poll by CES for 2016 USA presidential

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Warren D Smith

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Jan 15, 2017, 3:01:10 PM1/15/17
to electionscience
https://electology.org/blog/honest-voters-had-preference-2016

claims that soliciting honest votes from over 1000 sampled,
found Sanders was honest-voting Condorcet winner from a field of 9,
i.e. defeated each of his 8 rivals pairwise.
Said rivals included Michael Bloomberg but not John Kasich,
unfortunately.

During what date-range was this poll conducted?


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Warren D. Smith
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Aaron Hamlin

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Feb 6, 2017, 5:09:11 PM2/6/17
to The Center for Election Science
Voters were asked to rate honestly the degree that they wanted a candidate to be president regardless of the candidate's likelihood of getting elected.

We had some early data from another research org that found Ted Cruz did best with approval, so he was selected.

The data was collected the week leading up to the election and ending on the day of the election.

The design was a split sample. Roughly 1K got a short list of candidates. The other half (another ~1K) got the long list.
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