GitHub's Growth

[DrQ]

https://twitter.com/DrQz/status/296334529453498369

In response to http://redmonk.com/dberkholz/2013/01/21/github-will-hit-5-million-users-within-a-year/

The thing being modeled https://github.com/

[Baron Schwartz]

On the topic of "I've got some points, I'll find an equation that looks like the points," see also http://www.xaprb.com/blog/2013/01/31/thinking-clearly-about-fitting-a-model-to-data/

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[DrQ]

One of the most common mistakes that people make when starting with raw data (as in the GitHub case) is to confound empirical models with explanatory models. The two aspects are logically separate. You can have a perfectly reliable empirical model and yet, have no idea why it works.

In fact, historically, that's often how things develop. Zipf's law is a case in point. Discovered in the 1930s (by Mr. Zipf) it was known to work well across of wide range of corpora, but an explanatory model only came relatively recently.

BTW, should I be watching my mail for a check? Thanks in advance. ;-)

On Thursday, January 31, 2013 6:22:53 PM UTC-8, Baron Schwartz wrote:

On the topic of "I've got some points, I'll find an equation that looks like the points," see also http://www.xaprb.com/blog/2013/01/31/thinking-clearly-about-fitting-a-model-to-data/

On Tue, Jan 29, 2013 at 3:19 PM, DrQ <red...@yahoo.com> wrote:

https://twitter.com/DrQz/status/296334529453498369

In response to http://redmonk.com/dberkholz/2013/01/21/github-will-hit-5-million-users-within-a-year/

The thing being modeled https://github.com/

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[Baron Schwartz]

On Thu, Jan 31, 2013 at 10:32 PM, DrQ <red...@yahoo.com> wrote:

BTW, should I be watching my mail for a check? Thanks in advance. ;-)

How about a bottle of fine Virginia wine? :) 

[DrQ]

Moonshine? I thought it was too good to be true. ;)

[Baron Schwartz]

There's actually some pretty good wine around here, but because it's Mister Jefferson's Country and he was such a gardener, it's all kind of hoity-toity whether it's good or not. Well, send me your address, and I'll send you a bottle!

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[M. Edward (Ed) Borasky]

On Fri, Feb 1, 2013 at 8:56 AM, Baron Schwartz <baron.s...@gmail.com> wrote:
> There's actually some pretty good wine around here, but because it's Mister
> Jefferson's Country and he was such a gardener, it's all kind of hoity-toity
> whether it's good or not. Well, send me your address, and I'll send you a
> bottle!

When I was a young sprout, wine came from Europe, California or
upstate New York. Now, I'd be surprised if there's a single nation
that doesn't export wine or a single US state that doesn't have wines
as good as, say, our fine Oregon Pinot Noir from Cooper Mountain
Vineyards, a mere stone's throw from my house. ;-)

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[Baron Schwartz]

On Sun, Feb 3, 2013 at 7:45 PM, M. Edward (Ed) Borasky <zn...@znmeb.net> wrote:

On Fri, Feb 1, 2013 at 8:56 AM, Baron Schwartz <baron.s...@gmail.com> wrote:
> There's actually some pretty good wine around here, but because it's Mister
> Jefferson's Country and he was such a gardener, it's all kind of hoity-toity
> whether it's good or not. Well, send me your address, and I'll send you a
> bottle!

When I was a young sprout, wine came from Europe, California or
upstate New York. Now, I'd be surprised if there's a single nation
that doesn't export wine or a single US state that doesn't have wines
as good as, say, our fine Oregon Pinot Noir from Cooper Mountain
Vineyards, a mere stone's throw from my house. ;-)

I'll trade you a bottle of your choice! My address is 1726 Dairy Road, Charlottesville, VA 22903.