bigger
amount of total income *tax*, typically about 40%. Total personal
income tax in 2007 was about $900b (probably less now!). So increase
that by 30% and you get $27b. So your bottom line was close enough if
you count the top 1%, including incomes down to about $350k.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:U.S._Federal_Receipts_-_FY_2007.png
But that's per year, and they always like talking about 10 years, so
that's $270b over ten years.
You're right, it doesn't touch the deficit of $14t or even the annual
deficits of $1t ("over ten years that's $10t" folks!).
--
We haven't seen details of what Obama even *means* by this yet,
everyone is guessing.
I'm guessing that whether it happens now under Obama or later under
Rick Perry, there is going to be a merger of the social security and
general income tax systems. That's one of the two things Warren
Buffett is always moaning about, the other is lower taxes on capital
gains. There are lots of problems in the tax system.
So, if Obama wants to basically extend the social security tax onto
huge incomes, that might be a "win".
One other thing that is rumored, that whatever this is is going to
include an elimination of the current AMT. THAT would be a good
thing, the current AMT is a joke and a pain. So even if that is
replaced with something that bites harder, it might get support.
Does it make any sense? Maybe a little. But as you say, the numbers
are not enough to touch the real problems.
J.