Tom Reedy <
tom....@gmail.com> wrote in
news:2442ea6a-4a1d-49be...@z8g2000yqd.googlegroups.com:
>
http://www.nytimes.com/2013/05/26/magazine/why-rational-people-buy-into
> -conspiracy-theories.html?smid=tw-share&_r=1&
"Consider this: 63 percent of registered American voters believe in at
least one political conspiracy theory, according to a recent poll
conducted by Fairleigh Dickinson University."
That's misleading. The poll in question (it's on the Web at
http://publicmind.fdu.edu/2013/outthere/) asked respondents about four
specific beliefs: "President Bush's supporters committed significant
voter fraud in order to win Ohio in 2004," "President Obama's supporters
committed significant voter fraud in the 2012 presidential election,"
"President Bush knew about the 9/11 attacks before they happened," and
"President Obama is hiding important information about his background
and early life."
The phrasing on the two voter fraud questions is vague enough to allow
for non-conspiracist interpretations - neither question indicates that
the candidate knew about the fraud, and the Obama question doesn't even
indicate that the fraud helped Obama win, just that it was
"significant". The phrasing on the question about Obama's background is
similarly vague: "President Obama is hiding important information about
his background and early life" covers a lot of ground - if one thinks
his failure to release his college transcripts counts as "hiding
important information about his background," one will put that in the
"probably true" category, but in fact Obama has failed to release his
college transcripts.
To take an example more relevant to anti-Stratfordianism, if I were
asked to classify the statement "The Privy Council hid important
information about the circumstances of Christopher Marlowe's death," I'd
say it was probably true, but anyone who inferred that I also thought it
likely that there was a conspiracy to murder Marlowe or fake his death
would be gravely mistaken.
Only the statement about Bush having advance knowledge of the 9/11
attacks really counts as a conspiracy theory, and as it happens, that
one had the highest percentage of "Probably Not True" responses, 56%.
(Note that the poll didn't offer a "Definitely True" or "Definitely Not
True" option.)
--
S.O.P.