Would solar radiation modification exacerbate conflict? - PDF

[Geoeng Info]

https://ifi.u-tokyo.ac.jp/en/wp-content/uploads/2021/05/sdgs_wp_2020_sugiyama_en.pdf

Would solar radiation modification exacerbate conflict? 

The University of Tokyo 

Masahiro Sugiyama 

Abstract 

Solar radiation modification (SRM) or solar geoengineering is a set of proposed technologies to directly intervene in the Earth’s radiation budget to reduce surface temperatures in order to alleviate risks from anthropogenic climate change. SRM could, however, present novel environmental and societal risks, or a risk-risk tradeoff. Recent advances in scientific understanding suggest that using SRM moderately would alleviate some climate risks and bring the climate back closer to preindustrial levels when compared with not deploying SRM. This could, in turn, reduce the risks of climate induced conflicts. Though the intention behind using SRM could complicate the prospects for conflict, the potential contribution of SRM to lessening conflict should be further investigated