A small modification to my forecast that Trump can never win:
If the riots continue and there are widespread cases of violence and death, expect a shift to his side by almost 5%, which is significant. Progressives can endorse protest but not riots. Historically, the American society makes a distinction between both. If more riots continue, those in the suburbs will think that Trump and the police will give them protection and work to retain him in the White House.
TF
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kenneth harrow
professor emeritus
dept of english
michigan state university
A small modification to my forecast that Trump can never win:
If the riots continue and there are widespread cases of violence and death, expect a shift to his side by almost 5%, which is significant. Progressives can endorse protest but not riots. Historically, the American society makes a distinction between both. If more riots continue, those in the suburbs will think that Trump and the police will give them protection and work to retain him in the White House.
TF
On Aug 28, 2020, at 10:13, Toyin Falola <toyin...@austin.utexas.edu> wrote:
A small modification to my forecast that Trump can never win:
If the riots continue and there are widespread cases of violence and death, expect a shift to his side by almost 5%, which is significant. Progressives can endorse protest but not riots. Historically, the American society makes a distinction between both. If more riots continue, those in the suburbs will think that Trump and the police will give them protection and work to retain him in the White House.
TF
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