All things being equal, this prediction is likely to happen “if democrats do not cut off their nose to spite their face,” during the Democratic Convention, over minor issues.
Ike Udogu
The Economist of UK forecasts that Joe Biden is very likely to beat Donald Trump in the U.S. Electoral College. The link is below:
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kenneth harrow
professor emeritus
dept of english
michigan state university
kenneth harrow
professor emeritus
dept of english
michigan state university
I share these sentiments by Michael and Ken and I can only add that people need to contact friends, colleagues, and others and encourage them to vote. The pools look great, but I remember 2016. A week before the elections, I went up to Pennsylvania to be part of a book lunch on HIV and AIDS in Africa edited by my colleague and brother Jaquineau Azetsop. In the morning I went to the train stop to take the train up to Villanova and a gentleman came by and we struck a conversation. I told him I was going to Villanova and he asked if I work there, I said no, I was going to a book launch. He asked what book and I told him a book on HIV and theology and he was intrigued and asked and in conversation he told me he was an attorney and his grandfather was an attorney for a famous minster in Philadelphia. I asked who, and he said Donald Barnhouse, and I said oh, I know about him. He was intrigued, and I described him and the rest of the team in Philadelphia that were key to the Evangelical movement. He asked me about education and I told him we knew of Barnhouse and others in Africa but I studied under the young Evangelical theologian, Stanley Grenz. He immediately trusted me and shifted to politics and told me that they have done their homework and Hilary is not carrying Pennsylvania. They had done door to door visits, mailings, adds on radio and TV and have covered the entire State and they think they might even carry the city of Philadelphia and he was confident Hilary will not win their State.
Back in Houston, I told a group of friends that based on this
conversation, I was very concerned, but they just laughed at me,
and I thought they should because the polls look great. On
election night, I was so down that I went to bed about 9 pm. Phone
calls from Africa began coming in at midnight and I did not have
the strength to answer anyone of them. My view now is similar to
Michael and Ken, I will wait and toast when the call comes in
November, but before that there is more emailing, calling friends
and colleagues, and spreading the word. That is the least one can
do.
Elias
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Trump is out, a definite one-term presidency. The comparison with his first win is out of place, lacking in the understanding of how politics work. A master of self-destruction, his strategy—immigration and whiteness—is overspent. He had two crises which are winning strategies—CoronaV and Floyd—but he squandered both. Short of inventing a war, not only will his opponent win with a landslide, Trump may become one of the world’s leaders to end in prison.
TF
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![]() | Nneka Stefania Achapu Tel: +1-832-887-9295 | |
On Jul 3, 2020, at 9:15 AM, Elias K. Bongmba <bon...@rice.edu> wrote:
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Please be cautious: **External Email**
In 2016, I campaigned for, and gave my widow’s mite to, the candidate who won the popular vote, but lost the electoral college ballot a la 2000 (Bush vs Gore). The polls were wrong in 2016—so wrong—that I am not prepared to count my chicks…this time. I recalled that in anger I refused to watch the tele for a fortnight. It is critical that we go out to vote this year; and that we take as many friends, relatives and even “enemies” to the poll. Please take Gloria’s piece seriously.
I am impressed with the number of our brothers and sisters running for one political office or the other this year. Bravo and good luck to them!
Ike Udogu
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