According to Wayne Madsen Report,
If Trump refuses to leave office, some U.S. embassies abroad may be up for grabs.
August 4-5, 2020 -- Gaming Trump's undemocratic intentions
Washington
Recently, leading players in the Democratic and Republican Parties conducted "war games" that dealt with Donald Trump refusing to concede an electoral loss to Democratic candidate Joe Biden. The gaming scenarios included one in which Trump refuses to leave the White House on Inauguration Day, January 20, 2021.
The games were carried out on-line in June by a group called the "Transition Integrity Project" and included as participants John Podesta, the chief of staff to Presidents Bill Clinton and Barack Obama; Michael Steele, former Republican National Committee chairman; retired Army Colonel Larry Wilkerson, former chief of staff to Secretary of State Colin Powell; former Michigan Democratic Governor Jennifer Granholm; conservative pundit Bill Kristol; and former Republican political consultants and members of Congress.
Trump has repeatedly told interviewers that be may decline to concede an election he believed was "rigged" or otherwise "unfair." Both Biden and House Speaker Nancy Pelosi have voiced fears that Trump may refuse to leave office if he loses the November 3 election. In July, Biden told "The Daily Show" host Trevor Noah, "I am absolutely convinced they [the military] will escort him [Trump] from the White House with great dispatch [if he refuses to leave]." Pelosi, fearing that the presidential transition will not be orderly, told MS-NBC, "It has nothing to do with [whether] the certain occupant of the White House doesn’t feel like moving and has to be fumigated out of there.”
There is another possibility that the Transition Integrity Project may or may not have considered. That is Trump, refusing to concede an electoral loss, simply declares himself to be a rival president outside of the White House. Such a scenario may conjure up images of an "emperor with no clothes" issuing meaningless dictates from his Mar-a-Lago club in Palm Beach or from the penthouse of Trump Tower in New York, but there could be other ramifications.
If Trump refuses to concede, he could authorize the formation of a government-in-exile abroad. Trump's Russian friends have already shown a keen interest in backing U.S. secessionist groups. One such group led by American Louis Marinelli, a former Saint Petersburg State University (Vladimir Putin's alma mater) student. Marinelli, from Russian soil, has been calling for California's secession. Marinelli's group, Yes California (formerly called Sovereign California), may claim it is based in San Diego, but in reality, he commands the group from his apartment in Yekaterinburg in Siberia. Russia has also promoted the Texas independence movement, a right-wing group that has subsided politically during the Trump administration but will most certainly become active again during a Biden administration, just as it was during Barack Obama's presidency.
Trump has in place in several U.S. embassies abroad ambassadors who are totally committed to Trump. These ambassadors, particularly the hyperactive and highly-opinionated Richard Grenell in Berlin and the romanticist of Nazis, Pete Hoekstra, in Wassenaar, Netherlands [right] may refuse to leave their posts upon a Biden victory. Moreover, these pro-Trump activist ambassadors may continue to insist to the governments to which they are accredited that they continue to represent the "legitimate" president, Trump. A President Biden could and likely would order the embassies' U.S. Marine detachments to escort pro-Trump renegade ambassadors from embassy grounds, but that would also involve the host countries' police forces and televised footage of the various standoffs would further agitate Trump supporters at home and abroad.
Trump adviser Steve Bannon has formed an alliance of fascist parties and activists around Europe, Latin America, and other countries. Pro-Trump renegade ambassadors could merely call on various pro-Trump fascist groups to help defend U.S. embassies by sending their cadres into various posts to help disarm the Marine contingents, expel diplomats loyal to the new president -- Biden -- and protect the embassy grounds from local police who may accede to Washington's requests to storm the premises.
Trump has appointed more political ambassadors, rather than career diplomats, than any previous presidents. These political cronies, for the most part, will take their orders not from Biden or his Secretary of State, but from a rival Trump presidency and a rival Secretary of State Mike Pompeo. A diplomatic war between Biden and a recalcitrant Trump may play out before the news cameras in places like Reykjavik, where Trump is represented in Iceland by an acerbic dermatologist and Trump campaign donor, Jeffrey Ross Gunter.
Trump billionaire campaign donor Woody Johnson, the overtly-racist and corrupt U.S. ambassador to the Court of St. James, could stage a major diplomatic brouhaha in London, one of the world's most active media centers. And Mar-a-Lago club member and handbag designer Lana Marks, Trump's ambassador in Pretoria, could rely on some of Bannon's die-hard pro-apartheid fans in South Africa to provide the muscle to keep the U.S. embassy in South Africa in the hands of a Trump government-in-exile.
Defeated governments establishing governments-in-exile and maintaining control of embassies abroad have historical precedents. Upon the fall of the Spanish Republic in 1939 to General Francisco Franco's fascist forces, the republic continued to enjoy diplomatic support in exile. The Republican government-in-exile continued to hold the keys to Spanish embassies and legations in Mexico City, Belgrade, Panama City, Caracas, Warsaw, Budapest, Bucharest, Prague, and Guatemala City. The Spanish Republic continued to own the Spanish embassy in Mexico City until 1977 and the dissolution of the government-in-exile.
After the 1944 Soviet re-annexation of Estonia, Latvia, and Lithuania, the ambassadors and envoys of these nations continued to operate in the United States, Australia, Britain and other countries. The Estonian exiled government operated from Oslo and its legation in New York was run out of the Estonian consulate. Latvian legations and consulates continued to be recognized in London, Washington, Buenos Aires, Rio de Janeiro, Melbourne, Brussels, Toronto, St. John's (Newfoundland), Copenhagen, Paris, Hamburg, Rotterdam, Stockholm, Oslo, and Geneva. Although there was no Latvian government-in-exile per se, the Latvian legation in Washington served many of the functions of one. Similarly, the Lithuanian diplomatic service continued to represent the interests of Lithuania from its legation in Washington. However, Lithuanian diplomatic property in Italy, Germany, Sweden, and France was turned over to the Soviet government.
More recently, the government of Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro and rival "president," opposition leader Juan Guaido, have battled for control of Venezuelan embassies abroad, including the mission in Washington, DC.
Governments-in-exile have come with varying degrees of diplomatic might. The Spanish and Baltic States, as well as the Sahrawi Arab Democratic Republic, currently headquartered in exile in Algeria and with diplomatic relations with 40 United Nations member states, serve as examples. Others, lacking a major diplomatic presence abroad, the Tibetan government-in-exile in Dharamsala, India, for example, have much less clout.
Trump's close ties with Presidents Jair Bolsonaro of Brazil, Vladimir Putin of Russia, Rodrigo Duterte of the Philippines, Andrzej Duda of Poland, Recep Tayyip Erdogan of Turkey, and Ivan Duque of Colombia, as well as Prime Minister Viktor Orban of Hungary and Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, could present a rival Trump presidency with more than an iota of diplomatic strength and a major unneeded headache for a President Biden.
https://www.waynemadsenreport.com/articles/august-45-2020-gaming-trumps-undemocratic-intentions