Am Dienstag, den 05.06.2012, 11:22 +0200 schrieb Andreas Sturm:
> If you squash one beast, this may had a mutation to make it resistant
> to a toxin. Or one of it's childs. Or the child of it's children.
> Simply evolution.
Evolution is not that trivial actually. What I wanted to point
out was, that in general it is very difficult to draw
conclusions about how an ecosystem will react to a certain
artificially introduced change.
If you take a parasite from somewhere, modify it to infect your
mosquitos and set it free, it will if you're lucky, infect your
mosquitos and the rest of the ecosystem stays untouched.
But since all organims in an ecosystem work together, or let's
say are adapted to one another in their life, their behavior,
their physical construction, on what they feed and so on,
you will necessarily, let's say it abstract, "unbalance" the ecosystem.
You simply create new situation, you "change the game" so to say.
The consequences can be beneficial or challenging
for the species involved.
If you're unlucky, it may e.g. even happen, that your parasite adapts
to infect even more species, it finds in the new habitat you provide
to it.
That's why I'm saying, that the stronger you disturb a system,
the unforeseeable the results.
In general, all systems evolve to the maximum profit of all
players involved. If you analyse it from that point, you will
see that introducing e.g. a human pheromone aversion into
the mosquitos will not work.
Even if you manage to create such a mosquito variant, it would
not succeed in concurrence with the "human loving" rest,
and even if you manage to replace the whole mosquito population
by a "human aversion"-mosquito species, the mosquitos will evolve
to overcome this aversion within one or two generations, since
they gain no profit, only disadvantages by this behavior.
That's also, why I would consider the latter idea of introducing
a less virulent Plasmodium strain so brilliant.
Influenza is spread, because people don't exhibit severe symptoms
(I know, that's relative, but compared to more dangerous
diseases like Malaria) even when already infectious.
In terms of evolution: The less virulent strains profit from not
killing their hosts, but rather jumping from host to host,
when getting eliminated in their original host.
By being less virulent they spread, by spreading they multiply,
by multiplication they evolve.
Since humanity is currently unable to extinct Malaria, it could
therefore be a reasonable approach to try a symbiotic
"pact with the devil", offering (human) host infections,
gaining milder infections through non-lethal strains.
because colonized habitats are more difficult to invade.
Cheers! Matthias