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999Vulcan

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Mar 17, 2020, 7:36:46 PM3/17/20
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https://science.sciencemag.org/content/early/2020/03/13/science.abb3221

TL;DR: In China, with its extremely aggressive tracking and testing regiment, nearly 9 in 10 COVID-19 cases are estimated to have been undocumented.

If COVID-19 follows the pattern of the 2009 H1N1 pandemic influenza, the SARS-CoV-2 virus will spread globally and become endemic.

Const

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Mar 18, 2020, 1:47:51 AM3/18/20
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999Vulcan <999v...@gmail.com> wrote:
> https://science.sciencemag.org/content/early/2020/03/13/science.abb3221

> TL;DR: In China, with its extremely aggressive tracking and testing regiment, nearly 9 in 10 COVID-19 cases are estimated to have been undocumented.

Ну, то есть, как я и говорил, cfr много меньше процента.

Кстати, вполне возможно, что в Китае уже просто все переболели.

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Const

999Vulcan

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Mar 18, 2020, 2:24:26 AM3/18/20
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On Wednesday, March 18, 2020 at 1:47:51 AM UTC-4, Const wrote:
> 999Vulcan <999v...@gmail.com> wrote:
> > https://science.sciencemag.org/content/early/2020/03/13/science.abb3221
>
> > TL;DR: In China, with its extremely aggressive tracking and testing regiment, nearly 9 in 10 COVID-19 cases are estimated to have been undocumented.
>
> Ну, то есть, как я и говорил, cfr много меньше процента.

ifr

TAZ

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Mar 18, 2020, 3:19:37 AM3/18/20
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По фик, одно в другое пересчитывается если ты свой калькулятор
когда-нибудь откопаешь. После того как всё не в угаре посчитают там и
cfr тоже меньше процента окажется.
https://institutefordiseasemodeling.github.io/nCoV-public/analyses/first_adjusted_mortality_estimates_and_risk_assessment/2019-nCoV-preliminary_age_and_time_adjusted_mortality_rates_and_pandemic_risk_assessment.html

Татьяна

Const

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Mar 18, 2020, 3:42:52 AM3/18/20
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Мозги не еби.

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Const

Yury Mukharsky

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Mar 18, 2020, 5:12:05 AM3/18/20
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CFR

Юра
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