Soy: food, feed, and land use change - new Foodsource resource, please share in your networks

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Walter Fraanje

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Feb 4, 2020, 6:30:40 AM2/4/20
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Hello everyone,

Just to let you know that last week, we have published a new resource on soy on the FCRN's sister-website Foodsource. Please read it here: Soy: food, feed, and land use change

The piece is part of our Building Block series. It considers the great increase in the production of soy globally and the impacts this has on native vegetation in the Brazilian Amazon and elsewhere. The Building Block asks how far deforestation and land use change are attributable to the growth in demand for soy based foods for direct human consumption, and how far they are a consequence of our rising demand for soy-fed animal products. It also looks at the measures that have been put in place to try and halt further land use change and the limitations of these approaches, and concludes by considering how discussions about soy map onto wider debates around livestock and food system sustainability.

Please share widely in your networks. Questions and comments are very much welcome here.

Best wishes,
Walter

Ray Kowalchuk

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Feb 4, 2020, 12:38:32 PM2/4/20
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Hi Walter,

Part of your conclusion is that the cheap soy oil consumed by humans and the more valuable soy cake "originate from the same bean, there is a mutual and economically convenient dependency between their uses."  Isn't the cheapness of soy oil because it is a byproduct of the animal feed production?  It's a bit like saying that gummy bears and sirloins are both responsible for the carbon impact of cows -- if not for the please-take-our-wastes nature of the slaughterhouse in its production of steaks, the candy manufacturer (a few blocks away from its source of bones, at least where I am in Toronto) would have switched to a plant-based source of gelatin.  While you identify the soy cake with highly desirable characteristics, soybean oil has no charms amongst oilseeds alternatives (other than carving a few cents off of production). 

"A common pattern, however, is that land is first cleared for cattle ranching and shortly afterwards sold or rented out at a higher price for more lucrative soy production."

Though "Soy" is the first word in your paper's title, I see other three-letter words, "cow" and "pig" indicted for deforestation throughout, whether it's ranched Brazilian beef or soy cake for export to Asian CAFOs.

Ray


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Simon Ward

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Feb 4, 2020, 1:13:11 PM2/4/20
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No definitely mutual dependency. You only have to look at the varying contribution of the two products to the soybean price. Oil meal is an important component for most oilseeds but extraction is largely for the oil. Soy does differ from say Canola in that the proportions are more even. 



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Jude Capper

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Feb 4, 2020, 1:46:48 PM2/4/20
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I don’t know whether there are any people in the FCRN group from South America who can confirm this, but from speaking to academics in Brazil, the “cattle as culprits” explanation for forest clearance is over-simplistic. As it’s been explained to me (and I’ve since verified it in the literature), the easiest way to claim land ownership is to “improve” it by clearing the forest and growing something - the easiest thing being cattle on pasture. Then once ownership has been established, something more lucrative (e.g. soya) can be planted. Therefore it’s land ownership that is the issue - if it were cheaper to plant avocados or quinoa than raise cattle, we might be blaming them instead. 

Hope this helps. 

Jude

Dr Jude L. Capper, PhD ARAgS
Livestock Sustainability Consultancy

On 4 Feb 2020, at 17:38, Ray Kowalchuk <editor...@gmail.com> wrote:



Jude Capper

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Feb 4, 2020, 1:47:55 PM2/4/20
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I agree - mutual dependency. 


Dr Jude L. Capper, PhD ARAgS
Livestock Sustainability Consultancy

On 4 Feb 2020, at 18:13, Simon Ward <simon...@increment.co.uk> wrote:



Walter Fraanje

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Feb 5, 2020, 12:05:44 PM2/5/20
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Dear Ray and others,

Many thanks for your comments. Ray, I wouldn’t go as far as to say that the role of soy oil is insignificant as it still accounts for around 1/3 of the overall value of a volume of crushed soybeans. I haven’t looked up any figures, but I assume that bone/gelatine accounts for a much smaller part of the overall value of a slaughtered cow.

There’s some controversy over the extent to which soy production would be driven by the demand for soy oil or soy cake. I believe this to be mainly the result of the difference in the value of a kg soy cake and a kg soy oil: 1 kg soy oil is about twice the value of 1 kg soy cake. This has brought some people to the conclusion that, because a kg oil is more valuable, soy production must be driven by the demand for oil in the first place.

However, as we wrote in the building block, about 80% of the weight of a volume of crushed soybeans consists of soy cake and only 20% of soy oil. If you calculate the value of the oil and the cake as a portion of the overall value of a volume of crushed soybeans, you see that 1/3 of the overall value is covered by the oil and 2/3 by the cake.

For this reason, I wouldn’t agree that soy oil is insignificant as a driver of soy production. Neither would I say that soy crushing would mainly be done for oil extraction, as the value of the cake (as a portion of the overall value of a kg crushed soybeans) is significantly higher and because soy cake is a valuable source of protein for the feed industry. (Simon, I agree that this might be different for other oilseeds.)

Hence our conclusion that it is likely that the growth in soy production has primarily been driven by the demand of soy cake for feed, but that this growth is accommodated by the demand for soy oil.

Perhaps another way of saying this is that I wonder if soy production would have grown to the extent it has, if the cake or the oil would have been of significantly less value to the feed and food&fuel industries respectively.

All the best,
Walter




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Walter Fraanje
Research and Communications officer for Foodsource
Food Climate Research Network  - FCRN
Environmental Change Institute, University of Oxford
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Simon Ward

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Feb 5, 2020, 12:19:08 PM2/5/20
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Oil and meal contribution to soybean value - hand in hand meal has the edge but needs oil too to justify production. 

image.png

Ray Kowalchuk

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Feb 5, 2020, 3:35:38 PM2/5/20
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Dr. Capper,

I am very interested in the ownership issues regarding South American rainforests; you seem to have some insight. Previous to the forest fires (whatever their cause), who owns any given patch of rainforest? The fires come, impairing the richest biodiversity hotspots in the world, driving indigenous people away, putting great amounts of carbon into the atmosphere.  If our plot in question was public/state-owned land, what then happens to the land denuded of foliage? Is it allowed to regrow into forest? It might, if the burning was natural and happened in an inaccessible and unowned part of the Amazon basin. If it's accessible and unowned, is the burned land auctioned, or parcelled out to farmers for development? (Are these "farmers" actually multinational corporations?)

If last year's burning freed up land for development, this year was much more lucrative, with a record number of forest fires that the citizens of the world agree was alarming and tragic.  We can set aside, for the moment, the election of Jair Bolsonaro in Brazil and his overt statements and dogwhistle politics that led to the Day Of Fire, where 70 farmers and land grabbers coordinated a "Day of Fire," where they set areas along a highway ablaze as a gesture to their new president that they "are ready to work."  There must be a solution to prevent ranchers from owning rainforest (the intent is there to burn it and grow cows or feed crops upon it) or to buy degraded land from developers, to interrupt the staged depletion of land (as a Livestock Sustainability Consultant, the repeated land change from forest to pasture to crop to depleted must be frustrating).  

How do we stop this "land ownership issue" where landgrabbers who hold this irresponsible definition of "improvement" ("clearing the forest and growing something - the easiest thing being cattle on pasture.") As you point out, Dr. Capper, it's not cows, avocados, or quinoa, that are the "culprits," the problem is the enabling of opportunists, ranchers being only the most motivated and rewarded when successful. 

Ray Kowalchuk


Ray Kowalchuk

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Feb 5, 2020, 11:55:20 PM2/5/20
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Hi Walter,

Yes, the gelatin for gummy bears was an exaggerated example -- I think it's safe to say that nobody ever killed a cow as an enterprising candy manufacturer!

Regarding the rainforests of South America and elsewhere, the right kind of agriculture with which to replace them of course does not exist.  I've encountered this argument with the vilification of palm oil -- we can put a moratorium on it, boycott it, but it is a hydra -- cut off the most lucrative head and deforestation will resume for the next product, as long as land is seen as something that generates money instead of life, and the jungle as something that inhibits development, instead of promoting a thriving biosphere.

So is agriculture on former rainforest producing a mixed bag of products of equal sin?  The systematic degradation of land draws attention to the land-grabbers as cash-grabbers, taking turns extracting nature's gifts never offered, no semblance of sustainability.  The slash and burn modus operandi is further facilitated by climate change, in both the loss of the moisture regulation of the rainforest (which is, apparently, fireproof when healthy and uncompromised, and the source of "flying rivers" that are responsible for the successful irrigation of the rest of South America).  

I subscribe to the notion that the Amazon Rainforest is a feature of Planet Earth, not a resource for Brazil's President Jair Bolsonaro to monetize. He is not here, but I dare to play his blunt mouthpiece:  What right do those in developed nations, once covered in forests yet denuded over hundreds of years in the construction of their economies, to say that Brazil cannot do the same?  If forests are so precious, why is 40% of the contiguous USA dedicated to the production of cows alone?  Why are they so well-fed, and watered, while a billion people are not? We have our own lessons about extractive land practices to ponder, as we preach. There is a global solution needed here, and an appetite for something other than destruction.

Ray

Dr Jude L. Capper

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Feb 6, 2020, 9:33:31 AM2/6/20
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Ray-

 

Apologies – I told you all that I knew in the email below, except that, although it seems to be trendy to blame everything on multinationals, I haven’t seen any evidence of them being responsible for any of the forest-cattle-crop land ownership issues.

 

However, this paper (https://oxfordre.com/environmentalscience/view/10.1093/acrefore/9780199389414.001.0001/acrefore-9780199389414-e-102) has some useful insights on the same topic that you might be interesting.

 

Cheers,

 

Jude

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Dr Jude L. Capper PhD ARAgS

Livestock Sustainability Consultancy

Email: ju...@livestocksustainability.com

Simon Ward

 

https://docs.google.com/a/increment.co.uk/uc?id=0B0ai2sNvzLONUWd5eFJRUE9FMVU&export=download

We have created The Policy Group to use our experience of policy and pricing analysis to develop a detailed understanding of the implications of Brexit on the agricultural industry.  See www.thepolicygroup.co.uk

Increment Ltd  www.increment.co.uk Tel: 01954 252859: Mobile: 07889 218509:  Email: Simon...@increment.co.uK

Address: 11 Margett Street, Cottenham, Cambridge, CB24 8QY
Increment Ltd is a company registered in England and Wales with company number 4255913. Registered offices at: 11 Margett St, Cottenham, Cambridge, CB24 8QY, United Kingdom This communication is for the attention of the named recipient only, and should not be passed on to any other person. It is sent in good faith, in confidence, and without legal responsibility.

We respect your personal data and only retain the minimum necessary. Our privacy policy is available on https://www.increment.co.uk/privacy-policy/

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Ray Kowalchuk

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Feb 6, 2020, 1:17:53 PM2/6/20
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Dr. Capper,

My mention of multinationals was a speculation, a parenthetical with a question mark...my focus was on Brazilian national farmers, who hedge their bets that a pro-industrialist President isn't going to punish them for montetizing the Lungs of the Earth.  More pointedly, I don't blame cows, I blame ranchers (and if we curb the appetite for the most lucrative products, beef and soy, attention shifts to any deforestation for the sake of avocados or palm oil. 

You've referenced a 25-page, 14,000 word article without specifying what I "might find interesting."  The author, Phillip Fearnside, is certainly credible. I'll give it more of a read later, but I decided to skip to the conclusion:

Is Brazil’s Amazonian Deforestation “Development”?

The term “development” implies a change with an effect that increases human well-being. This is not to be confused with “growth,” which refers to an increase in the throughput of matter and energy in a human society and may or may not benefit well-being (Daly, 1996). Fortunately, development does not necessarily require growth, which is subject to sever planetary limits (Steffen, Richardson, Rockstrom, Cornell, Fetzer, Bennett et al., 2015). Limiting factors within Amazonia restrain many types of use (Fearnside, 1986b1997c; Fearnside & Leal Filho, 2001). To be considered sustainable development, the productive systems must continue to yield their benefits for a very long time, theoretically indefinitely, the Brundtland Commission’s (1987) caveat regarding nonrenewable resources notwithstanding. Many of the most common land uses, such as extensive cattle pasture, are unsustainable (Fearnside, 1983). In the case of cattle pasture, which dominates deforested areas in most of Brazilian Amazonia (Fearnside, 1996; INPE, 2014b), the human population supported per unit area of deforestation is minimal: the productivity and financial benefit are small, and there is even less of a local benefit (Fearnside, 2005a2013a2016c). The question of who benefits is, of course, critical to defining what is development; this author has argued that the people living in Amazonia must be benefited in order for undertakings in the region to be considered “development” (Fearnside, 1997b).



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