Bushit range expansion

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Ted Floyd

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Dec 4, 2025, 6:32:55 PM (6 hours ago) Dec 4
to Colorado Birds, virginiaho...@gmail.com
Hey, Virginia & all.

Bill Schmoker gives us Boulder CBC data for 2004 onward. Okay, but how about before that time? Here is the rest of the story, told with great dramatic effect:

youtube.com/watch?v=z7jA-KJ6RCM&t=749s

Ted Floyd
Lafayette, Boulder Co.

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Hi Virginia- I was already digging around a little in the Boulder CBC archives in preparation for this year's count and thought I'd look back to see what our Bushtit situation has been for the last 20 years.  I wonder if a CO-wide CBC picture could also be produced but haven't looked into that.  Anyway, here's what we've had on the count since 2004:
2004: 8 (in 1 territory)
2005: 4 (feeder watcher)
2006: 20 (in 1 territory)
2007: 7 (1)
2008: 19 (4)
2009: 46 (2)
2010: 58 (3)
2011: 67 (2)
2012: 96 (6)
2013: 8 (1)
2014: 86 (7)
2015: 110 (4)
2016: 27 (5)
2017: 163 (9)
2018: 174 (10)
2019: 92 (6)
2020: 135 (8)
2021: 146 (9)
2022: 178 (10)
2023: 142 (11)
2024: 173 (7)

So definitely the expected ups and downs but overall I see a pretty strong increase both in numbers of birds and in numbers of territories reporting Bushtits in our last 20 counts.  I suspect that our earlier counts would show even more Bushtit paucity.

linda hodges

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Dec 4, 2025, 7:14:50 PM (6 hours ago) Dec 4
to Ted Floyd, Colorado Birds, virginiaho...@gmail.com
Virginia, I'm beginning to think you set up Bill and Ted!

Linda Hodges




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Virginia Holman

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Dec 4, 2025, 8:03:49 PM (5 hours ago) Dec 4
to Colorado Birds

Folks,

Thanks for all the great local sources and data on Bushtits. And the great YouTube presentation. 
All very helpful and informative!

One more question:
I'm seeing anecdotal chatter regarding climate shifts and human activity as 
causes for expansion. Is there any ongoing or published research regarding this re:  Bushtits
and co-occurring avifauna?

Thanks again.
Virginia Holman


On Thu, Dec 4, 2025 at 4:32 PM Ted Floyd <tedfl...@gmail.com> wrote:

Ted Floyd

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Dec 4, 2025, 8:24:56 PM (4 hours ago) Dec 4
to linda hodges, Colorado Birds, virginiaho...@gmail.com
On Thu, Dec 4, 2025 at 5:14 PM linda hodges <hiker...@gmail.com> wrote:
Virginia, I'm beginning to think you set up Bill and Ted!

Oy, those CBCs back in the good ole daze, the best of times:

Bill and Ted.png

Zoomers and Millennials, you have no idea what real culture was like. Meanwhile:

> One more question:
> I'm seeing anecdotal chatter regarding climate shifts and
> human activity as causes for expansion. Is there any ongoing
> or published research regarding this re:  Bushtits and co-occurring
> avifauna? 

But of course. (Searches for Grey Poupon emoji...)

From the WFO convention in Ventura in 2018 and then from the WFO-CFO convention at Copper Mountain in 2023, these riveting potboilers:

WFO.png

WFO-CFO.png

Virginia Holman

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Dec 4, 2025, 8:36:07 PM (4 hours ago) Dec 4
to Ted Floyd, linda hodges, Colorado Birds
Excellent. Thank you so much.

T. Luke George

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Dec 4, 2025, 10:01:22 PM (3 hours ago) Dec 4
to Virginia Holman, Ted Floyd, linda hodges, Colorado Birds
Hi All,
I plotted the data and despite the ups and downs, the increase is remarkably consistent. The number of Bushtits on the count has increased by about 9 birds per year since 2005. The R squared of 0.73 which is very high for an ecological data set.
Best,
Luke George
image.png



--
T. Luke George, PhD
Master Instructor, ​Colorado ​State University
Department of Fish, Wildlife, and Conservation Biology
Wagar 110
P​rofessor Emeritus, Humboldt State University
"what is it you plan to do with your one wild and precious life?" Mary Oliver
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