commodities are being severely manipulated by wealthy parasites:total
outstanding oil contracts for next-month delivery of 1,000 barrels of
oil stood near an all-time high:Speculators who'll never take delivery
of oil made up 64% of the market
hey all of you brown nosed conservative wealth worshipers, here's to
your $5.00 a gallon of gas. enjoy it. the wealthy are so under taxed,
that they can throw hundreds of billions of dollars at a market, and
completely manipulate it, to the point where they can crash the
economy.
http://www.truthout.org/once-again-speculators-behind-sharply-rising-oil-and-gasoline-prices/1329920984
Once Again, Speculators Behind Sharply Rising Oil and Gasoline Prices
Wednesday 22 February 2012
by: Kevin G. Hall, McClatchy Newspapers | Report
Washington - U.S. demand for oil and refined products — including
gasoline — is down sharply from last year, so much that United States
has actually become a net exporter of gasoline, unable to consume all
that it makes.
Yet oil and gasoline prices are surging.
On Tuesday, oil rose past $106 a barrel and gasoline averaged $3.57 a
gallon — thanks again in no small part to rampant financial
speculation on top of fears of supply disruptions.
The ostensible reason for the climb of crude prices on the New York
Mercantile Exchange, where contracts for future delivery of oil are
traded, is growing fear of a military confrontation with Iran in the
Persian Gulf's Strait of Hormuz, through which 20 percent of the
world's oil passes.
Other factors driving up prices include last month's bankruptcy of
Petroplus, a big European refiner, and a recent BP refinery fire in
Washington state that's temporarily crimped gasoline supply along the
West Coast; gas now costs an average of $4.04 a gallon in California.
While tension over Iran has ratcheted up over the last few months, the
price of oil and gasoline has leaped far beyond conventional supply
and demand variables. Financial speculators are piling into the
market, torquing the Iranian fear factor into ever-higher prices.
"Speculation is now part of the DNA of oil prices. You cannot separate
the two anymore. There is no demarcation," said Fadel Gheit, a 30-year
veteran of energy markets and an analyst at Oppenheimer & Co. "I still
remain convinced oil prices are inflated."
Consider that light, sweet crude trading on the NYMEX changed hands at
$79.20 a barrel just four months ago, but soared past $106 a barrel
Tuesday afternoon, partly on news that Iran would halt shipment of oil
to Britain and France. But those countries already had stopped buying
Iranian oil. And Didier Houssin, the International Energy Agency's
director for energy markets and security, said that "there are
alternative supplies that can make up for any loss of Iranian
exports," The Wall Street Journal reported.
Still, oil's price shot up because it trades in financial markets,
where Wall Street firms and other big financial players dominate the
trading of oil, even though they have no intention of ever taking
possession of the oil whose contracts they are trading.
Since oil prices are the biggest component in the price of gasoline,
pump prices are soaring. AAA said Tuesday that the nationwide average
price for a gallon of gasoline stood at $3.57, compared with $3.38 a
month ago and $3.17 a year ago. It takes about $6 more to fill up the
tank than it did this time last year — and last year's gasoline-price
surge helped take the steam out of the economic recovery.
Defining what percentage of today's high oil and gasoline prices is
due to excessive speculation, driven by Iran fears, is something of a
guessing game.
"I put the Iran security premium at about $8 to $10 (a barrel) at this
point, which still puts crude at about $90 or $95," said John Kilduff,
a veteran energy analyst at AgainCapital in New York.
The fear premium is the froth above what prices would be absent fears
of a supply disruption_ somewhere in the $80 to $85 range for a barrel
of crude oil. It means that even with the extra cost put on oil from
Iran fears, prices are at least another $10 higher than what demand
fundamentals would dictate.
Why? Financial speculators.
What should the price of oil be if left to conventional supply and
demand market fundamentals? Canada's the largest supplier of imported
oil to the United States, which now actually produces more than half
of the oil it consumes. Production and delivery costs for a barrel of
oil from Canada are about $75 a barrel. The market-fundamentals cost
for a barrel of oil is in that ballpark; above that, speculation sets
the prices.
"It's as simple as that," said Gheit, who has testified before
Congress and called for regulatory limits on speculation in
commodities markets.
Historically, financial speculators accounted for about 30 percent of
oil trading in commodity markets, while producers and end users made
up about 70 percent. Today it's almost the reverse.
A McClatchy review of the latest Commitment of Traders report from the
Commodity Futures Trading Commission, which regulates oil trading,
shows that producers and merchants made up just 36 percent of all
contracts traded in the week ending Feb. 14.
That same week, open interest, or the total outstanding oil contracts
for next-month delivery of 1,000 barrels of oil (about 42,000
gallons), stood near an all-time high above 1.486 million. Speculators
who'll never take delivery of oil made up 64 percent of the market.
Not surprisingly, big Wall Street traders on Tuesday projected oil
will rise above $112 a barrel; some such as Swiss giant Vitol even
suggested $150-a-barrel oil is coming soon. When they dominate the
market, as they do, speculators' bids can make their prophecies self-
fulfilling.
"These people are not there to be heroes. They are there to make
money. It's our fault because we are allowing them to do that," said
Gheit. "Obviously these people are very strong, and the financial
lobby is the strongest of any single lobby. I've been in this business
30 years, and I can tell you I think this is smoke and mirrors."
What's indisputable is that oil and gasoline are not in short supply,
and that demand remains weak. That was crystal clear in the latest
weekly energy market update by the U.S. Energy Information
Administration_ published last week for the week ending Feb. 10.
"Total products supplied over the last four-week period have averaged
18.3 million barrels per day, down by 4.6 percent compared to the
similar period last year. Over the last four weeks, motor gasoline
product supplied has averaged nearly 8.1 million barrels per day, down
by 6.4 percent from the same period last year," said the EIA, the
statistical arm of the Energy Department.
Inventories of stored oil are also unusually high, the EIA said.
"At 339.1 million barrels, U.S. crude oil inventories are in the upper
limit of the average range for this time of year," the agency said.
"Total motor gasoline inventories increased by 0.4 million barrels
last week and are in the upper limit of the average range."
Hence, no shortage to explain soaring prices.
In fact, U.S. demand and consumption patterns are so abnormal compared
to recent decades that oil and gasoline are both now being exported to
Europe, Asia and Latin America.
Exports of U.S. refined product averaged 2.928 million barrels per day
over the four weeks ending on Feb. 10, compared to 2.190 million bpd
for the four weeks ending Feb. 11, 2011, the EIA said. This category
is primarily gasoline, but it includes unfinished oils, fuel
additives, ethanol and other blending components.
Similarly, the United States did not export any oil in the four weeks
ending Feb. 11, 2011, but in the four-week period ending this Feb. 10,
we exported 37,000 barrels.
The export picture suggests that when domestic demand rises, American
motorists might be competing with drivers elsewhere for U.S.-made
gasoline, which fetches a higher price as an export.
"To the extent that there is this export market that wasn't there
before, it is certainly ... keeping prices higher than they otherwise
would be," said Kilduff. "Exports were not material. Now they are
becoming material."
The White House sought to deflect criticism about rising oil and
gasoline prices. Spokesman Jay Carney blamed the prices on "a variety
of factors on the global price of oil. They include unrest in certain
regions of the world, they include growth in areas like China and
India."
Another popular explanation for rising oil prices Tuesday was trader
relief that Greece received another bailout payment from Europe. That
heightened hopes of a boost in oil demand in Europe as its economy
recovers, given that a crisis has been avoided for now.
That explanation doesn't add up.
Last year, when oil and gasoline prices rose and slowed the U.S.
economy, the surging prices were explained away by traders who said
that oil and other commodities moved inverse to slumping stock prices.
Today, oil prices and stock prices seem to be moving in tandem —
upward — contradicting last year's justification.
East Coast refiners have seen their profit margins squeezed because
they import Brent crude oil from Europe, which has traded at least $10
above crude coming out of the U.S. Gulf region.
Consolidation in the refining sector is another new wrinkle weighing
on the oil and gasoline markets. The EIA, in a separate publication
called This Week in Petroleum, warned last week that refinery closures
in the U.S. Northeast and in some Caribbean countries could crimp
supplies along the U.S. East Coast. Refinery closures and strained
distribution could drive up gasoline prices on the East Coast until
industry players make necessary infrastructure adjustments.
"On paper, refining capacity in the more competitive Gulf Coast and
Midwest hubs appears more than adequate to make up for lost East Coast
refining capacity. But the Colonial pipeline, which connects Gulf
Coast refineries to the Central Atlantic, is already running near
capacity levels, so bringing incremental Gulf Coast product volumes to
East Coast markets could be a challenge," the EIA said.
(Lesley Clark of the Washington Bureau contributed.)