tmp <
tmps...@gmail.com> wrote:
> On Monday, December 3, 2018 at 7:22:01 AM UTC-5, ruben safir wrote:
>> Mets, Closing In On Cano Trade, Continue Rolling The Dice When They
>> Should Be The House
>> Howard MegdalContributor
>> SportsMoney
>> I am a writer/editor on WNBA/NBA/NWSL/MLB and much more.
>>
>> Robinson Cano of the Seattle Mariners throwing to Lucas Duda of the New
>> York Mets during an exhibition game in Tokyo in 2014. (Photo by
>> YOSHIKAZU TSUNO/AFP/Getty Images)Getty
>>
>> About the best one can say about the nearly completed trade between the
>> New York Mets and the Seattle Mariners, which would bring Robinson Cano
>> and Edwin Diaz to New York for a basket of undesired salaries and some
>> of the best prospects in the Mets??? organization, is that, hey, at least
>> they???re trying.
>>
>> Here???s Jeff Passan of Yahoo, hardly a Mets apologist, on the deal:
>>
>> ???Any anger over the trade goes back to Kelenic and Dunn, and it
>> would be disingenuous to say it isn???t risky. It is. Know what, though?
>> Everything in baseball is risky. The best-looking on-paper deals can
>> fall prey to the whims of the game. The physical, the mental and every
>> vagary that exists between the two. Baseball is difficult. Predicting
>> the future is impossible.
>>
>> ???And yet, because this trade does not hew to the modern paradigm of
>> running a baseball team ??? wait for a window of opportunity, try to win
>> then, do not deviate, and if so find scorn ??? the anger is palpable. It???s
>> also terribly misplaced, because to view the Mets inside of that vacuum
>> would ignore just how counter this runs to the standard witlessness of
>> the Wilpon family???s ownership of the franchise.???
>>
>> I have nothing but respect for Passan, but I just don???t see it. This is
>> precisely how the Wilpons operate. The Cano deal is nothing less than
>> standard operating procedure.
>>
>> Jeff Wilpon, chief operating officer of the Mets, in July. (Photo by
>> Drew Angerer/Getty Images)Getty
>>
>> Consider that we???ll never truly know how much the current ownership has
>> cost the Mets in opportunity costs, particularly over the decade since
>> their massive losses in the Bernie Madoff scam led to massive borrowing
>> by ownership against its own holdings in the Mets and SNY and,
>> subsequently, using revenues from both to finance their own debt on an
>> annual basis.
>>
>> The reason this matters is twofold???revenue that other teams use for
>> building a baseball team instead went to keeping ownership afloat. And
>> the smaller decisions made by the baseball team have been held hostage
>> to outside financial concerns.
>>
>> This has been apparent in large ways???a payroll that consistently falls
>> well below what the market would support???and in small ones, too, like
>> the annual trading of veterans, with baseball ops giving them away
>> instead of assuming the contracts and bringing back better prospects to
>> increase the talent base.
>>
>> And so it is with this Cano/Diaz deal. Rather than going out and
>> signing, say, Manny Machado or Bryce Harper, 20-something stars far
>> likelier to age well on long-term deals, the Mets go get a 36-year-old
>> Cano, playing a position that has been unforgiving to players in their
>> mid-30s. Rather than paying the going rate in free agency for a closer,
>> the Mets get Diaz instead, so it costs them a treasure in their own
>> young talent.
>>
>> It???s the kind of seeking-an-edge thinking that led ownership to not one
>> but two Ponzi schemes. It???s how the Wilpons always operate.
>>
>> The other major argument for the deal is that the Mets are ???trying to
>> win now,??? and only the sum total of the winter will tell us if that???s
>> true. But the team typically does precisely this???a big, early splash
>> that requires moves around it to truly matter, only to see the Mets fold
>> up and go home. Think Chris Young. Think Michael Cuddyer.
>>
>> Now, there is a different general manager in town, which matters to the
>> extent that Brodie Van Wagenen is empowered in a way Sandy Alderson
>> simply wasn???t. But oddly, for a team supposedly trying to win now, the
>> Mets have been shopping Noah Syndergaard, an in-prime co-ace alongside
>> Jacob deGrom. The price has supposedly been set at the elite prospect
>> level, and we???ll see if the Mets can get such a return, but other teams
>> around baseball are rightly suspicious about why the Mets would be
>> trying to trade one of their frontline starting pitchers, and a former
>> client of Van Wagenen, at that. Moreover, it certainly defies logic for
>> a win-now team to deal Syndergaard for prospects.
>>
>> Consider this, too: operating in New York, even if the Mets merely used
>> the luxury tax level as a de facto salary cap the way many other teams
>> do around the league, the roster can and would look very different. The
>> Mets have $92 million in committed money for 2019, before arb decisions.
>> And even that number is artificially inflated???$44 million of it is due
>> to David Wright, who is certain not to play next year, and Yoenes
>> Cespedes, who is highly unlikely to play next year, so roughly $33
>> million of it should come back to the Mets.
>>
>> Had the Mets really been going for it, as the parlance would describe
>> it, this means they could have kept their best prospects, gone out and
>> spent, on both Bryce Harper and Manny Machado, added Craig Kimbrel to
>> the back end of the bullpen, and you know what their payroll would have
>> been in 2019? If we take MLB Trade Rumors??? predictions as the standard,
>> that puts them at $169.5 million before arbitration. And for a team
>> without a single contract on the books past 2020, the long-term risk
>> would be minimized as well.
>>
>> It???s eye-opening just how much talent the Mets could afford to truly add
>> simply by playing by the same economic rules as the rest of the league???s
>> large-market teams.
>>
>> Consider that lineup:
>>
>> CF Nimmo
>> LF Conforto
>> RF Harper
>> 3B Machado
>> 1B Frazier
>> 2B McNeil
>> SS Rosario
>> C Plawecki
>>
>> Consider that rotation, fronted by Syndergaard, Zack Wheeler and deGrom,
>> and that bullpen, with a three-man finishing crew of Seth Lugo, Robert
>> Gsellman and Craig Kimbrel.
>>
>> Sounds like a championship contender, right?
>>
>> Alas, that is what trying to win???not in some fantasy baseball sense, but
>> simply by the Mets operating in good faith???would look like. It???s how the
>> Yankees do it, in a way that amusingly enough, Fred Wilpon persists in
>> calling ???unsustainable???.
>>
>> No. Unsustainable is double-digit returns on your investment with no
>> risk. The Yankees are the essence of sustainability, continuing to build
>> their farm system, embracing sabermetrics, and using the economic
>> advantages of New York to both keep payroll at the luxury tax level and
>> turn a handsome profit for their owners.
>>
>> They???ve made the playoffs all but four years since 1995 doing it this
>> way. The Mets? They???ve made the playoffs roughly as often over that time
>> (five times) as the Yankees have missed it.
>>
>> There???s no mystery to it. The Yankees are like the House in Vegas.
>> They???ve stacked the odds in their favor.
>>
>> The Mets could do this, too, with less financially compromised
>> owners???either by circumstances, or perhaps the Wilpons no longer are
>> compromised, and have simply figured out they???ll never pay a public
>> price for continuing to spend the way they did at the lowest ebb of
>> their post-Madoff woes. Either way, revenue that ought to be going
>> toward the baseball team, your ticket money, your monthly fee to the
>> cable company for SNY, is being diverted elsewhere.
>>
>> As long as it???s the Wilpons, the Mets will never be the House in Vegas,
>> the way a New York team that owns its own television network in a salary
>> cap-free league should be. They???ll be the suckers rolling the dice and
>> hoping it comes up eleven.
>>
>> But hey: at least they???re trying.
>> I am a writer/editor on WNBA/NBA/NWSL/MLB/NCAA women's, men's basketball
>> and more. I've worked to equalize coverage between men's and women's
>> sports, both in my own work???MORE
>
>
> FWIW:
>
> This Date in Mets History
>
> 1969 ??? The Mets trade Amos Otis to the Kansas City Royals in exchange for third baseman Joe Foy.
At the begging for Gil Hodges who had a personality clash with Otis