Rigged Polls

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Humphry Hamilton

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Oct 28, 2016, 1:34:04 AM10/28/16
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Here is an email supposedly from Podesta talking about oversampling poll results in other words “correcting them”.  It has been alleged that this is how they have been messing with the polls so as to discourage voters and ultimately change their vote.

 

It would explain why the polls have been inaccurate of late.

 

https://wikileaks.org/podesta-emails/emailid/26551

 

http://www.collective-evolution.com/2016/10/27/new-podesta-email-reveals-strategy-for-rigging-polls-by-oversampling/

 

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-10-23/new-podesta-email-exposes-dem-playbook-rigging-polls-through-oversamples

 

Humphry

 

Dewald Pieterse

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Oct 28, 2016, 2:20:57 AM10/28/16
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So polls like science is biased..
All about the data you disregard if doesn't suit your hockeystick or overcount if it does.

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Jaco Strauss

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Oct 28, 2016, 2:34:07 AM10/28/16
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Indeed

But Operation Veritas is of course revealing a lot more than just "over sampling". The "Democrats" are not all that democratic after all...

And if they are not resisting Voter Identification they are blaming the Russians for all their election problems, real or imagined.

#BestElectionEver

Mark Heaton

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Oct 28, 2016, 3:10:22 AM10/28/16
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Jaco ... don't know where you get that inane # best election ever garbage from. To me this is probably the worst possible election between the two of the most unpopular and unsuitable candidates ever.

I despair for the US and the planet whichever is elected.


On Fri, 28 Oct 2016, 8:34 AM Jaco Strauss <jacos...@gmail.com> wrote:

Indeed

But Operation Veritas is of course revealing a lot more than just "over sampling". The "Democrats" are not all that democratic after all...

And if they are not resisting Voter Identification they are blaming the Russians for all their election problems, real or imagined.

#BestElectionEver

On 28 Oct 2016 08:20, "Dewald Pieterse" <dewald....@gmail.com> wrote:
So polls like science is biased..
All about the data you disregard if doesn't suit your hockeystick or overcount if it does.
On 28 October 2016 at 07:33, Humphry Hamilton <hwham...@icon.co.za> wrote:

Here is an email supposedly from Podesta talking about oversampling poll results in other words “correcting them”.  It has been alleged that this is how they have been messing with the polls so as to discourage voters and ultimately change their vote.

 

It would explain why the polls have been inaccurate of late.

 

https://wikileaks.org/podesta-emails/emailid/26551

 

http://www.collective-evolution.com/2016/10/27/new-podesta-email-reveals-strategy-for-rigging-polls-by-oversampling/

 

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-10-23/new-podesta-email-exposes-dem-playbook-rigging-polls-through-oversamples

 

Humphry

 

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Dewald Pieterse

Ludwig von Mises, Liberalism, page 55: "A free man must be able to endure it when his fellow men act and live otherwise than he considers proper. He must free himself from the habit, just as soon as something does not please him, of calling for the police.".

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Humphry Hamilton

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Oct 28, 2016, 3:20:42 AM10/28/16
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Exactly, they are literally risking war with Russia in order to stop Trump, fortunately Putin understands exactly what is going on and can hopefully restrain himself.  It seems unbelievable that thy would risk the lives of thousands, if not millions just so that they can continue doing what they have been doing for years.  But then they did the same thing in 9/11, sacrificed thousands of lives to get what they wanted.

 

This is what happens to democracies, the tail starts wagging the dog.  Eventually the dog will notice and put a stop to it.

 

From: li...@googlegroups.com [mailto:li...@googlegroups.com] On Behalf Of Jaco Strauss
Sent: 28 October 2016 08:34 AM
To: Libsa
Subject: Re: [Libsa] Rigged Polls

 

Indeed

But Operation Veritas is of course revealing a lot more than just "over sampling". The "Democrats" are not all that democratic after all...

And if they are not resisting Voter Identification they are blaming the Russians for all their election problems, real or imagined.

#BestElectionEver

On 28 Oct 2016 08:20, "Dewald Pieterse" <dewald....@gmail.com> wrote:

So polls like science is biased..

All about the data you disregard if doesn't suit your hockeystick or overcount if it does.

On 28 October 2016 at 07:33, Humphry Hamilton <hwham...@icon.co.za> wrote:

Here is an email supposedly from Podesta talking about oversampling poll results in other words “correcting them”.  It has been alleged that this is how they have been messing with the polls so as to discourage voters and ultimately change their vote.

 

It would explain why the polls have been inaccurate of late.

 

https://wikileaks.org/podesta-emails/emailid/26551

 

http://www.collective-evolution.com/2016/10/27/new-podesta-email-reveals-strategy-for-rigging-polls-by-oversampling/

 

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-10-23/new-podesta-email-exposes-dem-playbook-rigging-polls-through-oversamples

 

Humphry

 

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Dewald Pieterse

Ludwig von Mises, Liberalism, page 55: "A free man must be able to endure it when his fellow men act and live otherwise than he considers proper. He must free himself from the habit, just as soon as something does not please him, of calling for the police.".

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Dewald Pieterse

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Oct 28, 2016, 3:34:52 AM10/28/16
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If this breaks the people's trust in this elaborate show biz ruse that keeps the industrial military complex plumb by thieving on the populace to sponsor their goods while the youth of the populace is used to expend the goods that has to be #BestElectionEver!

On 28 October 2016 at 09:20, Humphry Hamilton <hwham...@icon.co.za> wrote:

Exactly, they are literally risking war with Russia in order to stop Trump, fortunately Putin understands exactly what is going on and can hopefully restrain himself.  It seems unbelievable that thy would risk the lives of thousands, if not millions just so that they can continue doing what they have been doing for years.  But then they did the same thing in 9/11, sacrificed thousands of lives to get what they wanted.

 

This is what happens to democracies, the tail starts wagging the dog.  Eventually the dog will notice and put a stop to it.

 

From: li...@googlegroups.com [mailto:li...@googlegroups.com] On Behalf Of Jaco Strauss
Sent: 28 October 2016 08:34 AM
To: Libsa
Subject: Re: [Libsa] Rigged Polls

 

Indeed

But Operation Veritas is of course revealing a lot more than just "over sampling". The "Democrats" are not all that democratic after all...

And if they are not resisting Voter Identification they are blaming the Russians for all their election problems, real or imagined.

#BestElectionEver

On 28 Oct 2016 08:20, "Dewald Pieterse" <dewald....@gmail.com> wrote:

So polls like science is biased..

All about the data you disregard if doesn't suit your hockeystick or overcount if it does.

On 28 October 2016 at 07:33, Humphry Hamilton <hwham...@icon.co.za> wrote:

Here is an email supposedly from Podesta talking about oversampling poll results in other words “correcting them”.  It has been alleged that this is how they have been messing with the polls so as to discourage voters and ultimately change their vote.

 

It would explain why the polls have been inaccurate of late.

 

https://wikileaks.org/podesta-emails/emailid/26551

 

http://www.collective-evolution.com/2016/10/27/new-podesta-email-reveals-strategy-for-rigging-polls-by-oversampling/

 

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-10-23/new-podesta-email-exposes-dem-playbook-rigging-polls-through-oversamples

 

Humphry

 

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--

Dewald Pieterse

Ludwig von Mises, Liberalism, page 55: "A free man must be able to endure it when his fellow men act and live otherwise than he considers proper. He must free himself from the habit, just as soon as something does not please him, of calling for the police.".

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Humphry Hamilton

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Oct 28, 2016, 3:44:25 AM10/28/16
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No Mark, this is an important election, regardless of the outcome, Trump is a revolution as he is not part of the establishment.  This is not an election of republican vs democrat, if it was then you would be correct.  This is an election of the people vs the government and in this regard Trump is a revelation.  Who in their right mind would go up against the might of the US government?  You need to be an egomaniac like Trump to even consider it and so I put up with this side of his character.

 

Your despair is well founded but it is not caused by the candidates but by the position the US finds itself in the cycle of empire building, debt and subsequent collapse.

 

From: li...@googlegroups.com [mailto:li...@googlegroups.com] On Behalf Of Mark Heaton
Sent: 28 October 2016 09:10 AM
To: li...@googlegroups.com
Subject: Re: [Libsa] Rigged Polls

 

Jaco ... don't know where you get that inane # best election ever garbage from. To me this is probably the worst possible election between the two of the most unpopular and unsuitable candidates ever.

Jaco Strauss

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Oct 28, 2016, 4:29:23 AM10/28/16
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Sorry Mark, but I have not enjoyed an election this much since Reagan 84, when he carried 49 states...

It is just so much better to be treated to this circus than having the usual light grey Republicrat 1 vs off grey Republicrat 2.

I only "despair for the US and the planet" if Crooked Hillary actually succeeds in stealing this one...

J


On 28 Oct 2016 09:10, "Mark Heaton" <mark....@imaginet.co.za> wrote:

Jaco ... don't know where you get that inane # best election ever garbage from. To me this is probably the worst possible election between the two of the most unpopular and unsuitable candidates ever.

I despair for the US and the planet whichever is elected.


On Fri, 28 Oct 2016, 8:34 AM Jaco Strauss <jacos...@gmail.com> wrote:

Indeed

But Operation Veritas is of course revealing a lot more than just "over sampling". The "Democrats" are not all that democratic after all...

And if they are not resisting Voter Identification they are blaming the Russians for all their election problems, real or imagined.

#BestElectionEver

On 28 Oct 2016 08:20, "Dewald Pieterse" <dewald....@gmail.com> wrote:
So polls like science is biased..
All about the data you disregard if doesn't suit your hockeystick or overcount if it does.
On 28 October 2016 at 07:33, Humphry Hamilton <hwham...@icon.co.za> wrote:

Here is an email supposedly from Podesta talking about oversampling poll results in other words “correcting them”.  It has been alleged that this is how they have been messing with the polls so as to discourage voters and ultimately change their vote.

 

It would explain why the polls have been inaccurate of late.

 

https://wikileaks.org/podesta-emails/emailid/26551

 

http://www.collective-evolution.com/2016/10/27/new-podesta-email-reveals-strategy-for-rigging-polls-by-oversampling/

 

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-10-23/new-podesta-email-exposes-dem-playbook-rigging-polls-through-oversamples

 

Humphry

 

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Dewald Pieterse

Ludwig von Mises, Liberalism, page 55: "A free man must be able to endure it when his fellow men act and live otherwise than he considers proper. He must free himself from the habit, just as soon as something does not please him, of calling for the police.".

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Mark Heaton

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Oct 28, 2016, 10:20:48 AM10/28/16
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@Jaco,

 

I have to agree that the contest does have a higher level of entertainment value this time round – mainly because Trump invites so much ridicule.

 

It appears you have become brainwashed into believing the “rigged” outcome already ... trotting out the Trump mantra like the good sycophant you  have become. Ie If Trump wins, the poll was fair. If he loses, the poll must have been rigged. The fact that he is a complete halfwit who  cannot string  a coherent sentence together and knows hardly anything about foreign policy, is disliked by large and important constituencies (women, African Americans and Latinos) will seemingly be irrelevant in contemplating the reason for him losing.

 

I despair if Trump wins – as he will not be able to deliver a large number of the election promises he made (unless I am very out of my depth here) – and so will be either a huge disappointment, or a liar. His foreign policy knowledge is mind-bogglingly absent ... and come-on, he can’t actually make up his mind whether he has met Putin or not.

 

And if Hillary wins – we are also stuffed. More likely to keep wars going, more likely to push deficit up (although I am unsure actually which of them will make the deficit worse than the other), more likely to keep abysmal Obama policies in place, and more likely to have a corrupt administration. But while I dislike them both immensely, I have to favour the devil I know – rather than a buffoon who is an insult to my intelligence.

 

But I would spoil my ballot (if I had a choice). I don’t think I could even vote for Johnson – who I also find a bit odd.

 

M

 

 

From: li...@googlegroups.com [mailto:li...@googlegroups.com] On Behalf Of Jaco Strauss
Sent: 28 October 2016 10:29 AM
To: Libsa
Subject: Re: [Libsa] Rigged Polls

 

Sorry Mark, but I have not enjoyed an election this much since Reagan 84, when he carried 49 states...

It is just so much better to be treated to this circus than having the usual light grey Republicrat 1 vs off grey Republicrat 2.

I only "despair for the US and the planet" if Crooked Hillary actually succeeds in stealing this one...

J

On 28 Oct 2016 09:10, "Mark Heaton" <mark....@imaginet.co.za> wrote:

Jaco ... don't know where you get that inane # best election ever garbage from. To me this is probably the worst possible election between the two of the most unpopular and unsuitable candidates ever.

I despair for the US and the planet whichever is elected.

 

On Fri, 28 Oct 2016, 8:34 AM Jaco Strauss <jacos...@gmail.com> wrote:

Indeed

But Operation Veritas is of course revealing a lot more than just "over sampling". The "Democrats" are not all that democratic after all...

And if they are not resisting Voter Identification they are blaming the Russians for all their election problems, real or imagined.

#BestElectionEver

On 28 Oct 2016 08:20, "Dewald Pieterse" <dewald....@gmail.com> wrote:

So polls like science is biased..

All about the data you disregard if doesn't suit your hockeystick or overcount if it does.

On 28 October 2016 at 07:33, Humphry Hamilton <hwham...@icon.co.za> wrote:

Here is an email supposedly from Podesta talking about oversampling poll results in other words “correcting them”.  It has been alleged that this is how they have been messing with the polls so as to discourage voters and ultimately change their vote.

 

It would explain why the polls have been inaccurate of late.

 

https://wikileaks.org/podesta-emails/emailid/26551

 

http://www.collective-evolution.com/2016/10/27/new-podesta-email-reveals-strategy-for-rigging-polls-by-oversampling/

 

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2016-10-23/new-podesta-email-exposes-dem-playbook-rigging-polls-through-oversamples

 

Humphry

 

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Jaco Strauss

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Oct 28, 2016, 4:46:10 PM10/28/16
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@Mark

Election rigging comes in many forms. We have, for eg, many proven cases of over sampling, are you denying that?

We have the media extremely biased and even engaging in over sampling themselves. CNN did it after every debate and got caught out every time. Are you denying that?

The Democrats have been fighting against voter registration and voter ID's for years and the less control, the more opportunity for voter fraud. Is that something you deny?

Have you even heard of operation Veritas?

You seem to think it makes you sycophantic to point out what has already been proven. Hillary accusing the Russians of planning to rig the election, but somehow doesn't attract the same ridicule. Because she us the "devil you know"?

Or Obama complaining about vote rigging in 2008 (before he won). And remember he came from the city whose rigging probably allowed Kennedy to "steal the 1960 election fair and square"....

But Trump is expected to give the whole process a clean thumbs up weeks in advance, while no Democrat expected that from Al Gore, even after the fact?!

#DoubleStandards

You further claim Trump can't string a coherent sentence together?! Have we watched the same debates? Have you listened to #Gettysburg? Have you listened to Hillary of late?

Apparently your strawman translates into loss of support amongst black voters, but it is hard to see how you get to that. Trump is polling more than double the black support of McCain and Romney and seems poised to get the best black voter turnout for a Republican since Richard Nixon in 1960.

You probably missed that the same way you missed every coherent thing he has said. But probably not the BREAKING NEWS that he said "p*ssy" 11 years ago....

But then again you also never heard of Aleppo before Johnson, so who knows what your sources are or what informs your insights.

J


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Humphry Hamilton

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Oct 31, 2016, 1:19:04 AM10/31/16
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Quite right, and with the meme of clawing back power from government, it is quite remarkable that the Bundy’s have won their (1st) case.  I had concluded that they didn’t have a hope.  Something has changed.

 

http://www.nytimes.com/2016/10/28/us/bundy-brothers-acquitted-in-takeover-of-oregon-wildlife-refuge.html?_r=0

 

As Martin Armstrong points out, the juries are also part of the revolution and so refuse to cowtow to the state.  I think we have just witnessed this.

 

 

Jaco, it is Project Veritas not Operation Veritas.

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Leon Louw (gmail)

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Oct 31, 2016, 5:23:02 AM10/31/16
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I'm perplexed -- actually entertained -- by the notion that Obnoxious Trump might be for "the people" against "the government", that a megalomaniacal "outsider" might be less ghastly than a megalomaniacal "insider", and that "the people" he's supposedly for are more numerous than and/or preferable to "the people" he's against.

Hitler and Stalin, like Trump and Clinton, were for "the people" (ie "the" people they're "for") and against "the other people".

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"Money won’t create success, the freedom to make it will."

Nelson Mandela 


But man, proud man,

Dress'd in a little brief authority, 

Most ignorant of what he's most assur'd –

His glassy essence—like an angry ape
Plays such fantastic tricks before high heaven
As makes the angels weep
."

Shakespeare

Humphry Hamilton

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Oct 31, 2016, 8:26:57 AM10/31/16
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You are quite right, there is a risk that Trump could do anything, he certainly has the character for it but there is a small chance that he may do some good regarding the most pressing problem in the US at the moment and that is to remove the “Deep State”.

 

His latest mantra is “We must drain the swamp” the swamp is Washington.  He is unlikely to be completely successful at this, there are a lot of vested interests.  His other mantra to “Make America great again” he is definitely going to fail at, no one can do this.  As I say -  a small chance.  The fact that he is a not a career politician makes that chance marginally greater.

 

Clinton by promising to keep the Clinton Foundation going while she is president is promising that it will be corrupt business as usual and probably an order of magnitude worse than it has been.  There is no chance of her doing any good.  In fact if she gets in she will probably spend her entire presidential career fending of impeachments, etc.

 

Given the choice of all the people in the world, I would not choose Trump to be president but I don’t get to choose this.  Joe US citizen gets to choose between Trump and Clinton.

 

All I can say is that it is a sign of the times that Trump is a presidential candidate.  It was predicted (Martin Armstrong) that support for a third party would be very strong this election and Trump is the third party as he is not endorsed by either Democratic or Republican establishments.  The turnout to vote should also be good.

 

I still think Trump will win.  The fact that Clinton has to produce fake rally videos to try and persuade people via YouTube that she has great support, tells me she has very little regardless of what the polls say.  One betting broker has already paid out $900 000 on bets that Clinton will win i.e. he is saying it is a fait accompli. I am not so sure.

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Leon Louw

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"Money won’t create success, the freedom to make it will."

Nelson Mandela 

 

But man, proud man,

Dress'd in a little brief authority, 

Most ignorant of what he's most assur'd –

His glassy essence—like an angry ape
Plays such fantastic tricks before high heaven
As makes the angels weep
."

Shakespeare

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Leon Louw (gmail)

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Oct 31, 2016, 8:53:36 AM10/31/16
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@Humphry
I suspect that your certainty regarding a Trump victory confuses preference with prediction?

Are you sure enough to place real bets? 

How about a LibSA betting option, Trevor. Is there a simple way to run it -- maybe a link? 

I'll participate if the money of those betting is deposited in advance. We could place the money with you personally, perhaps.

By the way, I'll bet against all prediction on anything. All that in issue for me is the odds. 

I'll offer even odds against anyone making negative predictions -- ie that a recognised index of human or environmental well-being, or natural resources, will decline. (There are very few well-being bets I'll decline.)

On the US election result, I'll bet in accordance with whatever prediction Garth or Frances suggest.

For me, personal preferences are irrelevant -- which gives me a splendid advantage over adversaries.

I'm happy with bets up to R5000 -- can't risk more. I took a R5000 bet against one of Charl's predictions at LibSem this weekend. I suggest, Charl, that we both pay our R5000s into escrow with Trevor. Past experience taught me to be skeptical until bets are deposited.  

I volunteer the same bet against you, Humphry, on Trump.

Needless to say that has nothing to do with which of the two I consider most reprehensible.

Talk is cheap; lost bets are expensive. I'm ready to roll!


PS: LibDin folk witnessed a bet I lost. I coughed-up. There were some I won. None of the losers paid.

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Leon Louw

work:          +27-11-884-0270

mobile:       +27-84-618-0348

www.freemarketfoundation.com

#leonmlouw

 

"Money won’t create success, the freedom to make it will."

Nelson Mandela 

 

But man, proud man,

Dress'd in a little brief authority, 

Most ignorant of what he's most assur'd –

His glassy essence—like an angry ape
Plays such fantastic tricks before high heaven
As makes the angels weep
."

Shakespeare

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Stephen van Jaarsveldt

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Oct 31, 2016, 10:01:58 AM10/31/16
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You can deposit the money into a neutrally held BitCoin wallet anonymously, quickly and cheaply. Only snag is that your R5000 could come out the other end being anything between R1 and R1 000 000 000, probably somewhere between R4000 and R6000. I'm happy to facilitate, if you like.

$.

Leon Louw (gmail)

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Oct 31, 2016, 10:13:52 AM10/31/16
to Libsa (googlegroups)
Thanks. I'm happy to place bets in Bitcoin. Will let you know.

How about someone starting a local betting forum?

I could pass it on. My guess is have a roughly 40:40:20 split - 40% predicting one or the other; 20% having no view.

Trevor Watkins

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Oct 31, 2016, 12:31:13 PM10/31/16
to LibertarianSA
Have a look at https://bitnation.co/main/. You can certainly notarise the bet there, and possibly also bank the bet deposits. Alternately, you could lay off the bet with a bookie - I am sure most would be happy to oblige.

Trevor Watkins - Base Software
bas...@gmail.com 083 44 11 721 - 0631 949394 - Skype base37 -  (fax)0866 532 363 - www.libertarian.org.za 
PO Box 3302, Jeffreys Bay, 6330

Stephen van Jaarsveldt

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Oct 31, 2016, 4:59:34 PM10/31/16
to li...@googlegroups.com
I like Trevor's suggestions... I was going for something like; send me multiples of 0.01 BTC with your name and bet i.e. "Jaco for 0.18 BTC on Trump winning" and I'll split the pot proportionately between those on the winning side at the end of it. I'm a bit slow on researching new tools and existing solutions.

S.

Jaco Strauss

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Oct 31, 2016, 5:27:17 PM10/31/16
to Libertarian SA
I already have a $100 (US) on the election (for a Trump win against Clinton) which I took with a friend even before the first debate took place.

If it had not been for the incredibly biased media and the clear rigging attempts by the Democrats, it would already have been all over bar the shouting. I am however not comfortable that there won't be large scale rigging in swing states, or a major last minute game changing "revelation" which the media would no doubt blow up out of all proportion if it suits them.

How many of the thousands of devastating Wikileaks mails have they for eg covered up to now? Compare that to (say) the story that Trump said "pu55y" once in a private conversation 11 years ago? Which is more relevant? And what about Clinton Foundation pay-for-play profiteering vs Trump Foundation rumours? The Bleachbit of subpoenaed classified emails or Tax returns?

So, even though I think Trump would still win regardless, I am not happy with the level of the playing field and would therefore not increase my current bet for now

By the way, Nate Silver has been wrong many times in the past:

J


Jaco Strauss
Kaapstad

Leon Louw (gmail)

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Oct 31, 2016, 5:42:48 PM10/31/16
to Libsa (googlegroups)
@Jaco
Anyone else for a bet?

Graeme Levin

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Nov 2, 2016, 2:51:12 AM11/2/16
to li...@googlegroups.com

Good points Jaco. Also there are reports of the following, which if true would suggest claims of RIGGING could have some foundation

 

1.       If one candidate is not prosecuted for destroying emails AFTER being subpoenaed to deliver them, it's a RIGGING of the elections if that candidate is treated above the law and differently to every other American and is, up to now, permitted to compete prosecution-free. 

2.       If one candidate is fed the questions prior to a debate, that's RIGGING. CNN fired Brazile for being caught doing that for one candidate.

3.       If one candidate's campaign disrupts meetings of the other, that is RIGGING the elections

4.       If one candidate commits perjury there should be no question of being above the law and not being prosecuted or else the election will be RIGGED.

5.       There are reports of Pre-Voting fraud where voters need not be personally present to vote. If true, that is RIGGING

 

The Corrupt News Network and other mass media say accusations of rigging threaten the very democratic foundations of the great USA. Perhaps the above points and those raised by Jaco are what actually threaten the slender remains of democracy.

 

Politically motivated polls could be used to influence (RIG) voting behaviour. For example, on the morning of the Brexit Referendum, a major UK poll reported that the Remainers exceeded the Brexiteers by 10%. In my view, the purpose was to disillusion the Brexiteers and to influence them not to support a losing cause. That day, the savvy Brexiteers won.
The same could be done with distorted polls on support from Women, Blacks, Hispanics and other groups.

 

Did you know Crooked Hillary was surprised that Palestinan elections were allowed to be held without taking adequate steps to fix (RIG) the outcome (presumably to prevent Hamas winning)?
http://conservativetribune.com/bombshell-audio-rigging-election/?utm_source=Email&utm_medium=PostUp&utm_campaign=ConservativeBrief&utm_content=2016-10-29
And we all know about the RIGGING of the campaign against Bernie Sanders.
Crooked Hillary is not a novice in the RIGGING department.

 

From: li...@googlegroups.com [mailto:li...@googlegroups.com] On Behalf Of Jaco Strauss
Sent: 28 October 2016 22:46
To: Libsa <li...@googlegroups.com>
Subject: RE: [Libsa] Rigged Polls

 

@Mark

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Ludwig von Mises, Liberalism, page 55: "A free man must be able to endure it when his fellow men act and live otherwise than he considers proper. He must free himself from the habit, just as soon as something does not please him, of calling for the police.".

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Humphry Hamilton

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Nov 2, 2016, 3:02:28 AM11/2/16
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Quite right, talk is cheap and anything I say on this blog is worth to you exactly what you paid for it.

 

I think Trump will win and it will probably have the flavour similar to Brexit which was 52:48.  These are not odds worth betting on.  In the futures market I only place bets on ratios greater than 2:1  (potential reward vs risk taken).  I am wrong a certain percentage of the time.

 

As the above states my confidence in the prediction is weak and my preference/prediction for Trump over Clinton is 1. Because he might do some good as opposed to Hillary who definitely won’t do any good and 2. My view of the world and the cycles at work would be confirmed to some extent by a Trump win.  If there is some confusion here between preference and prediction then so be it.

 

There is a fair chance that Hillary is a better thief than I give her credit for and she ends up winning.  She is certainly desperate, Trump has stated that she goes to jail if he wins.

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"Money won’t create success, the freedom to make it will."

Nelson Mandela 

 

But man, proud man,

Dress'd in a little brief authority, 

Most ignorant of what he's most assur'd –

His glassy essence—like an angry ape
Plays such fantastic tricks before high heaven
As makes the angels weep
."

Shakespeare

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Leon Louw

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"Money won’t create success, the freedom to make it will."

Nelson Mandela 

 

But man, proud man,

Dress'd in a little brief authority, 

Most ignorant of what he's most assur'd –

His glassy essence—like an angry ape
Plays such fantastic tricks before high heaven
As makes the angels weep
."

Shakespeare

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Humphry Hamilton

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Nov 2, 2016, 3:21:50 AM11/2/16
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And this is probably just the tip of the iceberg.

Humphry Hamilton

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Nov 2, 2016, 3:27:21 AM11/2/16
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From Stansberry Research


http://s3.amazonaws.com/email-issues/template-assets/common/bullet.jpgIs the stock market predicting a Trump victory?

According to Sam Stovall, chief investment strategist at equities-research firm CFRA, history suggests the odds of a Donald Trump presidency may be higher than many folks believe. As he explained to financial-news network CNBC yesterday...

Going back to World War II, the S&P 500 performance between July 31 and October 31 has accurately predicted a challenger victory 86% of the time when the stock market performance has been negative.

The S&P 500 has been negative in eight election years over that time. And Stovall notes all but one – in 1956, when Adlai Stevenson ran against then-President Dwight Eisenhower – ended with a non-incumbent-party win. This year, the S&P 500 fell 2.2% from the last trading day of July through October 31.

A Trump victory would certainly come as a surprise to many... Most mainstream media polls show a small (but narrowing) lead for Hillary Clinton, but real-money bets continue to heavily favor the Democrat. Political-betting website Betfair currently puts Clinton's chance of winning at 72.2%.

Of course, real-money bets were famously wrong about this summer's "Brexit" vote... so we wouldn't rule anything out just yet. Stovall apparently agrees... "I would say on face value it's saying prepare to be surprised on Tuesday," he said.

image001.jpg

Mark Heaton

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Nov 2, 2016, 6:25:32 AM11/2/16
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Humphry, Trump has not “stated that she goes to jail if he wins”.

 

Firstly – he does not have the executive capacity to jail someone. Fortunately a judiciary and jury still has that prerogative in the US.

Secondly – he has stated that he will have her investigated. Again, that will be the prerogative of the AG and FBI I would imagine – perhaps on his recommendation. But I still don’t think that he has the capacity to launch an investigation himself.

Thirdly – what he did say was an off-the cuff comment when Hillary said “You know it’s just awfully good that someone with the temperament of Donald Trump is not in charge of the law in this country.” He quipped “Because you’d be in jail”. It was a hypothetical comment that if he was in charge of the law, she would be in jail. Not talking about the future.

Mark Heaton

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Nov 2, 2016, 6:36:18 AM11/2/16
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Graeme, I agree with 4 of your 5 points below, but how far do you take it ...

 

-          With point 1 ... just because one person is not prosecuted, does not mean the election is rigged. JZ was not prosecuted in South Africa – does that mean our election was rigged? Just because the majority choose to be presided over by someone who is actually a criminal (like in SA .. assuming guilt that is) to me does not equate to rigging – it just shows why a country actually ends up with the government it deserves.

-          If one candidate has access to far more financial resources than the other – is that Rigging?

-          If one candidate has a much better campaign than the other, is that rigging?

-          If the polls consistently show a projected result which then does not occur (such as Brexit) – is that rigging?

 

I suppose it depends on your definition of rigging ... I guess I am not equating “free and fair” with “rigging”. To me the term “rigging” would refer to the actual discrepancy between what happened at the ballot box and the result declared. But maybe my definition is way too narrow.

Humphry Hamilton

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Nov 2, 2016, 8:04:06 AM11/2/16
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OK, but it amounts to the same thing and an off the cuff comment like that is often more truthful than one thought out.

 

The reason she isn’t in jail is because she is protected by her political position and influence.  I have very little doubt that if she was investigated properly that she would end up in jail.  A Trump win would remove her political protection and she would end up in jail.  She has stated so herself or rather she said that if that bastard wins we all end up swinging on the end of a noose.  This makes me think that we don’t know half of it yet.

Leon Louw (gmail)

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Nov 2, 2016, 8:39:27 AM11/2/16
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@Humphry
You really believe he would have the power to do this?!
"Trump has stated that she goes to jail if he wins."

In the unlikely event he would have the power, your view suggests (a) you recognise him as an aspirant despot and (b) you embrace the prospect.

That's sad.

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Ludwig von Mises, Liberalism, page 55: "A free man must be able to endure it when his fellow men act and live otherwise than he considers proper. He must free himself from the habit, just as soon as something does not please him, of calling for the police.".

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Leon Louw

work:          +27-11-884-0270

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"Money won’t create success, the freedom to make it will."

Nelson Mandela 

 

But man, proud man,

Dress'd in a little brief authority, 

Most ignorant of what he's most assur'd –

His glassy essence—like an angry ape
Plays such fantastic tricks before high heaven
As makes the angels weep
."

Shakespeare

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Leon Louw

work:          +27-11-884-0270

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#leonmlouw

 

"Money won’t create success, the freedom to make it will."

Nelson Mandela 

 

But man, proud man,

Dress'd in a little brief authority, 

Most ignorant of what he's most assur'd –

His glassy essence—like an angry ape
Plays such fantastic tricks before high heaven
As makes the angels weep
."

Shakespeare

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Humphry Hamilton

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Nov 2, 2016, 8:54:15 AM11/2/16
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You have a point but when they find ballots in boxes in a warehouse all with a tick next to Hillary Clinton then this is definitely rigging.

 

Also what is happening is that the ability of the state and by association Hillary Clinton to influence events and opinions by less than honest means has reached its peak.  Prior to 2015 their dirty tricks were largely ignored by the public.  Wikileaks was jumping up and down but not until recently did anyone take any notice.  This is not because Wikileaks has recently had anything better to say, their stuff has always been revealing, but the general population suddenly started to take notice.  There is a cycle to this and how the herd swings from one extreme to the next and I am pretty sure we have already seen peak government.  We are starting to witness the people taking power back from the state, the fact that Trump the outsider is a contender, the Bundy win against the state, these are important markers.  So rigging in the broad sense has been going on for a while but suddenly it seems to matter and the likes of Hillary Clinton have not noticed the change and continue to feast on the block of cheese in the rat trap.

Jaco Strauss

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Nov 2, 2016, 9:41:01 AM11/2/16
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For what its worth, I agree with Mark's interpretation of Trump's off the cuff comment during the debate.

It definitely does not mean that he would round his opponents up on Day 1 of his presidency, but rather that their cosy protection network would be severely disrupted and that they would face justice for a change. If they do, jail time is not all that unlikely as the reality is that many people have gone to jail* for far less than what she has done. 

Without her husband having private chats to the AG**; or beneficiaries of her circle's largesse*** "investigating her case, the wheels of justice might just keep on turning for a change...


J



Jaco Strauss
Kaapstad

Dewald Pieterse

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Nov 2, 2016, 9:53:44 AM11/2/16
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Blockbuster report on internal FBI conflict over investigating Clinton machine

 By Thomas Lifson Is it a crisis yet? The fate of a criminal probe into the activities of a possible president has been fought behind closed doors. The nation’s premier investigative agency allegedly is riven by conflict over investigating Hillary Clinton’s email, the Clinton Foundation, and Anthony Weiner’s sexting. Devlin Barrett of the Wall Street Journal has apparently mined many sources at the FBI and the DoJ, along with other “people familiar with the matter,” and put together a remarkable piece that is providing a lot of new information. Unfortunately, it is behind a pay wall, though I understand that the WSJ is offering very low initial subscription rates, as low as $4, which might be worth it even on a tight budget, considering the history unfolding before our eyes. Barrett identifies a timeline for the Weiner email trove that begins: ... in early October when New York­based FBI officials notified Andrew McCabe, the bureau’s second­in­command, that while investigating Mr. Weiner for possibly sending sexually charged messages to a teenage minor, they had recovered a laptop. Many of the 650,000 emails on the computer, they said, were from the accounts of Ms. Abedin, according to people familiar with the matter. The FBI lacked a warrant to read the emails, but they did examine the DID YOU KNOW WE CAN HIDE ADS FOR YOU? metadata, that showed “apparently … thousands” of them were from Hillary’s private email server. This led to a dramatic meeting: At a meeting early last week of senior Justice Department and FBI officials, a member of the department’s senior national­security staff asked for an update on the Weiner laptop, the people familiar with the matter said. At that point, officials realized that no one had acted to obtain a warrant, these people said. Mr. McCabe then instructed the email investigators to talk to the Weiner investigators and see whether the laptop’s contents could be relevant to the Clinton email probe, these people said. After the investigators spoke, the agents agreed it was potentially relevant. Mr. Comey was given an update, decided to go forward with the case and notified Congress on Friday, with explosive results. Senior Justice Department officials had warned the FBI that telling Congress would violate policies against overt actions that could affect an election, and some within the FBI have been unhappy at Mr. Comey’s repeated public statements on the probe, going back to his press conference on the subject in July. Barrett does not venture into speculation, but I believe that Comey had no choice at that point, because the news would have leaked out. Too many people knew of the discovery at this point (including, possibly, the NYPD, which may have gotten the Weiner probe going in the first place – we still don’t know). Many journalists (including me) in touch with active and retired FBI agents have heard of the extreme disappointment of many within the FBI community with Comey’s damage to the Bureau’s reputation. The meatiest reporting, however, covers the investigation of the Clinton Foundation, which Barrett characterizes as one of “several matters related, directly or indirectly, to Mrs. Clinton and her inner circle” (emphasis added). New details show that senior law­enforcement officials repeatedly voiced skepticism of the strength of the evidence in a bureau investigation of the Clinton Foundation, sought to condense what was at times a sprawling cross­country effort, and, according to some people familiar with the matter, told agents to limit their pursuit of the case. The probe of the foundation began more than a year ago to determine whether financial crimes or influence peddling occurred related to the charity. Unnamed FBI agents are characterized as “viewing FBI leadership as uninterested in probing the charity[.]” My guess is that the “senior law enforcement officials” voicing skepticism might be from Loretta Lynch’s staff. But they may include FBI officials. It turns out that the investigation of the Clintons’ web of corruption has been bubbling up across the country, involving multiple FBI arms. This scoop alone is enormously important. It is very difficult to keep a lid on when so many locations and criminal specialties are involved. There is a downside to having such a large web of criminal enterprises: lots of law enforcement agencies take notice in their respective domains. Early this year, four FBI field offices—New York, Los Angeles, Washington and Little Rock, Ark.—were collecting information about the Clinton Foundation to see if there was evidence of financial crimes or influence­peddling, according to people familiar with the matter. Los Angeles agents had picked up information about the Clinton Foundation from an unrelated public­corruption case and had issued some subpoenas for bank records related to the foundation, these people said. The Washington field office was probing financial relationships involving Mr. McAuliffe before he became a Clinton Foundation board member, these people said. Mr. McAuliffe has denied any wrongdoing, and his lawyer has said the probe is focused on whether he failed to register as an agent of a foreign entity. Clinton Foundation officials have long denied any wrongdoing, saying it is a well­run charity that has done immense good. The FBI field office in New York had done the most work on the Clinton Foundation case and received help from the FBI field office in Little Rock, the people familiar with the matter said. In February, FBI officials made a presentation to the Justice Department, according to these people. By all accounts, the meeting didn’t go well. (snip) “That was one of the weirdest meetings I’ve ever been to,” one participant told others afterward, according to people familiar with the matter. Half a year later, this happened, according to Barrett’s sources: According to a person familiar with the probes, on Aug. 12, a senior Justice Department official called Mr. McCabe to voice his displeasure at finding that New York FBI agents were still openly pursuing the Clinton Foundation probe during the election season. Mr. McCabe said agents still had the authority to pursue the issue as long as they didn’t use overt methods requiring Justice Department approvals. The Justice Department official was “very pissed off,” according to one person close to Mr. McCabe, and pressed him to explain why the FBI was still chasing a matter the department considered dormant. (snip) “Are you telling me that I need to shut down a validly predicated investigation?” Mr. McCabe asked, according to people familiar with the conversation. After a pause, the official replied, “Of course not,” these people said. Who was this unidentified but apparently male official? There are conflicting views on McCabe’s role, to say the least. But apparently the foundation investigation was not shut down, yet stymied when agents asked for help from a U.S. attorney. When stonewalled by the Eastern District staff, they wanted to go to the Southern District, where Preet Bharara is in charge, and were rebuked by McCabe for shopping for a prosecutor. I urge you to read the whole thing, even if it costs you a few bucks. This is history unfolding before our eyes, and the whole thing is taking on an All the President's Men character in my eyes. Anthony Weiner as Deep Throat? 

Mark Heaton

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Nov 2, 2016, 12:14:26 PM11/2/16
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Hell ... Jaco and I actually agree on something regarding this election J

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Ludwig von Mises, Liberalism, page 55: "A free man must be able to endure it when his fellow men act and live otherwise than he considers proper. He must free himself from the habit, just as soon as something does not please him, of calling for the police.".

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Leon Louw

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"Money won’t create success, the freedom to make it will."

Nelson Mandela 

 

But man, proud man,

Dress'd in a little brief authority, 

Most ignorant of what he's most assur'd –

His glassy essence—like an angry ape
Plays such fantastic tricks before high heaven
As makes the angels weep
."

Shakespeare

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Leon Louw

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#leonmlouw

 

"Money won’t create success, the freedom to make it will."

Nelson Mandela 

 

But man, proud man,

Dress'd in a little brief authority, 

Most ignorant of what he's most assur'd –

His glassy essence—like an angry ape
Plays such fantastic tricks before high heaven
As makes the angels weep
."

Shakespeare

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www.freemarketfoundation.com

#leonmlouw

 

"Money won’t create success, the freedom to make it will."

Nelson Mandela 

 

But man, proud man,

Dress'd in a little brief authority, 

Most ignorant of what he's most assur'd –

His glassy essence—like an angry ape
Plays such fantastic tricks before high heaven
As makes the angels weep
."

Shakespeare

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Humphry Hamilton

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Nov 3, 2016, 2:31:55 AM11/3/16
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Bush is going to vote for Clinton.

 

http://www.politico.com/story/2016/09/exclusive-george-hw-bush-to-vote-for-hillary-228395

 

More evidence that this is not a vote of democrat vs republican but a vote of insider (establishment) vs outsider (the rest of us).

 

 

From: li...@googlegroups.com [mailto:li...@googlegroups.com] On Behalf Of Jaco Strauss


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"Money won’t create success, the freedom to make it will."

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But man, proud man,

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Most ignorant of what he's most assur'd –

His glassy essence—like an angry ape
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"Money won’t create success, the freedom to make it will."

Nelson Mandela 

 

But man, proud man,

Dress'd in a little brief authority, 

Most ignorant of what he's most assur'd –

His glassy essence—like an angry ape
Plays such fantastic tricks before high heaven
As makes the angels weep
."

Shakespeare

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Frances Kendall

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Nov 3, 2016, 2:39:14 AM11/3/16
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I was determined not to get back into this non-debate - but have you considered that the republicans voting for Clinton are doing so not because they are "insiders" but because they believe Trump would be disastrous for the US? And Hillary's voters - are they all "insiders" not part of "the rest of us"? Further - have you not observed Trump is not a Republican in terms of his policies?

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Jaco Strauss

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Nov 3, 2016, 4:50:49 AM11/3/16
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Of course there are probably as many (if not more) Democrats voting for Trump as there are Republicans voting for Clinton....


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Ludwig von Mises, Liberalism, page 55: "A free man must be able to endure it when his fellow men act and live otherwise than he considers proper. He must free himself from the habit, just as soon as something does not please him, of calling for the police.".

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"Money won’t create success, the freedom to make it will."

Nelson Mandela 

 

But man, proud man,

Dress'd in a little brief authority, 

Most ignorant of what he's most assur'd –

His glassy essence—like an angry ape
Plays such fantastic tricks before high heaven
As makes the angels weep
."

Shakespeare

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"Money won’t create success, the freedom to make it will."

Nelson Mandela 

 

But man, proud man,

Dress'd in a little brief authority, 

Most ignorant of what he's most assur'd –

His glassy essence—like an angry ape
Plays such fantastic tricks before high heaven
As makes the angels weep
."

Shakespeare

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"Money won’t create success, the freedom to make it will."

Nelson Mandela 

 

But man, proud man,

Dress'd in a little brief authority, 

Most ignorant of what he's most assur'd –

His glassy essence—like an angry ape
Plays such fantastic tricks before high heaven
As makes the angels weep
."

Shakespeare

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Humphry Hamilton

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Nov 3, 2016, 6:39:39 AM11/3/16
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This is not about republicans voting for democrats, I am sure there are millions that switch at each election.  It is that a past Republican President is now voting for a democrat, when last did this happen?  It must mean that the Republican Party is in complete disarray, thanks to Trump.  The reason Bush is voting for the Democrats is not because he has had a sudden change of heart but because he knows that Trump is perhaps going to upset the fantastically beneficial arrangement he has with government.  The lovely rotation of Goldman Sachs people into and out of government is a similar arrangement and hence their support for Clinton.  Trump’s support comes from mom and pop, he has received more small donations (less than $200) than any republican candidate in history.

 

You are going to throw everything at me now but what is happening is very Libertarian, even though Trump is not a particularly Libertarian candidate, perhaps that is an understatement.  Perhaps he is in need of some education.

 

Trump has taken the lid off Libertarian sentiment and although far from an ideal candidate is awakening a revolution against the cosy to and fro relationship between Republicans and Democrats which has long been to the detriment of the average American.  Power is starting to be taken back from the state and handed to the citizen, this is in line with libertarian thought.

 

This is one of the reasons why Johnson never got anywhere even though he was the Libertarian candidate, he was barking up the wrong tree.  He wanted to get government running properly which is admirable and he had a track record of doing so but what is needed is to get rid of a lot of government i.e. “drain the swamp”.

 

The Republican Party is in disarray and the Democrats will be, especially if Clinton doesn’t win, and their horribly corrupt behaviour eventually comes to light.

 

This is why a Trump Presidency will likely result in less violence as he will dampen this revolutionary trend, Clinton will push against it until there is a much bigger reaction later.

 

Democracies like markets are natural systems and self-regulate.  Clinton is trying to stop this self-regulation and she may succeed for a while but the system will eventually self-regulate.  If the system is pushed to a greater extreme the reaction will naturally eventually be more violent.

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"Money won’t create success, the freedom to make it will."

Nelson Mandela 

 

But man, proud man,

Dress'd in a little brief authority, 

Most ignorant of what he's most assur'd –

His glassy essence—like an angry ape
Plays such fantastic tricks before high heaven
As makes the angels weep
."

Shakespeare

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#leonmlouw

 

"Money won’t create success, the freedom to make it will."

Nelson Mandela 

 

But man, proud man,

Dress'd in a little brief authority, 

Most ignorant of what he's most assur'd –

His glassy essence—like an angry ape
Plays such fantastic tricks before high heaven
As makes the angels weep
."

Shakespeare

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Leon Louw

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www.freemarketfoundation.com

#leonmlouw

 

"Money won’t create success, the freedom to make it will."

Nelson Mandela 

 

But man, proud man,

Dress'd in a little brief authority, 

Most ignorant of what he's most assur'd –

His glassy essence—like an angry ape
Plays such fantastic tricks before high heaven
As makes the angels weep
."

Shakespeare

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Paul AH Hjul

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Nov 3, 2016, 2:33:32 PM11/3/16
to LibertarianSA
the Trump campaign has made a concerted effort to conflate "rigging"' an election with influencing the outcome of an election prior to the vote being taken - also known as "campaigning" and I fear this conflation has been carried over into a lot of media coverage and this thread.

Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump have been performed extensive campaigning and sought to influence the upcoming election in their favour for the last two or so years and both have been quite succesful at doing so - otherwise they wouldn't be the other parties nominee.

Media bias is not "rigging", ballot stuffing and voter intimidation however are. Trump has been advocating voter intimidation tactics and defiance of the 
As for "false flag" operations and smear campaigns - a shitty dishonest and dispicable way to campaign but not by any stretch of the imagination "rigging". Nor is getting a comment suggesting what questions will be asked in a debate, nor being given preferential treatment in a criminal

Both candidates have effectively said they will rig an election if they could and needed to and so both candidates are disqualified from being deemed human beings of integrity (which should be a criteria to serve as POTUS, but isn't). Clinton has been campaigning so hard that she wont rig the election whilst Trump has been calling on the Russians to rig the election for him so neither candidate is rigging the election but if it ends up being rigged it is rigged for Trump.

Betting as to who wins the election seems silly as you are really placing a bet on whether the US electoral system is succesfully rigged to Trump's advantage. More fun to bet on how many seconds either candidate would be in office before they flagrantly abuse public office.

Leon Louw (gmail)

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Nov 3, 2016, 3:10:51 PM11/3/16
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@Humphry
Or a vote for or against a deranged megalomaniac.

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But man, proud man,

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Most ignorant of what he's most assur'd –

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Plays such fantastic tricks before high heaven
As makes the angels weep
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Shakespeare

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"Money won’t create success, the freedom to make it will."

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But man, proud man,

Dress'd in a little brief authority, 

Most ignorant of what he's most assur'd –

His glassy essence—like an angry ape
Plays such fantastic tricks before high heaven
As makes the angels weep
."

Shakespeare

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Mark Heaton

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Nov 3, 2016, 5:35:39 PM11/3/16
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Exactly Paul ... well said.

 

If Trump wins, is he going to say he did so, despite the Rigging? Or were the polls then not Rigged if he won?

 

Does the FBI making the huge insinuation that Hillary has now done something wrong 1 week before the election constitute “Rigging” in the Trump definition thereof (or should that be “counter-rigging”).

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Jaco Strauss

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Nov 3, 2016, 6:21:55 PM11/3/16
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Trump has been calling on the Russians to rig the election for him so neither candidate is rigging the election but if it ends up being rigged it is rigged for Trump.

#ProjectVeritas suggests otherwise

Blaming the Russians for everything is getting very tired. Even more than the racism / sexism thing Obama is still trying to resuscitate. Anybody could have guessed Podesta's password of "Passw0rd", but we are led to believe the Russians hacked it before planting it all (or other stuff) on Weiner's laptop and getting the Russian spy Comey to act upon it???

Who are wearing the tin hats now?

In any case, why would the Russians prefer Trump (except if they perhaps are trying to prevent war?) Crooked Hillary already
sold them US Uranium, so that cosy relationship could presumably continue if the money is right....

Instead we are told by the Democrats that the election cannot be rigged, while the Russians are rigging the same election!?!?! Do these talking heads ever listen to themselves?


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Jaco Strauss

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Nov 3, 2016, 6:27:46 PM11/3/16
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Well, what did Obama do? He complained about rigging before victory and then stopped as it would be pointless to moan after winning. I suspect Trump would do the same.

The FBI seems to be busy with "counter rigging". Either way, it is clearly not "the Russians" as Paranoid Hillary wants everyone to believe. Comey, the hero of the Dems a few months back, is also not a Russian Spy . 

#RooiGevaar #RussiansEverywhere #NeoMcCarthyism 


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Leon Louw (gmail)

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Nov 4, 2016, 1:22:27 AM11/4/16
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Graeme Levin

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Nov 4, 2016, 1:29:00 AM11/4/16
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Mark, ordinarily I'd agree with your good point.

 

In this case CH's influential husband probably RIGGED the outcome of the ruling that let her off the hook. He met with the Attorney General for half an hour in a plane on the tarmac shortly before the inexplicable ruling.

 

From: li...@googlegroups.com [mailto:li...@googlegroups.com] On Behalf Of Mark Heaton


Sent: 02 November 2016 12:36

Stephen vJ

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Nov 4, 2016, 2:05:11 AM11/4/16
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The comments under the video are disturbing.

S.

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Leon Louw (gmail)

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Nov 4, 2016, 3:03:48 AM11/4/16
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@Stephen
Which ones?

(There are almost always 'disturbing' comments when comments are allowed. They tend to stop comments here because too many are anti-Zuma anti-ANC drum. Not that that's 'disturbing'.)


Stephen vJ

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Nov 4, 2016, 3:22:54 AM11/4/16
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The ones saying a vote for Gary Johnson is a vote wasted... as if a vote for Trump or for Hillary is any less wasted.

S.

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Paul AH Hjul

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Nov 4, 2016, 7:22:16 AM11/4/16
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Even assuming it to be true that Billy Boy got the AG to commit a crime (the decision not to prosecute is neither inexplicable nor particularly disconcerting and in actual fact the entire investigation into the location of the emails rather than the culture of corruption that can be gleaned from her has been a travesty of justice) how does that amount to a "rigged election" the decision to prosecute or not to prosecute does not out determine the outcome of an election in spite of votes cast - - it influences rather than rigs the election

If an indictment determined the elections Trumps various frauds and high crimes would disqualify him as well and just think a federal judge has to decide shortly after the ballot whether Trump “knowingly participated in a scheme to defraud”.

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Ludwig von Mises, Liberalism, page 55: "A free man must be able to endure it when his fellow men act and live otherwise than he considers proper. He must free himself from the habit, just as soon as something does not please him, of calling for the police.".

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Leon Louw (gmail)

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Nov 4, 2016, 7:52:31 AM11/4/16
to Libsa (googlegroups), Kerry Welsh
Votes for Trump and Clinton are worse than wasted, they're negative, like anti-matter, a kind of anti-vote.

For Johnson is a vote for liberty; for the other three, a vote for oppression.

Paul AH Hjul

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Nov 4, 2016, 8:33:39 AM11/4/16
to LibertarianSA, welco...@gmail.com
you could also vote for Jill Stein ....

:whistle:
#RooiGevaar #RussiansEverywhere #NeoMcCarthyism 


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Leon Louw

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"Money won’t create success, the freedom to make it will."

Nelson Mandela 


But man, proud man,

Dress'd in a little brief authority, 

Most ignorant of what he's most assur'd –

His glassy essence—like an angry ape
Plays such fantastic tricks before high heaven
As makes the angels weep
."

Shakespeare

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Leon Louw

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#leonmlouw


"Money won’t create success, the freedom to make it will."

Nelson Mandela 


But man, proud man,

Dress'd in a little brief authority, 

Most ignorant of what he's most assur'd –

His glassy essence—like an angry ape
Plays such fantastic tricks before high heaven
As makes the angels weep
."

Shakespeare

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Stephen van Jaarsveldt

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Nov 4, 2016, 8:45:24 AM11/4/16
to li...@googlegroups.com, Kerry Welsh
Oh good gods, we've reached a point where the greenies are a reasonable option on the ballot ! The end is neigh.

S.


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Paul AH Hjul

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Nov 4, 2016, 8:49:26 AM11/4/16
to LibertarianSA
:D

Jaco Strauss

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Nov 4, 2016, 9:04:48 AM11/4/16
to Libertarian SA, Kerry Welsh
Well yes, if by a "reasonable option" you mean that somebody with less than 1% of the popular support would not be "oppressing" anybody anytime soon...

In the meantime my $100 is looking increasingly safe, but the best thing about a Trump victory would probably be the universal butthurt experienced by the SJWs. #SnowflakeMeltdown LOL 

J
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Stephen vJ

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Nov 4, 2016, 10:18:17 AM11/4/16
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By reasonable, I mean the nut-job promising unicorns and rainbows, rather than Beelzebub or Satan, both of whom I consider utterly unreasonable choices.

S.

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Paul AH Hjul

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Nov 4, 2016, 10:33:00 AM11/4/16
to LibertarianSA
just for the record I am not advocating Jill Stein

She is however in infinite leagues above both Clinton and Trump

I wouldn't object to a Sanders presidency under a true Republican House (that is those Republican's Trump supporters would call traitors; and which Tea Party morons call RINOs) and out of the field by a mile it would be GJ for the win.

If Satan and Beezelbub were running I think they'd be a better choice than Trump with Hillary only one notch above Adolf (who is about 2 choices up on Satan)

Stephen vJ

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Nov 4, 2016, 11:04:32 AM11/4/16
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Suddenly Sarah Palin is looking reasonable. Hell, the Three Stooges are looking reasonable.

#VoteNoneOfTheAbove

S.

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Paul AH Hjul

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Nov 4, 2016, 11:39:55 AM11/4/16
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Palin wouldn't be the most aweful of presidents if there was a sensible congress (which there isn't) and a functional Supreme Court (which there currently is).

Palin is a moron but not really a tyrant 

Humphry Hamilton

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Nov 5, 2016, 4:39:49 AM11/5/16
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Leon

 

His article below the video “Insects of the Hour” is very good and looks at populism and should a democratic leader lead or follow the herd.  It is a fine line.

 

 

The main point Hannan was making was whether populist movements should be fought against or listened to.  He compares the European system of undemocratic and the US system of democratic and how the only way to deal with the European system is to leave it but in the US the people’s voice can be heard.  As a politician he has to consider whether some populist movement is worth considering or not.  As an observer like us, we don’t need to.  This is what makes democracies self-regulating, this fine line between ignoring the wrong thing and ignoring the right thing.  Get it wrong and you’re out.

 

It is clear that as he points out the US is in one of its modes of centralising power to the state and I contend that this is turning around.  Those that choose to ignore the populist movement to turn this around (Clinton) may be able to push the envelope a bit further but the risks rise.  In my view this populist movement is not going to go away and politicians would be well advised to address it.

 

In his video he contends that we should vote for Johnson, his argument is valid and it is difficult to disagree.

 

But what about the populist movement to support Trump?  I understand very clearly why this is happening and am very sympathetic.  I think that Johnson has not shown adequate fire in renouncing the “state capture” that has also taken place in the US and so the people have collected behind Trump.  It’s probably as simple as that.  They want someone who understands where they want to go and to charge out ahead.  Could Gary ‘Insipid’ Johnson do this?

 

They are looking for a fight, now and again this is a good thing, and I doubt Johnson has ever thrown a punch in his life.

 

As an aside he is wrong about one thing when he says that he thinks that Blair and bush were mistaken when waging war on Iraq and finding no WMD.  It is always tempting to conclude that politicians are stupid when explaining their actions.  This is counterproductive, they are by nature very astute and shrewd and if we don’t understand why they have done something, we should always blame our own lack of understanding.  I have always said that Iraq, Libya and possibly Syria had nothing to do with oil or WMD but about the US Dollar as reserve currency.  Much of the Arab world, especially Gaddafi, were very keen to introduce a gold backed currency (dinar) which would have been a threat to the present US Dollar as world reserve currency, at least regionally.  This had to be stopped and it is the reason why there is no real attempt to introduce democracy, etc. into these countries or even to get possession of their oil.  The aim was to destroy the countries and hence their ability to produce the currency, this has been achieved.  Recent Wikileaks exposure of Clinton’s emails is confirming this.

 

I notice that the UK government has handed the decision of whether to leave Europe or not over to the courts.  They are possibly trying to find a way to ignore the referendum results.  They have probably been advised by the EU that these populist movements can be given some time to cool down and then can be ignored.  It has worked for them multiple times in the past.  Times change and we have gone past peak government, this strategy is unlikely to work anymore.  If they overturn the referendum results, the silver lining will be the return of Nigel Farage to politics, much to my amusement.

 

 

From: li...@googlegroups.com [mailto:li...@googlegroups.com] On Behalf Of Leon Louw (gmail)


Sent: 04 November 2016 07:22 AM
To: Libsa (googlegroups)

#RooiGevaar #RussiansEverywhere #NeoMcCarthyism 

 

 

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Leon Louw

work:          +27-11-884-0270

mobile:       +27-84-618-0348

www.freemarketfoundation.com

#leonmlouw

 

"Money won’t create success, the freedom to make it will."

Nelson Mandela 

 

But man, proud man,

Dress'd in a little brief authority, 

Most ignorant of what he's most assur'd –

His glassy essence—like an angry ape
Plays such fantastic tricks before high heaven
As makes the angels weep
."

Shakespeare

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Mark Heaton

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Nov 5, 2016, 5:35:53 AM11/5/16
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@Humphry

 

Not sure I buy the “new gold backed currency” conspiracy theory ... very little evidence of that.

 

Just to correct something you stated:

 

The UK court has required parliament to have a vote on the terms under which they trigger Brexit. And that is being appealed by government. The decision to leave Europe has not been handed to the courts.

 

From: li...@googlegroups.com [mailto:li...@googlegroups.com] On Behalf Of Humphry Hamilton


Sent: 05 November 2016 10:39 AM
To: li...@googlegroups.com

Humphry Hamilton

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Nov 5, 2016, 6:38:02 AM11/5/16
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Conspiracy theories are like smoke. Often there is fire at the base of the smoke.

 

I am open to other ideas about why the US has been attacking various Arab countries.

 

Sorry, you are quite right about Brexit and I think the courts are quite right that the matter must be debated in parliament.  It will be an interesting test as to whether they think it is a populist fad or something more significant.

Leon Louw (gmail)

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Nov 5, 2016, 9:13:09 AM11/5/16
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You remind me, Paul, that Trump ran a fake "university".

That's not as bad as Blade Mzimande who runs many. 

I try very hard to work out how anyone can consider Trump an option -- for me he remains an extremely obnoxious megalomaniac. 

Gavin Weiman

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Nov 5, 2016, 9:16:25 AM11/5/16
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Hi

My  two bits.

Sometimes its worth while being a contrarian - So -  going against the common sense and wisdom of the best libertarians - Ive decided to root for Trump (just because there are so may reasons why this is a bad choice!)

Gavin


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Leon Louw (gmail)

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Nov 5, 2016, 2:25:38 PM11/5/16
to Libsa (googlegroups), Kerry Welsh
I included her in "the other three".

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Jaco Strauss

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Nov 6, 2016, 1:59:29 AM11/6/16
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Also not as bad as running a fake State Department....
Jaco Strauss
Kaapstad

Jaco Strauss

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Nov 6, 2016, 1:01:31 AM11/6/16
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That would unfortunately still leave us with "one of the above" Stephen. I prefer the one that plans to #DrainTheSwamp

J

Stephen vJ

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Nov 6, 2016, 1:10:57 AM11/6/16
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If everyone who was against Hillary and Trump voted for someone other than Hillary and Trump, they would not get Hillary or Trump.

If people only voted for what they wanted and not for something they don't want a bit less, then the ridiculousness of the whole thing would be exposed.

Even if both those were not the case, the root problem is that three wolves and a sheep are deciding what's for dinner.

Democracy itself is flawed and it is becoming clear that, whatever the people want, government is going to win.

S.

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Frances Kendall

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Nov 6, 2016, 1:18:48 AM11/6/16
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I think what you miss Stephen is that the great majority of people do want government - that is very evident throughout the world, they want governments to help them if they are struggling, as well as to "build  a wall", prevent free trade, protect them from enemies etc. There are only a handful of people who don't want a government.

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Stephen vJ

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Nov 6, 2016, 1:30:48 AM11/6/16
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I know, but they differ on what flavour of government they want and it should be very clear to everyone that the flavours on offer this time around are not the ones that people generally want. They never are, but this time it should be obvious. There is only puke flavour and horse dung flavour on the menu, so rather than saying "I'm walking out until they put rum & raisin back on the menu, or at least that yucky green mint which I can compromise on", people stand around bickering over whether poop trumps puke. Really ? People want government so badly and believe in this process so deeply that they would choose puke flavour ? Eish. Yoh. There must be a way out of this trap.

S.

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Frances Kendall

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Nov 6, 2016, 2:32:56 AM11/6/16
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Haven't you seen how they love poop & horse dung? Trumps fans go crazy for it! Hilary 's voters are hoping it'll only be horse dung without the poop.

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John Pretorius

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Nov 6, 2016, 7:15:16 AM11/6/16
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Yup. This election has brought out the worst in all of us – even Sam Harris.

 

John R Pretorius
13 Olive Lane, Morningside Sandton 2196, South Africa
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Website http://optionscan.googlepages.com

Leon Louw (gmail)

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Nov 6, 2016, 11:16:55 AM11/6/16
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Yes, he'd like to #DrainTheSwamp .... so that he can fill it.
 

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Leon Louw (gmail)

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Nov 6, 2016, 11:24:21 AM11/6/16
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@Frances
This an old, absurd and irritating Frances refrain. 

I should run a classified ad saying "I am not responsible for my wife's debts ... or her intellectual twaddle."

She equate "wanting a government" (as the Libertarian Party does) with wanting a bad government.

I hope one of you minarchists engage with her and guide her out of her confusion.

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Leon Louw (gmail)

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Nov 6, 2016, 11:27:52 AM11/6/16
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I agree, John. 

It's a truly fascinating phenomenon.

To paraphrase Lord Acton, politics corrupts, and election politics corrupts intellectually.

Even LibSA folk.

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Leon Louw (gmail)

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Nov 6, 2016, 12:46:44 PM11/6/16
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As a complete aside, two aspects of American English that irritate me disproportionately are:

  • "going forward" and
  • "the American people".

They're as mindless as "at this pint in time" for which correct English is "now", or such pretentious legalese as "hereinafter", "now therefore" and "ourselves". 

"Do you think going forward the Trump/Clinton campaign will ... <whatever> ...?" reporters might ask. 

"What we will do going forward ..." people routinely say.

That, I suppose, is for those of us think they do things "going backward". 

"The American people" is as patronising for me as leftists calling us "the people". It's insulting and demeaning. What they mean is "Americans" and "people" (or civilians) respectively.

"Ourselves", "themselves", "himself", "herself" etc mean "us", "them", "him" and "her".

Jaco Strauss

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Nov 7, 2016, 12:31:36 AM11/7/16
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Does it count as "rigging" if the US President encourages illegals ("undocumented citizens") to vote and promises them that there would be "no repercussions" for such illegal voting?

Jaco Strauss
Kaapstad

Janette Eldridge

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Nov 7, 2016, 5:43:07 AM11/7/16
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And is “each and every” more or less than “every”

And is there a means test for “the poorest of the poor” as apposed the “poor”

Leon Louw (gmail)

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Nov 7, 2016, 6:06:54 AM11/7/16
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Yourself and myself are absolutely correct, dear Janette.

Either way at this point in time each every one of the South African people who are the poorest of the poor will themselves going forward be exploited by white monopoly capital itself.

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Stephen vJ

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Nov 7, 2016, 7:44:55 AM11/7/16
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1. Voting has no repercussions anyway. ;-)

2. Voting is in itself the rigging of social structures, so this is rigging the rigging... so, meh.

S.

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Leon Louw (gmail)

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Nov 7, 2016, 8:30:51 AM11/7/16
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@Stephen
Quite right, Stephen. Well put.

Those of us who are libertarians are very clear about the inherent illegitimacy of voting for people whose primary objective is coercion and plunder (multiple departments, agencies, taxes, laws), and whose afterthought is protection from coercion (courts, police, defence).

Elections are like innocent prisoners voting for which of two nominees should be their jailer.

I'm reminded of Daniel Webster's observation:

“Now is the time when men work quietly in the fields and women weep softly in the kitchen; the legislature is in session, and no man’s property is safe.”


Paul AH Hjul

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Nov 7, 2016, 12:55:46 PM11/7/16
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Leon Louw (gmail)

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Nov 7, 2016, 2:59:12 PM11/7/16
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Two of my black colleagues are pro-Trump. More precisely, they're less anti-Trump than anti-Clinton.


Phumlani


Temba
-----Original Message-----
From: Temba Nolutshungu
Sent: Sunday, November 6, 2016 11:22
To: Carel Steenkamp


                                                                                                                     The US elections: Sentiments vs Realities

As we await the electoral process determination as to who will emerge triumphantly as the US president, some comments/sentiments both in this country and in America have been quite concerning.

What I initially dismissed as a kneejerk reaction (it soon became apparent that the comment "I don't like Trump or I don't like Clinton") was going to be the basis for their voting decision.

This has been reinforced by Clinton's recent statement that "I have a better temperament..."  Trump is also blameworthy for reinforcing this sentiment.

It is quite alarming indeed that there does not seem to be a rigorous investigation of the candidates' policies, especially, and most importantly, the economic policies.

Needless to say, it would be quite ludicrous, if not downright puerile, to vote on the basis of sentiment.

I encountered this sentiment when I had addressed an audience in New York earlier this year and during ad hoc interactions with citizens of the US on both sides of the current electoral divide.

I share with you my general response to this as I have consistently articulated it.  It goes like this.

The fundamental question is, of the two candidates, who's policies, explicitly articulated or observed by discerning minds, will result in more people being on the wealth-consuming or alternatively on the wealth-creating side of the equation.

This is an important question to ponder.  It is because on the wealth-consuming side, the policies are defined and characterised by more state welfare with able-bodied people looking up to the quasi-socialistic, nanny state (in the SA context, I refer to the concept of a 'boetie' government).  This has many negative consequences such as penalising with increased taxation, the more economically productive sectors of the population.  The reality of big government is that it impacts on individual liberties.

On the other side of the equation, wealth creation is predicated on allowing as much economic freedom as possible so long as economic activities and transactions do not entail force or fraud.  Personal responsibility is an important hallmark of this paradigm.  Policies that are thus informed will inevitably unleash the spirit of enterprise.

Axiomatically, this is an important criterion of sound economic policy.

Bearing in mind that at the end of the day for the US to meet its challenges, both domestically and globally, it requires substantial resources.

Those resources will emanate from the economic arena.

This means high economic growth rates.  High economic growth rates are a function of economic freedom.  Empirical evidence substantiates this argument.  To site a few studies in this regard, there is the Economic Freedom of the World study (compiled by the Fraser Institute and over 90 think tanks); Index of Economic Freedom (Heritage Foundation); International Property Rights Index (Hernando de Soto et al.) and the Global Competitive Report (World Economic Forum) among others.

In conclusion, please do not perceive this as an exercise in political/ideological point scoring, but as a humble effort on my part to get us to be more focussed on realities as opposed to sentiments.

After all, the challenges that confront us in our own country South Africa, demand that we focus primarily on economic policies.

Regards to all.

Temba  A  Nolutshungu

"Eternal vigilance is the price of liberty" John Philpot Curran (1750 - 1817


On 7 November 2016 at 19:55, Paul AH Hjul <hjul...@gmail.com> wrote:

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“Now is the time when men work quietly in the fields and women weep softly in the kitchen; the legislature is in session, and no one’s property is safe.”

Daniel Webster

Jaco Strauss

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Nov 7, 2016, 4:21:05 PM11/7/16
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I see you heckler and I raise you

Trump Supporter’s Truck Torched

SACRAMENTO -- An unthinkable crime along the Sacramento River -- only five days before the presidential election a random act of violence was aimed at a Donald Trump supporter.

http://fox40.com/2016/11/03/trump-supporters-truck-torched/



2016-11-07 19:55 GMT+02:00 Paul AH Hjul <hjul...@gmail.com>:

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