Update to Countywide Order to Shelter At Home; Cancellation of all in-person BerkeleyLUG meetups for April

[goossbears]

Hey all,

Directly quoting yesterday's Alameda County Public Health Dept's Coronavirus

Disease (COVID-19) Situation Update at http://acphd.org/2019-ncov.aspx :
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

On March 31, Alameda County joined six neighboring health jurisdictions

to extend through May 3, 2020, our jointly issued Shelter in Place Order to

reduce the spread of COVID-19.

While the prior Shelter Order has been effective in slowing the rate of

transmission of COVID-19 (“flattening the curve”), it is not enough.

Given the continued increase in cases—more than eightfold since the

Order was first issued on March 15th—the Bay Area Health Officers have

determined that stricter social distancing is needed for a longer period of time.

The goal remains to slow the rate of spread, prevent deaths, and stop the

health care system from becoming overwhelmed. This Order is in effect

until 11:59 PM on May 3, 2020, alongside the open-ended Stay at Home

Order issued by Governor Newsom on March 19th; where more restrictive,

our local order prevails.

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

- The Summary of the Alameda County Public Health Dept's more

restrictive Shelter in Place Order is at

http://www.acphd.org/media/563713/summary-updated-shelter-in-place-order-20200331.pdf

- As before, the offical County of Alameda 'Order to Shelter At Home' is at http://acgov.org/

Needless to say, all scheduled live, in-person BerkeleyLUG meetups will not

be happening at Cafe Blue Door (or probably anywhere else) this month.

Hope that everyone stay safe.

-Aaron

[tom r lopes]

Was arguing with a coworker yesterday.  

He was saying this is an over reaction. Only 3,000 deaths when a normal flu is 60,000 

and no big reaction to the normal flu.  I say look at the fucking curve and bring it up on my phone.  It is doubling every 2 to 3 days.  He says next month it will be 6,000 deaths and what is the big problem.  No, I say, it is doubling every 2 to 3 days so in 2 weeks we will surpass the numbers for the flu.  [32x is doubling 5 times which is in 10 days if doubling every 2 or 15 days if doubling every 3]  

Today I talk with my friend and he is saying the same shit.  

Where are they getting this stuff?  

The picture of the curve should be clear.  

A lot of talk on the Conspire list about this: people not understanding exponential growth.  But I hadn't expected to be confronted with such lack of understanding.  

Just venting ... 

I put the Covid 19: tag so you can filter if you want.  

Stay home 

Thomas

--
You received this message because you are subscribed to the Google Groups "BerkeleyLUG" group.
To unsubscribe from this group and stop receiving emails from it, send an email to berkeleylug...@googlegroups.com.
To view this discussion on the web visit https://groups.google.com/d/msgid/berkeleylug/a8003b49-2618-483e-a5c2-b778ce11babc%40googlegroups.com.

[Rick Moen]

Quoting tom r lopes (tomr...@gmail.com):

> A lot of talk on the Conspire list about this: people not understanding
> exponential growth. But I hadn't expected to be confronted with such lack
> of understanding.

Also not understanding the implications of this being a -=novel=- virus,
thus (in that respect, as in several others) orders of magnitude worse a
disease threat than is influenza: 'Novel' as in, the virus is just now
for the first time ever in contact with the human population, ergo
it's encountering a world population of 7.8 billion humans _none_ of
whom has any antiviral immunity to slow it down.

Anyone still promoting that dumb talking point on March 31, 2020 is
either oblivious or trolling. (Those refrigerated 18-wheel trucks
outside hospitals aren't there for flu cadavers[1].) But there's opportunity
there, if you want to seize it: Offer your co-worker a wager: At the
end of June, you two will subtract WHO's figure for 2019-2020 seasonal
influenza deaths worldwide from WHO's figure for 2019-2020 COVID-19
deaths worldwide. If it's a positive number, your coworker owes you
that many dollars. If negative, you owe your coworker that many
dollars.

I've found there's nothing quite like a gentleman's bet to motivate
people to re-engage the clutch to the brain before firing up the motor
to the mouth.


[1] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X9wZBOoeQYU
Cellphone video footage, taken the morning of Sunday, March 29 outside
Brooklyn Hospital Center worker by one John Lee.
https://patch.com/new-york/bed-stuy/video-hospital-loads-body-truck-amid-coronavirus-outbreak

--
Cheers, "Rand Paul being patient zero for a Senate
Rick Moen viral outbreak is a sign of a writers' room
ri...@linuxmafia.com dropping too much acid, late in the season."
McQ! (4x80) -- @owillis (Oliver Willis)