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Hugh et al,
I always regarded "shrub" birds like green-tailed towhee to be one of the big winners in the aftermath of what ecologists call "disturbance events". When forest overstories are removed by beetle epidemics and fires, birds that like early succession plant communities have the world come their direction. So, yes, I think your assessment of "habitat change" as a major factor in BBS number changes near the Hayman Fire is probably correct. I also think, as Paula suggests, there are seasonal shifts in populations in response to weather issues, food abundance, condition of a particular area when migrants first arrive, etc. The amazing data set that BBS constitutes is invaluable in helping sort out these changes of both a short and long-term nature.
Interestingly and perhaps related, when I helped Nat Warning (now working for State of Maryland DNR) with his very interesting graduate studies of Canyon and Rock Wrens up at Horsetooth Reservoir west of Fort Collins, we found that even when the two species nest in very close proximity, they forage differently. The Canyon Wrens came to the nest with prey that obviously mostly came from rocks and caves (lots of spiders, centipedes and crane flies), the Rock Wrens more often went out in the meadows near the rocks to find the majority of their nestling fare (more moths, flies, grasshoppers and beetles).
Dave Leatherman
Fort Collins
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