Please submit your abstracts to the PSHA session of the 2017 AGU Fall meeting

[Rong, Yufang]

Dear colleagues,

 

We are pleased to announce the PSHA session at the 2017 AGU Fall meeting. Please submit your abstracts before the deadline!

 

 

NH001: Advances in PSHA Models, Methods, and Data

Submit an Abstract to this Session
Session ID#: 22672

Session Description:

Probabilistic seismic hazard analysis (PSHA) was established a half century ago, and has since been widely used for seismic hazard, as the basis for building codes and for seismic risk analysis. Significant improvements in both source and ground motion modeling, such as gridded smoothed seismicity models, geodetic-based strain rate informed models, time-dependent models, and regional GMPEs have been made. The use of logic trees, and other tools, has allowed modelers to combine diverse ideas to produce more informative hazard estimates. However, challenges remain. Assumptions about, for example, magnitude scaling, earthquake rates on faults, Mmax, and GMPE suitability, are necessary due to incompleteness of data, and lack of understanding and oversimplification of complex earthquake phenomena. We invite presentations that explore traditional and innovative PSHA modeling, including new databases, assumptions and uncertainties, and how they impact seismic hazard results, risk management, and decision making.

Primary Convener:  Harold Magistrale, FM Global Research, Norwood, MA, United States

Conveners:  Yufang Rong, FM Global Research, Norwood, MA, United States and Matt Gerstenberger, GNS Science, Lower Hutt, New Zealand

 

Thank you,

Yufang, Harold, and Matt