The only thing we have to fear about that "second wave"

[Mark Crispin Miller]

The panicky decision not to hold a regular election this November, the CDC's

dystopian "guidelines" for "reopening" elementary and high schools after

summer break (making them like high-security prisons), and the suicidal plans 

of many colleges and universities to offer mostly online courses in the fall, all 

vividly attest to the remarkable success of the Great Fear that has "us" cowering 

in anticipation of a "second wave" as lethal as the first (although the first was not 

so lethal after all)—a catastrophic "second wave" the likes of which we've never 

seen: not after the deadly flu season in 1969, not after SARS in 2003, not after the 

swine flu in 2009, nor after any other notable pandemic. 

In short, "we" seem peculiarly resigned to living under lockdown, or something 

very like it, from now on: an awesome victory for the lords of propaganda, and

a huge loss for humanity, if we don't see that "staying safe" like this will not just

make that "second wave" more likely, but—far worse—rob us all of everything

that makes our lives worth living. 

MCM  

From Keith Rushworth:

The Basic Susceptible-Infected-Resistant (SIR) model in epidemiology shows a novel infection 

first spreading rapidly through a theoretically 100% susceptible population, then slowing as the 

number of  infected-recovered, and therefore resistant, people increases. Eventually, the number 

of resistant people becomes too great for the infection to progress further. This is herd immunity 

and the end of the epidemic.  

https://epidemiologyexplained.com/epidemiology-for-dummies-what-you-ought-to-know/

If the progress of the infection is interfered with—say, by lockdown—then when that interference is 

removed, there should, theoretically, be a Second Wave. Such an event can never be as big as the 

first wave, and in any event assumes that the lockdown is/was effective. Norway apparently had 

an extremely effective lockdown, hence when they relaxed there should have been a serious 

Second Wave. There wasn't. Not even a small one. 

https://epidemiologyexplained.com/norwegian-health-authority-report/. 

Norwegian Prime Minister apologised for the lockdown there. 

In essence, the cases and deaths in different countries do not correlate well with tightness of 

lockdown, which indicates that they do not work, or do not work very well, hence there is no 

sound reason to assume a Second Wave. However, Second Wave is excellent fear porn.