Massive unauthorized ocean fertilization experiment now underway

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Tom Goreau

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Mar 2, 2024, 2:13:57 PM3/2/24
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Massive unauthorized ocean fertilization experiment now underway!

 

Houthis sink ship loaded with ammonium nitrate fertilizer.

 

This is the stuff that blew up Beirut.

 

It’s effects on chlorophyll will tell us if a tanker full of fertilizer can “launch a new Ice Age”, as some claim:

 

UK-owned ship attacked by Houthis sinks off Yemen coast

2 hours ago

Share

By Lipika PelhamBBC News

BBC Last week, an image obtained by the BBC showed the Rubymar down by the sternBBC

The Rubymar is the first ship to have been sunk by the Houthis

A British-registered cargo ship has sunk two weeks after being attacked by Houthis in the Gulf of Aden.

Yemen's government said the Rubymar was drifting and taking on water for days before it sank.

It is the first ship to have been sunk by the Iran-backed rebels in Yemen since they began targeting vessels in the Red Sea.

The ship was reportedly carrying fertilisers and experts say the sinking risks "an environmental catastrophe".

The Rubymar was in the Gulf of Aden near the Bab al-Mandab Strait when it was hit by two missiles fired by Yemen-based Houthi rebels.

Ten days ago, the British government said that the vessel had been taking in water and all its 24 crew had been rescued.

The BBC obtained an image of the ship on 21 February, which showed it submerged at the stern, but still afloat.

The vessel's owners said at the time that it was being towed to nearby Djibouti but could yet sink. It said it was unable to confirm it had given there was no one aboard.

The vessel was flying under a Belize flag and operated by a Lebanese firm. It is believed to have been carrying a cargo of ammonium nitrate fertiliser.

The prime minister of Yemen's internationally recognised government, Ahmed Awad Bin Mubarak, called the ship's sinking "an unprecedented environmental disaster".

Greenpeace said a spill of ammonium nitrate could have "significant impacts on marine ecosystems".

Since November, the Houthi rebels have been carrying out attacks on ships linked to Israel in the Red Sea and the Gulf of Aden, saying their actions are in support of the Palestinians in Gaza.

Source: Acled, December 2023

Source: Acled, December 2023

The US and the UK have carried out a series of attacks on Houthi targets inside Yemen in response.

On Saturday, the UK Maritime Trade body, UKMTO, said it had received a report of a ship being attacked west of Yemen's port of Mokha.

The UKMTO said: "The crew took the vessel to anchor and were evacuated by military authorities".

Separately, the UKMTO reported a ship sinking, close to where the Rubymar was last seen.

The US Central Command said it carried out "a self-defence strike" against a Houthi surface-to-air missile that was about to be launched from Yemen.

The command said the missile had presented an imminent threat to US aircraft.

The rebels' attacks on merchant vessels in the Red Sea have prompted many shipping companies to stop using the waterway, through which about 12% of global seaborne trade passes.

Despite more than a month of air strikes against Houthi targets by the US-led naval coalition, the rebels remain capable of carrying out significant attacks.

They insist the attacks will continue until Israel stops its military campaign against Hamas in the Gaza Strip.

 

 

Anderson, Paul

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Mar 2, 2024, 2:41:09 PM3/2/24
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It will be better if a statement about possible future CLIMATE impacts of this “experiment” are made by our experts on ocean fertilization instead of being left to speculative comments by media and the general public.   Please post all such statements to our discussion groups.

 

Paul

 

Doc / Dr TLUD / Paul S. Anderson, PhD

Email:  psan...@ilstu.edu       Skype:   paultlud     Mobile & WhatsApp: 309-531-4434

Website:    https://woodgas.com see Resources page for 2023 “Roadmap for Climate Intervention with Biochar” and 2020 white paper, 2) RoCC kilns, and 3) TLUD stove technology.                       

 

From: healthy-planet-...@googlegroups.com <healthy-planet-...@googlegroups.com> On Behalf Of Tom Goreau
Sent: Saturday, March 2, 2024 1:14 PM
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Cc: Michael MacCracken <mmac...@comcast.net>; robert...@gmail.com; Suzanne Reed <csuzann...@gmail.com>; H simmens <hsim...@gmail.com>
Subject: [HPAC] Massive unauthorized ocean fertilization experiment now underway

 

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Gregory Slater

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Mar 2, 2024, 2:58:32 PM3/2/24
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Shouldn't we be throwing all kinds of sensors in the Red Sea in that area right now to monitor the progress of the Houthi climate 'experiment'?

 - Greg Slater


On Mar 2, 2024, at 11:13 AM, Tom Goreau <gor...@globalcoral.org> wrote:

Massive unauthorized ocean fertilization experiment now underway!
 
Houthis sink ship loaded with ammonium nitrate fertilizer.
 
This is the stuff that blew up Beirut.
 
It’s effects on chlorophyll will tell us if a tanker full of fertilizer can “launch a new Ice Age”, as some claim:
 
UK-owned ship attacked by Houthis sinks off Yemen coast
2 hours ago
Share
By Lipika PelhamBBC News
<image001.png>BBC
The Rubymar is the first ship to have been sunk by the Houthis
A British-registered cargo ship has sunk two weeks after being attacked by Houthis in the Gulf of Aden.
Yemen's government said the Rubymar was drifting and taking on water for days before it sank.
It is the first ship to have been sunk by the Iran-backed rebels in Yemen since they began targeting vessels in the Red Sea.
The ship was reportedly carrying fertilisers and experts say the sinking risks "an environmental catastrophe".
The Rubymar was in the Gulf of Aden near the Bab al-Mandab Strait when it was hit by two missiles fired by Yemen-based Houthi rebels.
Ten days ago, the British government said that the vessel had been taking in water and all its 24 crew had been rescued.
The BBC obtained an image of the ship on 21 February, which showed it submerged at the stern, but still afloat.
The vessel's owners said at the time that it was being towed to nearby Djibouti but could yet sink. It said it was unable to confirm it had given there was no one aboard.
The vessel was flying under a Belize flag and operated by a Lebanese firm. It is believed to have been carrying a cargo of ammonium nitrate fertiliser.
The prime minister of Yemen's internationally recognised government, Ahmed Awad Bin Mubarak, called the ship's sinking "an unprecedented environmental disaster".
Greenpeace said a spill of ammonium nitrate could have "significant impacts on marine ecosystems".
Since November, the Houthi rebels have been carrying out attacks on ships linked to Israel in the Red Sea and the Gulf of Aden, saying their actions are in support of the Palestinians in Gaza.
<image002.png>
Source: Acled, December 2023
The US and the UK have carried out a series of attacks on Houthi targets inside Yemen in response.
On Saturday, the UK Maritime Trade body, UKMTO, said it had received a report of a ship being attacked west of Yemen's port of Mokha.
The UKMTO said: "The crew took the vessel to anchor and were evacuated by military authorities".
Separately, the UKMTO reported a ship sinking, close to where the Rubymar was last seen.
The US Central Command said it carried out "a self-defence strike" against a Houthi surface-to-air missile that was about to be launched from Yemen.
The command said the missile had presented an imminent threat to US aircraft.
The rebels' attacks on merchant vessels in the Red Sea have prompted many shipping companies to stop using the waterway, through which about 12% of global seaborne trade passes.
Despite more than a month of air strikes against Houthi targets by the US-led naval coalition, the rebels remain capable of carrying out significant attacks.
They insist the attacks will continue until Israel stops its military campaign against Hamas in the Gaza Strip.
 
 

Tom Goreau

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Mar 2, 2024, 3:18:52 PM3/2/24
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You’d have to pay Houthis “protection money”, for CDR to be monitored with sediment traps.

 

Satellite chlorophyll may be all we have, not sure if that is available in near real time?

Jeff Suchon

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Mar 2, 2024, 3:31:11 PM3/2/24
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The salmon in the pacific. Years ago. The dust from the Sahara doesn't ferilize the central ocean. Been there years ago.
Today is one of our last days unless we scream to governments to ramp up childish funding of mitigation and adaptation.
We will be what choose.
It's the choosades.
Heated times. Outta times.

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Gregory Slater

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Mar 2, 2024, 4:55:38 PM3/2/24
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hmmm...I'm going to send a letter to Yemen, addressed to the Houthi Dept. of Climate Engineering Research....what's the worst that can happen?

Tom Goreau

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Mar 2, 2024, 6:04:45 PM3/2/24
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Wouldn’t you have guessed? The Bab el Mandeb is a black hole in the “near real time satellite maps”! So we’ll not know for a LONG time if they start an Ice Age in Yemen.

 

 

 

Thomas J. F. Goreau, PhD
President, Global Coral Reef Alliance

Chief Scientist, Blue Regeneration SL
President, Biorock Technology Inc.

Technical Advisor, Blue Guardians Programme, SIDS DOCK

37 Pleasant Street, Cambridge, MA 02139

gor...@globalcoral.org
www.globalcoral.org
Skype: tomgoreau
Tel: (1) 617-864-4226 (leave message)

 

Books:

Geotherapy: Innovative Methods of Soil Fertility Restoration, Carbon Sequestration, and Reversing CO2 Increase

http://www.crcpress.com/product/isbn/9781466595392

 

Innovative Methods of Marine Ecosystem Restoration

http://www.crcpress.com/product/isbn/9781466557734

 

Geotherapy: Regenerating ecosystem services to reverse climate change

 

No one can change the past, everybody can change the future

 

It’s much later than we think, especially if we don’t think

 

Those with their heads in the sand will see the light when global warming and sea level rise wash the beach away

 

“When you run to the rocks, the rocks will be melting, when you run to the sea, the sea will be boiling”, Peter Tosh, Jamaica’s greatest song writer

 

 

 

Jeff Suchon

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Mar 2, 2024, 6:07:02 PM3/2/24
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Welcome to climate pitigation.

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Greg Rau

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Mar 2, 2024, 6:21:46 PM3/2/24
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Unless the local phytoplankton are N limited, there won't be a phyto N nutrrient response, but the hydration of ammonium nitrate does yield an acidic sollution, so posibly some local bio effects from that, not to mention loss of CO2 solubility as local seawater pH drops. Also about 10% of the added NH4+ will convert to NH3 as pH rises to about 8 with seawater dilution. That's not good for marine life. Another fun fact is that the hydration of NH4NO3 is endothermic, meaning that heat is consumed and the solution gets colder (the ingredient in cold packs). A nice, coldwater plume to observed from space? But NH4NO3 is usually stored in watertight containers
so maybe only those hit in the attack will leak, but as sealed conainers sink they may implode depending on depth.  Then there's the loss of food production via fertilizer loss. Anyway, humans - the grand experiment in sustainable co-existence continues.
Greg

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Jeff Suchon

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Mar 2, 2024, 7:36:14 PM3/2/24
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GODDAMMIT! I'm hot as hell! I can't take it anymore! I want you to walk to your open windows and shout that out! We are heaten citizens! 
I don't know if any of you remember "Network". This is a real time permutation.

Tom Goreau

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Mar 2, 2024, 7:59:20 PM3/2/24
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There’s strong vertical stratification in the Bab el Mandeb and a complex pattern of seasonal mixing depending on whether water is flowing from the Red Sea or from the Gulf of Aden.

 

So without direct measurements of carbon and nitrogen transformations in the water it’ll be very hard to figure out where all this ammonium nitrate will end up, or if Martin was right that sinking a tanker full of iron as well as nitrogen will trigger re-glaciation of Greenland and Antarctica.:

 

Remote Sensing the Phytoplankton Seasonal Succession of the Red Sea

·         Dionysios E. Raitsos  ,

·         Yaswant Pradhan ,

·         Robert J. W. Brewin,

·         Georgiy Stenchikov,

·         Ibrahim Hoteit

PLOS

Abstract

The Red Sea holds one of the most diverse marine ecosystems, primarily due to coral reefs. However, knowledge on large-scale phytoplankton dynamics is limited. Analysis of a 10-year high resolution Chlorophyll-a (Chl-a) dataset, along with remotely-sensed sea surface temperature and wind, provided a detailed description of the spatiotemporal seasonal succession of phytoplankton biomass in the Red Sea. Based on MODIS (Moderate-resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer) data, four distinct Red Sea provinces and seasons are suggested, covering the major patterns of surface phytoplankton production. The Red Sea Chl-a depicts a distinct seasonality with maximum concentrations seen during the winter time (attributed to vertical mixing in the north and wind-induced horizontal intrusion of nutrient-rich water in the south), and minimum concentrations during the summer (associated with strong seasonal stratification). The initiation of the seasonal succession occurs in autumn and lasts until early spring. However, weekly Chl-a seasonal succession data revealed that during the month of June, consistent anti-cyclonic eddies transfer nutrients and/or Chl-a to the open waters of the central Red Sea. This phenomenon occurs during the stratified nutrient depleted season, and thus could provide an important source of nutrients to the open waters. Remotely-sensed synoptic observations highlight that Chl-a does not increase regularly from north to south as previously thought. The Northern part of the Central Red Sea province appears to be the most oligotrophic area (opposed to southern and northern domains). This is likely due to the absence of strong mixing, which is apparent at the northern end of the Red Sea, and low nutrient intrusion in comparison with the southern end. Although the Red Sea is considered an oligotrophic sea, sporadic blooms occur that reach mesotrophic levels. The water temperature and the prevailing winds control the nutrient concentrations within the euphotic zone and enable the horizontal transportation of nutrients.

Brian Cady

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Mar 3, 2024, 10:31:02 AM3/3/24
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Greg Rau: "Unless the local phytoplankton are N limited, there won't be a phyto N nutrrient response,"

BC: I think this is a very perceptive comment. Wouldn't Martin's 'Ice-age-inducing' tanker be filled with an iron-containing solution, and deployed in HNLC water like the Antarctic Ocean or the North Pacific, where trace iron levels are below even vanadium levels?

Brian
-

Tom Goreau

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Mar 31, 2024, 11:27:42 AM3/31/24
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Satellite chlorophyll maps don’t show signs of massive blooms after sinking a rusty steel tanker full of ammonium nitrate.

 

Note the area is chock full of wind-blown iron dust from the Sahara and Arabia.

 

This does not appear promising for Ocean Fertilization CDR?

 

Thomas J. F. Goreau, PhD
President, Global Coral Reef Alliance

Chief Scientist, Blue Regeneration SL
President, Biorock Technology Inc.

Technical Advisor, Blue Guardians Programme, SIDS DOCK

37 Pleasant Street, Cambridge, MA 02139

gor...@globalcoral.org
www.globalcoral.org
Skype: tomgoreau
Tel: (1) 617-864-4226 (leave message)

 

Books:

Geotherapy: Innovative Methods of Soil Fertility Restoration, Carbon Sequestration, and Reversing CO2 Increase

http://www.crcpress.com/product/isbn/9781466595392

 

Innovative Methods of Marine Ecosystem Restoration

http://www.crcpress.com/product/isbn/9781466557734

 

Geotherapy: Regenerating ecosystem services to reverse climate change

 

No one can change the past, everybody can change the future

 

It’s much later than we think, especially if we don’t think

 

Those with their heads in the sand will see the light when global warming and sea level rise wash the beach away

 

“When you run to the rocks, the rocks will be melting, when you run to the sea, the sea will be boiling”, Peter Tosh, Jamaica’s greatest song writer

 

 

 

 

Tom Goreau

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Mar 31, 2024, 12:58:10 PM3/31/24
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To be sure it will be a mystery until one is able to dive on the site to see, not soon under the current conditions!

 

From: David Price <da...@pricenet.ca>
Date: Sunday, March 31, 2024 at 11:52

AM
To: Tom Goreau <gor...@globalcoral.org>
Cc: CarbonDiox...@googlegroups.com <CarbonDiox...@googlegroups.com>, healthy-planet-action-coalition <healthy-planet-...@googlegroups.com>, Michael MacCracken <mmac...@comcast.net>, robert...@gmail.com <robert...@gmail.com>, Suzanne Reed <csuzann...@gmail.com>, H simmens <hsim...@gmail.com>
Subject: Re: [HPAC] No blooms after massive unauthorized ocean fertilization experiment now underway

It’s not really a good analogy to “an experiment”! The entire load presumably went down with the ship. It won’t all have 

leaked out yet (assuming the damage is allowing it to leak—which I’m guessing nobody knows!). In the immediate vicinity of the ship, if is leaking, the concentrations could be highly superoptimal—and quite possibly toxic to all marine life—within a few hundred meters of the ship’s location. 

 

Moreover, most of it is going to be leaking at depth—conceivably where seawater is not mixing rapidly and where light levels are too low for abundant phytoplankton growth. 

 

Not saying I am in favour of OIF or not: just I think we have to treat this with a fair amount of skepticism.

 

David

 

From my cellphone

 

I acknowledge that I reside on unceded Traditional Territory 

of the Secwépemc People

 

 



On 31 Mar 2024, at 08:27, Tom Goreau <gor...@globalcoral.org> wrote:



<image001.png>

BBC

The Rubymar is the first ship to have been sunk by the Houthis

A British-registered cargo ship has sunk two weeks after being attacked by Houthis in the Gulf of Aden.

Yemen's government said the Rubymar was drifting and taking on water for days before it sank.

It is the first ship to have been sunk by the Iran-backed rebels in Yemen since they began targeting vessels in the Red Sea.

The ship was reportedly carrying fertilisers and experts say the sinking risks "an environmental catastrophe".

The Rubymar was in the Gulf of Aden near the Bab al-Mandab Strait when it was hit by two missiles fired by Yemen-based Houthi rebels.

Ten days ago, the British government said that the vessel had been taking in water and all its 24 crew had been rescued.

The BBC obtained an image of the ship on 21 February, which showed it submerged at the stern, but still afloat.

The vessel's owners said at the time that it was being towed to nearby Djibouti but could yet sink. It said it was unable to confirm it had given there was no one aboard.

The vessel was flying under a Belize flag and operated by a Lebanese firm. It is believed to have been carrying a cargo of ammonium nitrate fertiliser.

The prime minister of Yemen's internationally recognised government, Ahmed Awad Bin Mubarak, called the ship's sinking "an unprecedented environmental disaster".

Greenpeace said a spill of ammonium nitrate could have "significant impacts on marine ecosystems".

Since November, the Houthi rebels have been carrying out attacks on ships linked to Israel in the Red Sea and the Gulf of Aden, saying their actions are in support of the Palestinians in Gaza.

<image002.png>

Source: Acled, December 2023

The US and the UK have carried out a series of attacks on Houthi targets inside Yemen in response.

On Saturday, the UK Maritime Trade body, UKMTO, said it had received a report of a ship being attacked west of Yemen's port of Mokha.

The UKMTO said: "The crew took the vessel to anchor and were evacuated by military authorities".

Separately, the UKMTO reported a ship sinking, close to where the Rubymar was last seen.

The US Central Command said it carried out "a self-defence strike" against a Houthi surface-to-air missile that was about to be launched from Yemen.

The command said the missile had presented an imminent threat to US aircraft.

The rebels' attacks on merchant vessels in the Red Sea have prompted many shipping companies to stop using the waterway, through which about 12% of global seaborne trade passes.

Despite more than a month of air strikes against Houthi targets by the US-led naval coalition, the rebels remain capable of carrying out significant attacks.

They insist the attacks will continue until Israel stops its military campaign against Hamas in the Gaza Strip.

 

 

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Brian Cady

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Mar 31, 2024, 4:32:10 PM3/31/24
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What nutrients are limiting here?

Brian
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Michael Hayes

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Mar 31, 2024, 4:55:52 PM3/31/24
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Tom, I looked into the biochem details of that particular area. 

Bab-el-Mandeb is hypersaline and thus the native microbial life may not be in need of the ammonium. Salinity directly affects the release of ammonium from sediment particles through ion exchange and thus the local biota is likely accustomed to rather high levels. 

If anything, any released fertilizer would likely be toxic. Also, if/when a large release happens, I would watch further up into the Red sea for a new or expanded dead zone as that is the direction of the current....or an unlikely biotic bloom.

Effect of salinity on nitrification efficiency and structure of ammonia-oxidizing bacterial communities in a submerged fixed bed bioreactor

Cortés-Lorenzo a b, M. Rodríguez-Díaz a, D. Sipkema b, B. Juárez-Jiménez a, B. Rodelas a, H. Smidt b, J. González-López 

https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S1385894714017069

Thanks for spurring on the very interesting reading.

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Tom Goreau

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Mar 31, 2024, 5:18:18 PM3/31/24
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Probably nitrogen and phosphorus.

 

From: Brian Cady <brianc...@gmail.com>
Date: Sunday, March 31, 2024 at 4:32

PM

Tom Goreau

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Mar 31, 2024, 5:23:19 PM3/31/24
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No its not hypersaline at all, there is strong wind driven mixing across the shallow sill between the Red Sea and the Indian Ocean via the Gulf of Aden.

 

The incoming surface water from GA has an average salinity of 36.5psu and an average temperature of 26{28C while the lower layer outflow of the Red Sea deep water has an average salinity of 40.5psu and an average temperature of 21.5C.

Michael Hayes

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Mar 31, 2024, 5:40:45 PM3/31/24
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If, a big IF, some form of OIF work gets seriously proposed and funded, using the post glacial time when massive amounts of organic biomass got flushed into the Red sea may work as some form of proxy.




Influence of seawater exchanges across the Bab-el-Mandeb Strait on sedimentation in the Southern Red Sea during the last 60 ka

Tom Goreau

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Mar 31, 2024, 5:45:11 PM3/31/24
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During the Ice Ages the Red Sea was cut off from the Indian Ocean and the Red Sea became saltier, but not by very much:

 

Red Sea outflow during the last glacial maximum

E.J. Rohling , W.J. Zachariasse 

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https://doi.org/10.1016/1040-6182(95)00023-CGet rights and content

Abstract

The Red Sea is connected to the Gulf of Aden, and hence to the Arabian Sea, via the Strait of Bab-el-Mandab, which is only about 20 km wide and 300 m deep. The shallowest part of the passage, however, lies about 140 km further basin-inward, near greater Hanish Island. That passage is only 137 m deep, while the channel deeper than 120 m is only 11 km wide. Foraminiferal and isotopic studies suggest that the inflow-outflow salinity contrast at Bab-el-Mandab was about 10‰ during the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM), compared with 3.1‰ at present. Calculation of maximal outflow during the LGM suggests that it was about 14% of the present-day value, while the density of this outflow was around 1035 kg m−3, compared to the modern value of about 1029 kg m−3. Therefore, it seems very likely that this outflow played no role of importance in the intermediate water ventilation of the Arabian Sea during the LGM. The Persian Gulf influence on this ventilation may be excluded as well, since the very shallow Persian Gulf was completely above sea level during the LGM. It is anticipated that, among other influences, LGM curtailment of these sources for intermediate depth ventilation should be reflected in the intensity and extent of the Oxygen Minimum Zone (OMZ) in the Arabian Sea. Other sources may have become important, such as northward penetration of Antarctic Intermediate Water. The Institute for Paleoenvironment and Paleoclimate Utrecht has recently participated in the 1992 Netherlands Indian Ocean Expedition, with the intention to determine Late Quaternary variations in the intensity and extent of the Arabian Sea OMZ in transects of cores recovered across its lower dept limit.

Tom Goreau

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Mar 31, 2024, 5:48:12 PM3/31/24
to Michael Hayes, David Price, Carbon Dioxide Removal, healthy-planet-action-coalition, Michael MacCracken, Robert Chris, Suzanne Reed, H simmens

Bhaskar M V

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Apr 1, 2024, 1:30:50 AM4/1/24
to Carbon Dioxide Removal
The ship only had Ammonium Nitrate, it did not have Phosphorus.
So it is possible that Algae has not bloomed due to lack of Phosphorus.

Regards

Bhaskar

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